{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01","ticker":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01","slug":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01","title":"What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":601.0,"volume_24hr":600.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.977439880371094,"normalized_volume":9.153369903564453,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":601.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"20% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.57,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":600.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-24T23:04:31.664205Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T23:04:31.664205Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T16:08:02.701980Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffrateprc/what-will-the-tariff-rate-on-chinese-imports-be-on-jan-1-2027/kxtariffrateprc-27jan01","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01-10","event_id":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01","slug":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01-10","question":"Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"20% or above","description":"If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.\n\nExamples (for date = Jan 1, 2026):\n\nIndia: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50%\nChina: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20%\nEuropean Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff \"Floor\" (EO 14326)\nFalkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.43000000000000005],"probability":0.57,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":600.0,"volume_24hr":600.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":600.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.646839141845703,"normalized_volume":10.655027389526367,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T22:20:31.479510Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:17.307095Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T16:08:03.173662Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffrateprc/what-will-the-tariff-rate-on-chinese-imports-be-on-jan-1-2027/kxtariffrateprc-27jan01","event_title":"What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?","chart_24h":[0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01-50","event_id":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01","slug":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01-50","question":"Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 100% on Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"100% or above","description":"If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 100%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.\n\nExamples (for date = Jan 1, 2026):\n\nIndia: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50%\nChina: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20%\nEuropean Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff \"Floor\" (EO 14326)\nFalkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.1250363439321518,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T17:04:49.104165Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T22:50:06.377708Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T16:08:03.173662Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffrateprc/what-will-the-tariff-rate-on-chinese-imports-be-on-jan-1-2027/kxtariffrateprc-27jan01","event_title":"What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01-15","event_id":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01","slug":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01-15","question":"Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 30% on Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"30% or above","description":"If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 30%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.\n\nExamples (for date = Jan 1, 2026):\n\nIndia: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50%\nChina: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20%\nEuropean Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff \"Floor\" (EO 14326)\nFalkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:34:39.426851Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:34:39.426851Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T16:08:03.173662Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffrateprc/what-will-the-tariff-rate-on-chinese-imports-be-on-jan-1-2027/kxtariffrateprc-27jan01","event_title":"What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01-25","event_id":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01","slug":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01-25","question":"Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 50% on Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"50% or above","description":"If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 50%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.\n\nExamples (for date = Jan 1, 2026):\n\nIndia: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50%\nChina: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20%\nEuropean Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff \"Floor\" (EO 14326)\nFalkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:34:39.426851Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:34:39.426851Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T16:08:03.173662Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffrateprc/what-will-the-tariff-rate-on-chinese-imports-be-on-jan-1-2027/kxtariffrateprc-27jan01","event_title":"What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01-5","event_id":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01","slug":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01-5","question":"Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"10% or above","description":"If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.\n\nExamples (for date = Jan 1, 2026):\n\nIndia: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50%\nChina: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20%\nEuropean Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff \"Floor\" (EO 14326)\nFalkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:17.307095Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:17.307095Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T16:08:03.173662Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtariffrateprc/what-will-the-tariff-rate-on-chinese-imports-be-on-jan-1-2027/kxtariffrateprc-27jan01","event_title":"What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01","as_of":"2026-07-25T22:57:14.645920Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?\" — top market at 57% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}