{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTHOMASANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUL","ticker":"KXTHOMASANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUL","slug":"KXTHOMASANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUL","title":"Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8857.23,"volume_24hr":8831.4,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.660398483276367,"normalized_volume":22.3027286529541,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8048.4,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2028","top_outcome_probability":0.4,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-30T17:01:42.801637Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T17:01:42.801637Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T22:09:28.513819Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxthomasannounceretire/will-clarence-thomas-announce-his-retirement/kxthomasannounceretire-26jul","chart_24h":[7.83,0.0,8796.0,8801.57,8831.4],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTHOMASANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUL-27JUL01","event_id":"KXTHOMASANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUL","slug":"KXTHOMASANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUL-27JUL01","question":"Will Clarence Thomas announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2027","description":"If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.6799999999999999],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":4233.83,"volume_24hr":4225.83,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":4225.83,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.520124435424805,"normalized_volume":21.710338592529297,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T17:34:22.226907Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T17:01:43.066598Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T22:09:28.594575Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxthomasannounceretire/will-clarence-thomas-announce-his-retirement/kxthomasannounceretire-26jul","event_title":"Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?","chart_24h":[0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTHOMASANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUL-27JAN01","event_id":"KXTHOMASANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUL","slug":"KXTHOMASANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUL-27JAN01","question":"Will Clarence Thomas announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":4619.4,"volume_24hr":4605.57,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":4605.57,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.09018898010254,"normalized_volume":22.165767669677734,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T16:16:26.924755Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T16:14:28.414147Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T22:09:28.594575Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxthomasannounceretire/will-clarence-thomas-announce-his-retirement/kxthomasannounceretire-26jul","event_title":"Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTHOMASANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUL-28JAN01","event_id":"KXTHOMASANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUL","slug":"KXTHOMASANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUL-28JAN01","question":"Will Clarence Thomas announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.009999999999999953,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":4.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.8063579201698303,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T06:23:40.896230Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T17:07:56.574150Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T22:09:28.594575Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxthomasannounceretire/will-clarence-thomas-announce-his-retirement/kxthomasannounceretire-26jul","event_title":"Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?","chart_24h":[0.4,0.4]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTHOMASANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUL","as_of":"2026-07-30T17:53:47.602628Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?\" — top market at 11% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}