{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26","ticker":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26","slug":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26","title":"Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-25T01:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2159148.9,"volume_24hr":7133.849999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.352331161499023,"normalized_volume":53.883628845214844,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1014327.5599999999,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.1,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.019000000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-581.13,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:03:34.268748Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:03:34.268748Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffchecks/will-americans-receive-tariff-stimulus-checks/kxtariffchecks-26","chart_24h":[8027.97,8240.42,8162.81,8260.82,8260.82,8260.390000000001,8168.960000000001,7860.000000000001,7792.660000000001,7801.660000000001,7520.7699999999995,7269.23,7205.23,6533.469999999999,7031.13,8203.460000000001,7308.32,6139.26,5926.389999999999,5920.16,5872.179999999999,5285.88,5898.33,4820.09,4505.43,4576.38,6223.57,7196.179999999999,7211.950000000001,7115.92,7399.92,7399.92,7570.37,7576.94,7385.54],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26-27","event_id":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26","slug":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26-27","question":"Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?","group_item_title":"Before 2027","description":"If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (12/18/25):  For this market to resolve to Yes, a Source Agency must report that at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue. A Source Agency writing that someone (e.g., the President) claimed the payments are from tariff revenue does not satisfy this requirement. The Source Agency must report it as fact, not as a claim made by another party. For example, \"Millions of Americans received payments this week, which were funded by tariff revenue\" would qualify, whereas \"Trump said the payments received yesterday are funded by tariff revenue\" would not qualify.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.016,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-11T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":928718.85,"volume_24hr":969.4,"prob_24h_change":0.019000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":-581.13,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.771136283874512,"normalized_volume":54.98170852661133,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:51:07.162600Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:50:35.924349Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffchecks/will-americans-receive-tariff-stimulus-checks/kxtariffchecks-26","event_title":"Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?","chart_24h":[0.081,0.099,0.099,0.082,0.082,0.08,0.083,0.099,0.099,0.099,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.089,0.089,0.08,0.089,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.089,0.09,0.089,0.089,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26-AUG","event_id":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26","slug":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26-AUG","question":"Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?","group_item_title":"Before August","description":"If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (12/18/25):  For this market to resolve to Yes, a Source Agency must report that at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue. A Source Agency writing that someone (e.g., the President) claimed the payments are from tariff revenue does not satisfy this requirement. The Source Agency must report it as fact, not as a claim made by another party. For example, \"Millions of Americans received payments this week, which were funded by tariff revenue\" would qualify, whereas \"Trump said the payments received yesterday are funded by tariff revenue\" would not qualify.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.024,0.976],"probability":0.024,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-25T01:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","volume":691924.02,"volume_24hr":5788.44,"prob_24h_change":0.011000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":11.75,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.634580612182617,"normalized_volume":52.651634216308594,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:03:34.400294Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:03:34.400294Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffchecks/will-americans-receive-tariff-stimulus-checks/kxtariffchecks-26","event_title":"Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?","chart_24h":[0.013,0.013,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.014,0.02,0.02,0.013,0.013,0.014,0.013,0.02,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26-JUL","event_id":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26","slug":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26-JUL","question":"Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?","group_item_title":"Before July","description":"If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (12/18/25):  For this market to resolve to Yes, a Source Agency must report that at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue. A Source Agency writing that someone (e.g., the President) claimed the payments are from tariff revenue does not satisfy this requirement. The Source Agency must report it as fact, not as a claim made by another party. For example, \"Millions of Americans received payments this week, which were funded by tariff revenue\" would qualify, whereas \"Trump said the payments received yesterday are funded by tariff revenue\" would not qualify.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.003,0.997],"probability":0.003,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-11T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":235729.42,"volume_24hr":376.01,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-102.29000000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.98926067352295,"normalized_volume":44.557064056396484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T06:53:03.320914Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T06:26:20.205409Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffchecks/will-americans-receive-tariff-stimulus-checks/kxtariffchecks-26","event_title":"Will Americans receive tariff stimulus 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Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-11T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-04-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T03:59:00Z","volume":107824.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.100547790527344,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:28.665667Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:28.665667Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffchecks/will-americans-receive-tariff-stimulus-checks/kxtariffchecks-26","event_title":"Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26-MAR","event_id":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26","slug":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26-MAR","question":"Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?","group_item_title":"Before March","description":"If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-11T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-03-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-01T04:59:00Z","volume":137730.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.76993179321289,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:28.665667Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:28.665667Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffchecks/will-americans-receive-tariff-stimulus-checks/kxtariffchecks-26","event_title":"Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26-JUN","event_id":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26","slug":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26-JUN","question":"Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?","group_item_title":"Before June","description":"If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.002,0.998],"probability":0.002,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-11T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","volume":107580.17,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.085269927978516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-02T04:04:32.292789Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T14:41:35.907919Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffchecks/will-americans-receive-tariff-stimulus-checks/kxtariffchecks-26","event_title":"Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26-MAY","event_id":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26","slug":"KXTARIFFCHECKS-26-MAY","question":"Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 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