{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","ticker":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","slug":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","title":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-17T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":77486.97,"volume_24hr":4237.0199999999995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.107776641845703,"normalized_volume":32.907386779785156,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":41605.42,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.69,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999898,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-313.88,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T16:03:44.727864Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T16:03:44.727864Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedealcuba/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba/kxtradedealcuba-27","chart_24h":[574.56,308.13,233.18,3994.61,4000.98,3971.98,4006.04,4016.97,4004.31,3936.41,3936.41,4000.71,4204.28,4219.4,4237.0199999999995],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B270101","event_id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","slug":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B270101","question":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPreliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.\nCuba must also acknowledge the agreement.\nA mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or \"explore a trade deal\" is not sufficient.\nIf the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is 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Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Aug 1, 2026","description":"If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPreliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.\nCuba must also acknowledge the agreement.\nA mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or \"explore a trade deal\" is not sufficient.\nIf the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-17T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","volume":38365.0,"volume_24hr":4221.9,"prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":3976.3399999999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.993915557861328,"normalized_volume":36.14815902709961,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T16:04:43.418200Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T16:03:44.792492Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedealcuba/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba/kxtradedealcuba-27","event_title":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?","chart_24h":[0.41,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B260501","event_id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","slug":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B260501","question":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before May 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before May 1, 2026","description":"If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPreliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.\nCuba must also acknowledge the agreement.\nA mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or \"explore a trade deal\" is not sufficient.\nIf the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-17T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-05-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-01T03:59:00Z","volume":10739.63,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.95368766784668,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:42.173535Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:42.173535Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedealcuba/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba/kxtradedealcuba-27","event_title":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 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