{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","ticker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11604.33,"volume_24hr":39.19,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.05947732925415,"normalized_volume":23.064146041870117,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8200.66,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 170‎ billion","top_outcome_probability":0.96,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:49:59.835601Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T20:49:59.835601Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B155.0","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B155.0","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 140‎ billion and 170‎ billion?","group_item_title":"140‎ billion to 170‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 140‎ billion and 170‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":664.19,"volume_24hr":39.19,"prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":39.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.378695964813232,"normalized_volume":12.950510025024414,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:51:23.217626Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T20:50:00.018154Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-T170","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-T170","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be above 170‎ billion?","group_item_title":"Above 170‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is above 170‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.96,0.040000000000000036],"probability":0.96,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":2335.51,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.440486907958984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:33:52.905385Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T08:13:45.692144Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.96,0.96]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B99.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B99.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 95‎ billion and 104.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"95‎ billion to 104.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 95‎ billion and 104.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":794.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.67060661315918,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:54:55.193273Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T23:08:01.169236Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B112.25","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B112.25","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 105‎ billion and 119.5‎ billion?","group_item_title":"105‎ billion to 119.5‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 105‎ billion and 119.5‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":768.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.534814834594727,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:54:55.193273Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T23:08:01.169236Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B129.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B129.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 120‎ billion and 139.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"120‎ billion to 139.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 120‎ billion and 139.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":748.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.427679061889648,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:03:35.145799Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T16:21:51.446259Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-T45","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-T45","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be below 45‎ billion?","group_item_title":"Below 45‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is below 45‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":824.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.822674751281738,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:42:18.363732Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T01:17:26.476586Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B119.75","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B119.75","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 119.6‎ billion and 119.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"119.6‎ billion to 119.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 119.6‎ billion and 119.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-16T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":748.63,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.43109130859375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:42:18.363732Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:32.949951Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B49.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B49.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 45‎ billion and 54.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"45‎ billion to 54.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 45‎ billion and 54.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":900.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.187828063964844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:54:55.193273Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T23:08:01.169236Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B59.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B59.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 55‎ billion and 64.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"55‎ billion to 64.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 55‎ billion and 64.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":1000.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.630191802978516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:42:18.363732Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T01:17:26.476586Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B69.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B69.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 65‎ billion and 74.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"65‎ billion to 74.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 65‎ billion and 74.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":698.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.148818969726562,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:55:10.632555Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T06:42:23.953103Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B79.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B79.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 75‎ billion and 84.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"75‎ billion to 84.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 75‎ billion and 84.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":801.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.706520080566406,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:42:44.726795Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T23:59:10.972318Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B89.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B89.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 85‎ billion and 94.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"85‎ billion to 94.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 85‎ billion and 94.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":1323.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.838587760925293,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:42:18.363732Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T01:17:26.476586Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:38:48.206396Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"US trade deficit for 2026?\" — top market at 5% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}