{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","ticker":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","slug":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","title":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-17T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":103481.95,"volume_24hr":2368.5099999999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.61377716064453,"normalized_volume":36.08406448364258,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":43261.47,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.28,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.09999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2350.79,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T09:51:08.403995Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T09:51:08.403995Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedealcuba/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba/kxtradedealcuba-27","chart_24h":[118.78,2203.27,2293.4,2299.36,2298.2999999999997,2193.2999999999997,2329.5099999999998,2368.5099999999998],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B270101","event_id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","slug":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B270101","question":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPreliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.\nCuba must also acknowledge the agreement.\nA mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or \"explore a trade deal\" is not sufficient.\nIf the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.019999999999999962,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-17T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":49303.38,"volume_24hr":2355.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.09999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":2350.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.960262298583984,"normalized_volume":32.74839401245117,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T09:52:38.680034Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T09:51:08.773422Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedealcuba/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba/kxtradedealcuba-27","event_title":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?","chart_24h":[0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B260801","event_id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","slug":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B260801","question":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Aug 1, 2026","description":"If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPreliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.\nCuba must also acknowledge the agreement.\nA mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or \"explore a trade deal\" is not sufficient.\nIf the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-17T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","volume":54178.57,"volume_24hr":12.72,"prob_24h_change":-0.017,"volume_24h_change":-88.34,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.6116230487823486,"normalized_volume":33.322410583496094,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T09:37:54.799288Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T09:37:54.799288Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedealcuba/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba/kxtradedealcuba-27","event_title":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?","chart_24h":[0.067,0.067,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B260501","event_id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","slug":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B260501","question":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before May 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before May 1, 2026","description":"If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPreliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.\nCuba must also acknowledge the agreement.\nA mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or \"explore a trade deal\" is not sufficient.\nIf the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-17T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-05-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-01T03:59:00Z","volume":10739.63,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.162513732910156,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:42.173535Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:42.173535Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedealcuba/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba/kxtradedealcuba-27","event_title":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 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