{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","ticker":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4","title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":434703.42,"volume_24hr":2751.5,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.586673736572266,"normalized_volume":42.18305587768555,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":245397.61,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2030","top_outcome_probability":0.45,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-22T23:54:31.532235Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T23:54:31.532235Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","chart_24h":[2024.56,2024.56,2029.13,2032.13,2759.06,3274.06,2774.06],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4-29JAN01","event_id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4-29JAN01","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2029","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2029 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.\n\n\n A Level 4 travel advisory means \"Do not travel\" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.5800000000000001],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":17479.97,"volume_24hr":4.57,"prob_24h_change":0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":4.57,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.9744666218757629,"normalized_volume":27.917774200439453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T17:11:11.652566Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T17:09:04.718322Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","event_title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","chart_24h":[0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4-27JAN01","event_id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4-27JAN01","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.\n\n\n A Level 4 travel advisory means \"Do not travel\" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.063,0.937],"probability":0.063,"spread":0.01900000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":172705.36,"volume_24hr":2689.93,"prob_24h_change":-0.010999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":2189.93,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.607316970825195,"normalized_volume":42.544158935546875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T22:35:11.696522Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T22:33:01.505060Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","event_title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","chart_24h":[0.074,0.074,0.074,0.081,0.081,0.081,0.081,0.18,0.063,0.063,0.063,0.063]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4-26JUL01","event_id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4-26JUL01","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jul 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2026","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jul 1, 2026 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.\n\n\n A Level 4 travel advisory means \"Do not travel\" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.013,0.987],"probability":0.013,"spread":0.009000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":194133.4,"volume_24hr":57.0,"prob_24h_change":0.005999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":57.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.447200775146484,"normalized_volume":43.37339401245117,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T23:41:00.597421Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T23:41:00.597421Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","event_title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","chart_24h":[0.007,0.007,0.007,0.007,0.007,0.007,0.001,0.001,0.019,0.019,0.013,0.013,0.013]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4-30JAN01","event_id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4-30JAN01","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2030","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2030 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.\n\n\n A Level 4 travel advisory means \"Do not travel\" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":19079.99,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.42059326171875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T10:28:49.159543Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T14:40:22.418005Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","event_title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.45]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4-28JAN01","event_id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4-28JAN01","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2028 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.\n\n\n A Level 4 travel advisory means \"Do not travel\" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":31304.7,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-22.56,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.347543716430664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T23:56:31.947222Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T23:54:31.705846Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","event_title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","chart_24h":[0.21,0.21]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTAIWANLVL4","as_of":"2026-06-23T00:15:53.567857Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?\" — top market at 6% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}