{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTAIWANLYBY-27MAR25","as_of":"2026-11-05T14:39:40.066295Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Taiwan Legislative Yuan by-elections winner?\" — \"Democratic Progressive Party\" leads at 70% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-10-30 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTAIWANLYBY-27MAR25","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlyby/taiwan-legislative-yuan-by-elections-winner/kxtaiwanlyby-27mar25"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLYBY-27MAR25","ticker":"KXTAIWANLYBY-27MAR25","slug":"KXTAIWANLYBY-27MAR25","title":"Taiwan Legislative Yuan by-elections winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-03-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37.9,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.558054208755493,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.04,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Democratic Progressive Party","top_outcome_probability":0.7,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-30T15:02:29.644928Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T15:02:29.644928Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:54.992291Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlyby/taiwan-legislative-yuan-by-elections-winner/kxtaiwanlyby-27mar25","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLYBY-27MAR25-DPP","event_id":"KXTAIWANLYBY-27MAR25","slug":"KXTAIWANLYBY-27MAR25-DPP","question":"Will Democratic Progressive Party win the most seats in Taiwan’s 2027 Legislative Yuan by-elections for seats vacated by winners of the 2026 local elections?","group_item_title":"Democratic Progressive Party","description":"If the Democratic Progressive Party wins the most seats in Taiwan’s 2027 Legislative Yuan by-elections for seats vacated by winners of the 2026 local elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor legislative elections, the winner is the party winning the most seats across the by-elections in scope.\nIn scope: every Legislative Yuan by-election held in 2027 to fill a regional or indigenous seat vacated by a legislator who won office in Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. By-elections for any other vacancy are not in scope, and at-large seats are refilled from party lists, not by by-election.\nSeats are counted from the candidates declared elected by the Central Election Commission, for the party each is registered under with the Commission. Independents, including party-backed independents, count for no party.\nIf two parties tie in seats, the one with the higher combined share of the votes cast in the by-elections in scope will resolve to YES and all others to NO\nIf no by-election in scope is held in 2027, all markets resolve to NO\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7,0.30000000000000004],"probability":0.7,"spread":0.09000000000000008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-03-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-03-24T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":37.87,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.758734941482544,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T11:24:27.554285Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T11:24:27.554285Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:55.436738Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlyby/taiwan-legislative-yuan-by-elections-winner/kxtaiwanlyby-27mar25","event_title":"Taiwan Legislative Yuan by-elections winner?","chart_24h":[0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAIWANLYBY-27MAR25-KMT","event_id":"KXTAIWANLYBY-27MAR25","slug":"KXTAIWANLYBY-27MAR25-KMT","question":"Will Kuomintang win the most seats in Taiwan’s 2027 Legislative Yuan by-elections for seats vacated by winners of the 2026 local elections?","group_item_title":"Kuomintang","description":"If the Kuomintang wins the most seats in Taiwan’s 2027 Legislative Yuan by-elections for seats vacated by winners of the 2026 local elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor legislative elections, the winner is the party winning the most seats across the by-elections in scope.\nIn scope: every Legislative Yuan by-election held in 2027 to fill a regional or indigenous seat vacated by a legislator who won office in Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. By-elections for any other vacancy are not in scope, and at-large seats are refilled from party lists, not by by-election.\nSeats are counted from the candidates declared elected by the Central Election Commission, for the party each is registered under with the Commission. Independents, including party-backed independents, count for no party.\nIf two parties tie in seats, the one with the higher combined share of the votes cast in the by-elections in scope will resolve to YES and all others to NO\nIf no by-election in scope is held in 2027, all markets resolve to NO\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-03-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-03-24T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.03,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.0002451321925036609,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T11:24:27.554285Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T11:24:27.554285Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:55.436738Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtaiwanlyby/taiwan-legislative-yuan-by-elections-winner/kxtaiwanlyby-27mar25","event_title":"Taiwan Legislative Yuan by-elections winner?","chart_24h":[0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28]}]}