{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSTATELEG-MISEN26","as_of":"2026-10-24T04:11:39.755936Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Michigan State Senate winner?\" — \"Democratic party\" leads at 86% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSTATELEG-MISEN26","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstateleg/michigan-state-senate-winner/kxstateleg-misen26"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTATELEG-MISEN26","ticker":"KXSTATELEG-MISEN26","slug":"KXSTATELEG-MISEN26","title":"Michigan State Senate winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-27T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26159.05,"volume_24hr":3017.82,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.859926223754883,"normalized_volume":27.715068817138672,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":11751.56,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Democratic party","top_outcome_probability":0.86,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2019.7300000000002,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T00:28:57.303461Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T00:28:57.303461Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstateleg/michigan-state-senate-winner/kxstateleg-misen26","chart_24h":[1516.6299999999999,3319.22,3268.8,2981.82,3044.7400000000002,3017.82],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTATELEG-MISEN26-D","event_id":"KXSTATELEG-MISEN26","slug":"KXSTATELEG-MISEN26-D","question":"Who will win the Michigan State Senate?","group_item_title":"Democratic party","description":"If the Democratic party wins the Michigan State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nWinning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.86,0.14],"probability":0.86,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-27T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-27T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":4831.82,"volume_24hr":2052.34,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":2019.7300000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.72745132446289,"normalized_volume":22.402542114257812,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T00:28:57.449453Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T00:28:57.449453Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstateleg/michigan-state-senate-winner/kxstateleg-misen26","event_title":"Michigan State Senate winner?","chart_24h":[0.87,0.86,0.86,0.86]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTATELEG-MISEN26-R","event_id":"KXSTATELEG-MISEN26","slug":"KXSTATELEG-MISEN26-R","question":"Who will win the Michigan State Senate?","group_item_title":"Republican party","description":"If the Republican party wins the Michigan State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nWinning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-27T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-27T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":21327.23,"volume_24hr":965.48,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999981,"volume_24h_change":-518.54,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.646236419677734,"normalized_volume":30.92978286743164,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T23:53:30.326202Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T23:53:30.326202Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstateleg/michigan-state-senate-winner/kxstateleg-misen26","event_title":"Michigan State Senate winner?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15]}]}