{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRANSGENDERSPORTSBAN","ticker":"KXTRANSGENDERSPORTSBAN","slug":"KXTRANSGENDERSPORTSBAN","title":"Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-12T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":22930.01,"volume_24hr":1.07,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.19640743732452393,"normalized_volume":26.543025970458984,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":9545.46,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.911,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.041999999999999926,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-103.51,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:53:35.046158Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T18:53:35.046158Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtransgendersportsban/will-the-supreme-court-uphold-transgender-sports-bans/kxtransgendersportsban","chart_24h":[0.0,1.07],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRANSGENDERSPORTSBAN","event_id":"KXTRANSGENDERSPORTSBAN","slug":"KXTRANSGENDERSPORTSBAN","question":"Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans?","group_item_title":"Before 2027","description":"If the Supreme Court, in West Virginia v. B.P.J. or Little v. Hecox, rules to uphold state laws restricting transgender athletes in sports, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision in West Virginia v. B.P.J. or Little v. Hecox holding that the Equal Protection Clause or Title IX does not prohibit states from designating sports teams based on biological sex, after Issuance and before January 1, 2027. The market resolves to No if the Supreme Court affirms that such restrictions are unconstitutional or unlawful. If the cases are dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision regarding the validity of such laws before January 1, 2027, the market also resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.911,0.08899999999999997],"probability":0.911,"spread":0.040999999999999925,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-12T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":22930.01,"volume_24hr":1.07,"prob_24h_change":-0.041999999999999926,"volume_24h_change":-103.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.20867840945720673,"normalized_volume":30.898622512817383,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:59:20.930624Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:59:20.930624Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtransgendersportsban/will-the-supreme-court-uphold-transgender-sports-bans/kxtransgendersportsban","event_title":"Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans?","chart_24h":[0.953,0.953,0.953,0.911,0.911,0.911]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRANSGENDERSPORTSBAN","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:26:15.941260Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans?\" — top market at 91% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}