{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTAIWANLVL4","as_of":"2026-10-14T19:59:35.312177Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?\" — 5 markets; highest \"Before Jan 1, 2030\" at 69% as of 2026-10-14 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTAIWANLVL4","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","ticker":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4","title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":300302.17,"volume_24hr":4966.03,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.056900024414062,"normalized_volume":42.76007843017578,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":149145.5,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2030","top_outcome_probability":0.69,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.30999999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":999.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-14T19:50:18.714732Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T19:50:18.714732Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","chart_24h":[1183.03,1222.91,1825.39,1884.92,1884.92,4409.92,4914.92,4966.03],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4-30JAN01","event_id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4-30JAN01","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2030","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2030 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.\n\n\n A Level 4 travel advisory means \"Do not travel\" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.69,0.31000000000000005],"probability":0.69,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":23314.79,"volume_24hr":999.0,"prob_24h_change":0.30999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":999.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.842994689941406,"normalized_volume":31.485198974609375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T15:54:07.653966Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T15:54:07.653966Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","event_title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","chart_24h":[0.38,0.38,0.69,0.69]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4-28JAN01","event_id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4-28JAN01","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2028 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.\n\n\n A Level 4 travel advisory means \"Do not travel\" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":44087.37,"volume_24hr":1181.41,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":1141.53,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.768192291259766,"normalized_volume":35.6004753112793,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T18:21:42.316291Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T18:21:42.316291Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","event_title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4-27JAN01","event_id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4-27JAN01","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.\n\n\n A Level 4 travel advisory means \"Do not travel\" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.023,0.977],"probability":0.023,"spread":0.055,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":209935.12,"volume_24hr":2785.62,"prob_24h_change":-0.027000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":2785.62,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.84880256652832,"normalized_volume":46.74925994873047,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T19:50:18.880314Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T19:50:18.880314Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","event_title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.099,0.099,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.023]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4-29JAN01","event_id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4-29JAN01","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2029","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2029 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.\n\n\n A Level 4 travel advisory means \"Do not travel\" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.019999999999999962,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":22964.89,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.390592575073242,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T00:28:09.609100Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T00:28:09.609100Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","event_title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLVL4-26JUL01","event_id":"KXTAIWANLVL4","slug":"KXTAIWANLVL4-26JUL01","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jul 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2026","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jul 1, 2026 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.\n\n A Level 4 travel advisory means \"Do not travel\" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-07T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","result":"no","volume":202100.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":46.45950698852539,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T04:00:16.726265Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T23:58:41.295128Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlvl4/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/kxtaiwanlvl4","event_title":"Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?","chart_24h":null}]}