{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26","as_of":"2026-10-24T01:12:07.877450Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?\" — \"4\" leads at 44% across 10 outcomes as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarshipspace/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-will-reach-space-in-2026/kxstarshipspace-26"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26","ticker":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26","slug":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26","title":"How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-27T00:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":71829.29,"volume_24hr":1710.6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.98794174194336,"normalized_volume":33.492530822753906,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":34973.13,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4","top_outcome_probability":0.44,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4.36,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T00:58:22.534963Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T00:58:22.534963Z","added_at":"2026-05-27T00:38:55.416052Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarshipspace/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-will-reach-space-in-2026/kxstarshipspace-26","chart_24h":[737.0,637.0,1430.74,2300.77,1663.77,1682.77,1705.87,1706.24,1710.6],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-4.0","event_id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26","slug":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-4.0","question":"Will  exactly 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?","group_item_title":"4","description":"If exactly 4 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight. Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to  count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times. (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-27T00:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":12224.64,"volume_24hr":4.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":4.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.9668570756912231,"normalized_volume":27.572603225708008,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T21:23:45.552626Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T21:23:45.552626Z","added_at":"2026-05-27T00:38:55.498520Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarshipspace/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-will-reach-space-in-2026/kxstarshipspace-26","event_title":"How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-5.0","event_id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26","slug":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-5.0","question":"Will  exactly 5 Starship launches reach space in 2026?","group_item_title":"5","description":"If exactly 5 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight. Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to  count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times. (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.5800000000000001],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-27T00:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":18362.13,"volume_24hr":39.47,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":39.47,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.696936130523682,"normalized_volume":30.007810592651367,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T18:25:02.974924Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T18:25:02.974924Z","added_at":"2026-05-27T00:38:55.498520Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarshipspace/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-will-reach-space-in-2026/kxstarshipspace-26","event_title":"How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-2","event_id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26","slug":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-2","question":"Will  below 2 Starship launches reach space in 2026?","group_item_title":"1 or below","description":"If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight. Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to  count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times. (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-27T00:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":4569.86,"volume_24hr":870.03,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.718653678894043,"normalized_volume":22.10917091369629,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:31:00.476767Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:31:00.476767Z","added_at":"2026-05-27T00:38:55.498520Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarshipspace/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-will-reach-space-in-2026/kxstarshipspace-26","event_title":"How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-3.0","event_id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26","slug":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-3.0","question":"Will  exactly 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?","group_item_title":"3","description":"If exactly 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight. Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to  count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times. (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-27T00:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":5698.83,"volume_24hr":3.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.6591593623161316,"normalized_volume":23.282520294189453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T13:47:05.539529Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T13:47:05.539529Z","added_at":"2026-05-27T00:38:55.498520Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarshipspace/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-will-reach-space-in-2026/kxstarshipspace-26","event_title":"How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-2.0","event_id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26","slug":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-2.0","question":"Will  exactly 2 Starship launches reach space in 2026?","group_item_title":"2","description":"If exactly 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight. Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to  count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times. (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-27T00:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":4028.88,"volume_24hr":793.74,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.29587459564209,"normalized_volume":21.45318031311035,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T17:28:48.850916Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T17:28:48.850916Z","added_at":"2026-05-27T00:38:55.498520Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarshipspace/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-will-reach-space-in-2026/kxstarshipspace-26","event_title":"How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-6.0","event_id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26","slug":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-6.0","question":"Will  exactly 6 Starship launches reach space in 2026?","group_item_title":"6","description":"If exactly 6 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight. Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to  count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times. (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-27T00:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":14774.07,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-637.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.693588256835938,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T12:08:32.471163Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T12:08:32.471163Z","added_at":"2026-05-27T00:38:55.498520Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarshipspace/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-will-reach-space-in-2026/kxstarshipspace-26","event_title":"How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-8.0","event_id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26","slug":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-8.0","question":"Will  exactly 8 Starship launches reach space in 2026?","group_item_title":"8","description":"If exactly 8 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight. Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to  count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times. (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-27T00:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":2032.62,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.063945770263672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T05:38:14.932806Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T05:38:14.932806Z","added_at":"2026-05-27T00:38:55.498520Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarshipspace/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-will-reach-space-in-2026/kxstarshipspace-26","event_title":"How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-9","event_id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26","slug":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-9","question":"Will  above 10 or above Starship launches reach space in 2026?","group_item_title":"10 or above","description":"If above 9 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight. Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to  count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times. (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-27T00:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1470.91,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.563364028930664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T00:58:22.679497Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T00:58:22.679497Z","added_at":"2026-05-27T00:38:55.498520Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarshipspace/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-will-reach-space-in-2026/kxstarshipspace-26","event_title":"How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-9.0","event_id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26","slug":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-9.0","question":"Will  exactly 9 Starship launches reach space in 2026?","group_item_title":"9","description":"If exactly 9 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight. Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to  count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times. (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-27T00:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1167.65,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.532170295715332,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T00:58:22.679497Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T00:58:22.679497Z","added_at":"2026-05-27T00:38:55.498520Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarshipspace/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-will-reach-space-in-2026/kxstarshipspace-26","event_title":"How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-7.0","event_id":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26","slug":"KXSTARSHIPSPACE-26-7.0","question":"Will  exactly 7 Starship launches reach space in 2026?","group_item_title":"7","description":"If exactly 7 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight. Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to  count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times. (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-27T00:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":7499.7,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.784318923950195,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T05:42:27.939729Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T05:42:27.939729Z","added_at":"2026-05-27T00:38:55.498520Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarshipspace/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-will-reach-space-in-2026/kxstarshipspace-26","event_title":"How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?","chart_24h":null}]}