{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","as_of":"2026-10-18T10:43:53.483849Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?\" — 3 markets; highest \"Before Jan 1, 2027\" at 15% as of 2026-10-17 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedealcuba/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba/kxtradedealcuba-27"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","ticker":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","slug":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","title":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-17T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":68330.93,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.26380157470703,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":29469.45,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.15,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-17T13:06:10.571484Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T13:06:10.571484Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedealcuba/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba/kxtradedealcuba-27","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":3,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B270101","event_id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","slug":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B270101","question":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPreliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.\nCuba must also acknowledge the agreement.\nA mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or \"explore a trade deal\" is not sufficient.\nIf the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-17T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":68330.93,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.57768249511719,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T13:06:10.759416Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T13:06:10.759416Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedealcuba/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba/kxtradedealcuba-27","event_title":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B260501","event_id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","slug":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B260501","question":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before May 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before May 1, 2026","description":"If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPreliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.\nCuba must also acknowledge the agreement.\nA mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or \"explore a trade deal\" is not sufficient.\nIf the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-17T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-05-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-01T03:59:00Z","result":"no","volume":10739.63,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.819011688232422,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:42.173535Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:42.173535Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedealcuba/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba/kxtradedealcuba-27","event_title":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B260801","event_id":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","slug":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B260801","question":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Aug 1, 2026","description":"If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPreliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.\nCuba must also acknowledge the agreement.\nA mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or \"explore a trade deal\" is not sufficient.\nIf the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-17T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","result":"no","volume":59584.23,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.63420486450195,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T03:59:39.509715Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T22:03:11.298994Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedealcuba/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba/kxtradedealcuba-27","event_title":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?","chart_24h":null}]}