{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFBILL","ticker":"KXTARIFFBILL","slug":"KXTARIFFBILL","title":"Will new tariffs become law?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4360.44,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.491731643676758,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2596.17,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.056,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-08T04:47:00.242930Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T04:47:00.242930Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffbill/will-new-tariffs-become-law/kxtariffbill","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFBILL-27JAN01","event_id":"KXTARIFFBILL","slug":"KXTARIFFBILL-27JAN01","question":"Will any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs become law before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For \"become law\" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.056,0.944],"probability":0.056,"spread":0.14100000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1692.22,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.941068649291992,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:53:06.955525Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T17:18:56.786051Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffbill/will-new-tariffs-become-law/kxtariffbill","event_title":"Will new tariffs become law?","chart_24h":[0.056,0.056]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFBILL-26JUL01","event_id":"KXTARIFFBILL","slug":"KXTARIFFBILL-26JUL01","question":"Will any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs become law before Jul 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2026","description":"If any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For \"become law\" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","volume":2668.22,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.078929901123047,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:16:49.714109Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T21:16:49.714109Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffbill/will-new-tariffs-become-law/kxtariffbill","event_title":"Will new tariffs become law?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFBILL-26APR01","event_id":"KXTARIFFBILL","slug":"KXTARIFFBILL-26APR01","question":"Will any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs become law before Apr 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Apr 1, 2026","description":"If any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs has become law after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For \"become law\" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-20T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-04-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T14:00:00Z","volume":1625.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.7569522857666,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:42.173535Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:42.173535Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffbill/will-new-tariffs-become-law/kxtariffbill","event_title":"Will new tariffs become law?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTARIFFBILL","as_of":"2026-06-10T13:55:09.703358Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will new tariffs become law?\" — top market at 6% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}