{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03","ticker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03","title":"US trade deficit for 2030","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-02-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above $1.0 trillion","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-26T19:02:14.119194Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T19:02:14.119194Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T19:02:14.119194Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2030/kxtradedeficit-31feb03","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T1000","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T1000","question":"Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2030 be above $1.0 trillion?","group_item_title":"Above $1.0 trillion","description":"If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $1.0 trillion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods report, the December monthly deficit, or inflation-adjusted trade data.\n\nBecause the agencies generally report the balance as a negative number, the market will use the absolute size of the deficit. For example, an annual trade balance of −$800.1 billion constitutes a trade deficit of $800.1 billion.\n\nResolution will use the first annual estimate published in the release covering December of 2030. Subsequent annual revisions will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-02-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2031-02-03T13:29:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T09:03:37.821168Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T09:03:37.821168Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T19:02:14.227065Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2030/kxtradedeficit-31feb03","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2030","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T1100","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T1100","question":"Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2030 be above $1.1 trillion?","group_item_title":"Above $1.1 trillion","description":"If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $1.1 trillion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods report, the December monthly deficit, or inflation-adjusted trade data.\n\nBecause the agencies generally report the balance as a negative number, the market will use the absolute size of the deficit. For example, an annual trade balance of −$800.1 billion constitutes a trade deficit of $800.1 billion.\n\nResolution will use the first annual estimate published in the release covering December of 2030. Subsequent annual revisions will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-02-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2031-02-03T13:29:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T22:09:42.323715Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T22:09:42.323715Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T19:02:14.227065Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2030/kxtradedeficit-31feb03","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2030","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T1200","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T1200","question":"Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2030 be above $1.2 trillion?","group_item_title":"Above $1.2 trillion","description":"If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $1.2 trillion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods report, the December monthly deficit, or inflation-adjusted trade data.\n\nBecause the agencies generally report the balance as a negative number, the market will use the absolute size of the deficit. For example, an annual trade balance of −$800.1 billion constitutes a trade deficit of $800.1 billion.\n\nResolution will use the first annual estimate published in the release covering December of 2030. Subsequent annual revisions will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-02-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2031-02-03T13:29:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T22:09:42.323715Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T22:09:42.323715Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T19:02:14.227065Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2030/kxtradedeficit-31feb03","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2030","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T500","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T500","question":"Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2030 be above $500 billion?","group_item_title":"Above $500 billion","description":"If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $500 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods report, the December monthly deficit, or inflation-adjusted trade data.\n\nBecause the agencies generally report the balance as a negative number, the market will use the absolute size of the deficit. For example, an annual trade balance of −$800.1 billion constitutes a trade deficit of $800.1 billion.\n\nResolution will use the first annual estimate published in the release covering December of 2030. Subsequent annual revisions will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-02-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2031-02-03T13:29:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T22:09:42.323715Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T22:09:42.323715Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T19:02:14.227065Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2030/kxtradedeficit-31feb03","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2030","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T600","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T600","question":"Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2030 be above $600 billion?","group_item_title":"Above $600 billion","description":"If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $600 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods report, the December monthly deficit, or inflation-adjusted trade data.\n\nBecause the agencies generally report the balance as a negative number, the market will use the absolute size of the deficit. For example, an annual trade balance of −$800.1 billion constitutes a trade deficit of $800.1 billion.\n\nResolution will use the first annual estimate published in the release covering December of 2030. Subsequent annual revisions will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-02-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2031-02-03T13:29:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T09:03:37.821168Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T09:03:37.821168Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T19:02:14.227065Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2030/kxtradedeficit-31feb03","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2030","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T700","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T700","question":"Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2030 be above $700 billion?","group_item_title":"Above $700 billion","description":"If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $700 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods report, the December monthly deficit, or inflation-adjusted trade data.\n\nBecause the agencies generally report the balance as a negative number, the market will use the absolute size of the deficit. For example, an annual trade balance of −$800.1 billion constitutes a trade deficit of $800.1 billion.\n\nResolution will use the first annual estimate published in the release covering December of 2030. Subsequent annual revisions will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-02-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2031-02-03T13:29:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T09:03:37.821168Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T09:03:37.821168Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T19:02:14.227065Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2030/kxtradedeficit-31feb03","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2030","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T800","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T800","question":"Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2030 be above $800 billion?","group_item_title":"Above $800 billion","description":"If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $800 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods report, the December monthly deficit, or inflation-adjusted trade data.\n\nBecause the agencies generally report the balance as a negative number, the market will use the absolute size of the deficit. For example, an annual trade balance of −$800.1 billion constitutes a trade deficit of $800.1 billion.\n\nResolution will use the first annual estimate published in the release covering December of 2030. Subsequent annual revisions will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-02-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2031-02-03T13:29:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T09:03:37.821168Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T09:03:37.821168Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T19:02:14.227065Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2030/kxtradedeficit-31feb03","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2030","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T900","event_id":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03","slug":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T900","question":"Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2030 be above $900 billion?","group_item_title":"Above $900 billion","description":"If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $900 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods report, the December monthly deficit, or inflation-adjusted trade data.\n\nBecause the agencies generally report the balance as a negative number, the market will use the absolute size of the deficit. For example, an annual trade balance of −$800.1 billion constitutes a trade deficit of $800.1 billion.\n\nResolution will use the first annual estimate published in the release covering December of 2030. Subsequent annual revisions will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-02-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2031-02-03T13:29:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T09:03:37.821168Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T09:03:37.821168Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T19:02:14.227065Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtradedeficit/us-trade-deficit-for-2030/kxtradedeficit-31feb03","event_title":"US trade deficit for 2030","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03","as_of":"2026-09-09T06:41:33.936600Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"US trade deficit for 2030\" — top market at 0% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}