{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSTHYACINTHEBY-27FEB01","as_of":"2026-11-05T14:12:47.054844Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot-Acton by-election winner?\" — \"Conservative\" leads at 10% across 3 outcomes as of 2026-11-05 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSTHYACINTHEBY-27FEB01","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsthyacintheby/saint-hyacinthe-bagot-acton-by-election-winner/kxsthyacintheby-27feb01"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTHYACINTHEBY-27FEB01","ticker":"KXSTHYACINTHEBY-27FEB01","slug":"KXSTHYACINTHEBY-27FEB01","title":"Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot-Acton by-election winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-02-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":240.0,"volume_24hr":240.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.935325622558594,"normalized_volume":7.986114978790283,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":240.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Conservative","top_outcome_probability":0.1,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.04000000000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":140.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-05T06:23:07.979022Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T06:23:07.979022Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T14:09:04.694855Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsthyacintheby/saint-hyacinthe-bagot-acton-by-election-winner/kxsthyacintheby-27feb01","chart_24h":[100.0,120.0,240.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":3,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTHYACINTHEBY-27FEB01-CON","event_id":"KXSTHYACINTHEBY-27FEB01","slug":"KXSTHYACINTHEBY-27FEB01-CON","question":"Will the Conservative Party of Canada candidate win the Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot-Acton federal by-election?","group_item_title":"Conservative","description":"If the Conservative Party of Canada candidate wins the Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot-Acton federal by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party's candidate is the candidate registered with Elections Canada under that party's name, or under a registered party it merges into; an independent or other-party candidate a party backs does not count. A candidate registered under a listed party's own name counts only for that party; if a candidate would otherwise count for more than one listed party through a merger, the candidate counts only for the first of them in the order Bloc, Liberal and Conservative. A general election contest for this seat is not a by-election for this market.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.09000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-02-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-02-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":240.0,"volume_24hr":240.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":140.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.894383430480957,"normalized_volume":8.440103530883789,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T10:05:00.421512Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T10:05:00.421512Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T14:09:04.909738Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsthyacintheby/saint-hyacinthe-bagot-acton-by-election-winner/kxsthyacintheby-27feb01","event_title":"Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot-Acton by-election winner?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTHYACINTHEBY-27FEB01-BQ","event_id":"KXSTHYACINTHEBY-27FEB01","slug":"KXSTHYACINTHEBY-27FEB01-BQ","question":"Will the Bloc Québécois candidate win the Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot-Acton federal by-election?","group_item_title":"Bloc","description":"If the Bloc Québécois candidate wins the Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot-Acton federal by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party's candidate is the candidate registered with Elections Canada under that party's name, or under a registered party it merges into; an independent or other-party candidate a party backs does not count. A candidate registered under a listed party's own name counts only for that party; if a candidate would otherwise count for more than one listed party through a merger, the candidate counts only for the first of them in the order Bloc, Liberal and Conservative. A general election contest for this seat is not a by-election for this market.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. 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A candidate registered under a listed party's own name counts only for that party; if a candidate would otherwise count for more than one listed party through a merger, the candidate counts only for the first of them in the order Bloc, Liberal and Conservative. A general election contest for this seat is not a by-election for this market.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-02-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-02-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T10:05:00.421512Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T10:05:00.421512Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T14:09:04.909738Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsthyacintheby/saint-hyacinthe-bagot-acton-by-election-winner/kxsthyacintheby-27feb01","event_title":"Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot-Acton by-election winner?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}