{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","as_of":"2026-10-14T14:29:54.565469Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?\" — 33 markets; highest \"Z AI\" at 99% as of 2026-10-05 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","ticker":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.8629631400108337,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Z AI","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-05T01:54:55.012711Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T01:54:55.012711Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:53.582325Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":33,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-ZAI","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-ZAI","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Z AI","description":"If Z AI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. 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Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T04:49:46.160782Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T04:49:46.160782Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-AMZN","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-AMZN","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Amazon","description":"If Amazon has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. 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Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T04:49:46.160782Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T04:49:46.160782Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-ARCE","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-ARCE","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Arcee AI","description":"If Arcee AI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-BAID","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-BAID","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Baidu","description":"If Baidu has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-BYTE","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-BYTE","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"ByteDance","description":"If ByteDance has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T04:49:46.160782Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T04:49:46.160782Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-CMOB","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-CMOB","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"China Mobile","description":"If China Mobile has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-COHR","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-COHR","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Cohere","description":"If Cohere has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-DSK","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-DSK","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"DeepSeek","description":"If DeepSeek has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-ESSN","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-ESSN","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Essential AI","description":"If Essential AI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-GOOG","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-GOOG","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Google","description":"If Google has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-HUA","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-HUA","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Huawei","description":"If Huawei has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T06:26:16.697006Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T06:26:16.697006Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-IFM","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-IFM","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Institute of Foundation Models","description":"If Institute of Foundation Models has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-INCL","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-INCL","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"InclusionAI","description":"If InclusionAI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-INCP","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-INCP","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Inception","description":"If Inception has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-LGAR","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-LGAR","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"LG AI Research","description":"If LG AI Research has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-LONG","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-LONG","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"LongCat","description":"If LongCat has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-META","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-META","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Meta","description":"If Meta has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-MINI","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-MINI","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"MiniMax","description":"If MiniMax has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-MOON","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-MOON","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Moonshot","description":"If Moonshot has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-MSFT","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-MSFT","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Microsoft","description":"If Microsoft has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T04:49:46.160782Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T04:49:46.160782Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-MSTR","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-MSTR","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Mistral","description":"If Mistral has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-NVDA","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-NVDA","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"NVIDIA","description":"If NVIDIA has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-OAI","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-OAI","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"OpenAI","description":"If OpenAI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-PRIM","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-PRIM","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Prime Intellect","description":"If Prime Intellect has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-REFL","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-REFL","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Reflection AI","description":"If Reflection AI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-SSI","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-SSI","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Safe Superintelligence","description":"If Safe Superintelligence has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-STEP","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-STEP","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"StepFun","description":"If StepFun has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.206105Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-TENC","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-TENC","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Tencent","description":"If Tencent has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. Preliminary or provisional scores do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:58:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T12:26:03.666922Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T00:12:55.949928Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopllmgeneral/which-companies-will-have-the-top-ai-model-before-2030/kxtopllmgeneral-30jan01","event_title":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-TM","event_id":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01","slug":"KXTOPLLMGENERAL-30JAN01-TM","question":"Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?","group_item_title":"Thinking Machines","description":"If Thinking Machines has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nLeading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench under the fallback and tiebreaking rules. 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