{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","as_of":"2026-10-24T07:35:34.131372Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"US trade deficit for 2026?\" — \"Above 170‎ billion\" leads at 96% across 12 outcomes as of 2026-10-23 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","ticker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","title":"US trade deficit for 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2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.96,0.040000000000000036],"probability":0.96,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":5142.44,"volume_24hr":5.19,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":5.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.2431225776672363,"normalized_volume":22.73275375366211,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T22:37:13.766249Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T22:37:13.766249Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B119.75","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B119.75","question":"Will US trade 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2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":800.47,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.917789459228516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T14:27:18.152685Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T14:27:18.152685Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B155.0","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B155.0","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 140‎ billion and 170‎ billion?","group_item_title":"140‎ billion to 170‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 140‎ billion and 170‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":718.23,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.470727920532227,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United 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2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":1188.65,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.61059284210205,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T05:21:25.853798Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T00:53:19.440304Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B69.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B69.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 65‎ billion and 74.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"65‎ billion to 74.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 65‎ billion and 74.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":1032.9,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.998062133789062,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United 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2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":794.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.88406753540039,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:13:36.036601Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:13:36.036601Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B112.25","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B112.25","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 105‎ billion and 119.5‎ billion?","group_item_title":"105‎ billion to 119.5‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 105‎ billion and 119.5‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":768.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.746155738830566,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United 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2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":824.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.038509368896484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T14:27:18.152685Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T14:27:18.152685Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B49.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B49.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 45‎ billion and 54.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"45‎ billion to 54.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 45‎ billion and 54.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":900.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.409364700317383,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United 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2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":988.96,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.810970306396484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T14:27:18.152685Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T14:27:18.152685Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B89.95","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B89.95","question":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 85‎ billion and 94.9‎ billion?","group_item_title":"85‎ billion to 94.9‎ billion","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 85‎ billion and 94.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":1323.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.085901260375977,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-21T15:32:36.318602Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-21T15:32:36.318602Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2026/kxtradedeficit-27feb28","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2026?","chart_24h":null}]}