{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPMODEL-26OCT31","ticker":"KXTOPMODEL-26OCT31","slug":"KXTOPMODEL-26OCT31","title":"Top AI model this month","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5837.03,"volume_24hr":5837.03,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.761188507080078,"normalized_volume":20.300212860107422,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3332.7,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"gemini-4-argon-high","top_outcome_probability":0.74,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.15000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":547.7,"updated_at":"2026-09-30T22:54:13.894439Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T22:54:13.894439Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T17:32:54.362414Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopmodel/top-ai-model-this-month/kxtopmodel-26oct31","chart_24h":[0.0,2806.0,4812.0,4841.0,4860.7,5637.03],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPMODEL-26OCT31-GEMI","event_id":"KXTOPMODEL-26OCT31","slug":"KXTOPMODEL-26OCT31-GEMI","question":"What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"gemini-4-argon-high","description":"If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","volume":547.7,"volume_24hr":547.7,"prob_24h_change":-0.15000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":547.7,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.158364295959473,"normalized_volume":12.385143280029297,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-30T22:54:14.091263Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T22:54:14.091263Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:45:54.104977Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopmodel/top-ai-model-this-month/kxtopmodel-26oct31","event_title":"Top AI model this month","chart_24h":[0.89,0.89,0.51,0.8]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPMODEL-26OCT31-CLAUM","event_id":"KXTOPMODEL-26OCT31","slug":"KXTOPMODEL-26OCT31-CLAUM","question":"What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"claude-fable-5.1-max","description":"If claude-fable-5.1-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","volume":2358.0,"volume_24hr":2358.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":2358.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.97865867614746,"normalized_volume":18.774715423583984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-30T21:04:09.818903Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T21:04:09.818903Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T17:32:54.526224Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopmodel/top-ai-model-this-month/kxtopmodel-26oct31","event_title":"Top AI model this month","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.02,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTOPMODEL-26OCT31-CLAU55","event_id":"KXTOPMODEL-26OCT31","slug":"KXTOPMODEL-26OCT31-CLAU55","question":"What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"claude-opus-5.5-high","description":"If claude-opus-5.5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","volume":2931.33,"volume_24hr":2931.33,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":2931.33,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.28415870666504,"normalized_volume":19.84137535095215,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-30T22:08:26.194547Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T22:08:26.194547Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T17:32:54.526224Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtopmodel/top-ai-model-this-month/kxtopmodel-26oct31","event_title":"Top AI model this month","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTOPMODEL-26OCT31","as_of":"2026-09-30T23:06:25.765498Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Top AI model this month\" — top market at 1% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}