{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","ticker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13325.48,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.15605354309082,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8256.94,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 170‎ billion","top_outcome_probability":0.82,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T00:51:01.417172Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T00:51:01.417172Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-T170","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-T170","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be above 170‎ billion?","group_item_title":"Above 170‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is above 170‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.82,0.18000000000000005],"probability":0.82,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":3140.98,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.875572204589844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-26T00:43:49.636651Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T00:51:01.770358Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.82,0.82]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B119.75","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B119.75","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 119.6‎ billion and 119.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"119.6‎ billion to 119.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 119.6‎ billion and 119.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-16T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":907.54,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.075749397277832,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:43:51.380849Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T16:42:29.869135Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B59.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B59.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 55‎ billion and 64.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"55‎ billion to 64.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 55‎ billion and 64.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":1188.65,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.050446510314941,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:43:51.380849Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T20:19:28.673589Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B69.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B69.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 65‎ billion and 74.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"65‎ billion to 74.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 65‎ billion and 74.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":1032.9,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.538371086120605,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:43:51.380849Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T20:19:28.673589Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B99.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B99.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 95‎ billion and 104.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"95‎ billion to 104.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 95‎ billion and 104.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":794.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.607071876525879,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:43:51.380849Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T20:19:28.673589Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B112.25","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B112.25","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 105‎ billion and 119.5‎ billion?","group_item_title":"105‎ billion to 119.5‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 105‎ billion and 119.5‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":768.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.491777420043945,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:43:51.380849Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T14:51:09.848143Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B129.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B129.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 120‎ billion and 139.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"120‎ billion to 139.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 120‎ billion and 139.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":748.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.400814056396484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:43:51.380849Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T14:51:09.848143Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-T45","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-T45","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be below 45‎ billion?","group_item_title":"Below 45‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is below 45‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":824.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.736185073852539,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:43:51.380849Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T14:51:09.848143Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B155.0","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B155.0","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 140‎ billion and 170‎ billion?","group_item_title":"140‎ billion to 170‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 140‎ billion and 170‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":710.38,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.22397518157959,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:43:51.380849Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T14:51:09.848143Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B49.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B49.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 45‎ billion and 54.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"45‎ billion to 54.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 45‎ billion and 54.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":900.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.046219825744629,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:43:51.380849Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T14:51:09.848143Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B79.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B79.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 75‎ billion and 84.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"75‎ billion to 84.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 75‎ billion and 84.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":988.03,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.37858772277832,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T00:53:20.532580Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T06:53:36.807393Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B89.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B89.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 85‎ billion and 94.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"85‎ billion to 94.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 85‎ billion and 94.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":1323.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.447803497314453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:43:51.380849Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T14:51:09.848143Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","as_of":"2026-07-26T01:01:48.175489Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"US trade deficit for 2026?\" — top market at 82% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}