{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","ticker":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4","title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":476119.74,"volume_24hr":1148.49,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.907499313354492,"normalized_volume":47.26122283935547,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":260628.51,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2030","top_outcome_probability":0.43,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-17T05:38:27.641191Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T05:38:27.641191Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","chart_24h":[126.8,1191.33,1114.33,1148.49],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4-28JAN01","event_id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4-28JAN01","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2028 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.\n\n\n A Level 4 travel advisory means \"Do not travel\" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":36481.21,"volume_24hr":49.8,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":49.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.024411201477051,"normalized_volume":34.350791931152344,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T17:44:29.747537Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T17:40:56.471697Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","event_title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4-27JAN01","event_id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4-27JAN01","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.\n\n\n A Level 4 travel advisory means \"Do not travel\" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.065,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":193434.92,"volume_24hr":1098.69,"prob_24h_change":-0.012999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":1021.69,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.1485538482666,"normalized_volume":46.126800537109375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T06:05:44.449329Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T06:05:44.449329Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","event_title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","chart_24h":[0.078,0.078,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.065,0.065]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4-30JAN01","event_id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4-30JAN01","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2030","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2030 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.\n\n\n A Level 4 travel advisory means \"Do not travel\" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.5700000000000001],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":21542.92,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.992259979248047,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T23:12:24.351554Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T05:14:38.211499Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","event_title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","chart_24h":[0.43,0.43]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4-29JAN01","event_id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4-29JAN01","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2029","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2029 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.\n\n\n A Level 4 travel advisory means \"Do not travel\" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.6699999999999999],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":22560.69,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.27967643737793,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T04:44:22.186579Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T04:44:22.186579Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","event_title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","chart_24h":[0.33,0.33]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4-26JUL01","event_id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4-26JUL01","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jul 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2026","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jul 1, 2026 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.\n\n A Level 4 travel advisory means \"Do not travel\" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":202100.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":46.45950698852539,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T04:00:16.726265Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T23:58:41.295128Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","event_title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTAIWANLVL4","as_of":"2026-08-17T06:36:16.797330Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?\" — top market at 6% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}