{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","ticker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":78605.55,"volume_24hr":14.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.6925265789031982,"normalized_volume":34.83470916748047,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":32724.84,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Uganda","top_outcome_probability":0.35,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-29T05:17:48.867233Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T05:17:48.867233Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","chart_24h":[0.0,14.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-RUS","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-RUS","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Russia?","group_item_title":"Russia","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Russia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.026,0.974],"probability":0.026,"spread":0.047999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":3363.01,"volume_24hr":14.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":14.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.024127721786499,"normalized_volume":20.52988624572754,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T05:21:25.853798Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T05:17:49.089332Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.026,0.026]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-VEN","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-VEN","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Venezuela?","group_item_title":"Venezuela","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Venezuela after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-19T23:19:45Z","volume":16249.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.265167236328125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:42.173535Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:42.173535Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-UGA","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-UGA","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Uganda?","group_item_title":"Uganda","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Uganda after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T22:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":563.83,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.499183654785156,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Uganda"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T05:34:44.544185Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T05:34:44.544185Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T22:05:09.960518Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SYR","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SYR","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?","group_item_title":"Syria","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Syria after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.049,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":7817.94,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.01569366455078,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Syria","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T04:24:42.276143Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T04:24:42.276143Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-DRC","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-DRC","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Democratic Republic of the Congo?","group_item_title":"Democratic Republic of the Congo","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Democratic Republic of the Congo after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T22:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1027.38,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.974936485290527,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Democratic Republic of the Congo","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T04:24:42.276143Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T04:24:42.276143Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T22:05:09.960518Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LEB","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LEB","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Lebanon?","group_item_title":"Lebanon","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Lebanon after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":8059.86,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.18604850769043,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Lebanon","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T04:24:42.276143Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T04:24:42.276143Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LIB","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LIB","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Libya?","group_item_title":"Libya","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Libya after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.051,0.949],"probability":0.051,"spread":0.046,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":274.8,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.831095695495605,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Libya","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T02:14:28.915793Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T02:14:28.915793Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SSUD","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SSUD","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for South Sudan?","group_item_title":"South Sudan","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for South Sudan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.051,0.949],"probability":0.051,"spread":0.025,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":533.04,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.279022216796875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["South Sudan"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T19:51:43.740505Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T16:17:31.917470Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.051,0.051]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-YEM","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-YEM","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Yemen?","group_item_title":"Yemen","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Yemen after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.036,0.964],"probability":0.036,"spread":0.049,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":3032.53,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.01038360595703,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Yemen","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T04:24:42.276143Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T04:24:42.276143Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.036,0.036,0.036,0.036]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-UKR","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-UKR","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Ukraine?","group_item_title":"Ukraine","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Ukraine after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.018,0.982],"probability":0.018,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6963.84,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.37425994873047,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T02:35:33.740139Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T02:35:33.740139Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-HAI","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-HAI","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Haiti?","group_item_title":"Haiti","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Haiti after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.013,0.987],"probability":0.013,"spread":0.037000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1821.63,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.548179626464844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Haiti"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T04:24:42.276143Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T04:24:42.276143Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.013]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRQ","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRQ","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iraq?","group_item_title":"Iraq","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Iraq after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.012,0.988],"probability":0.012,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1944.73,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.855018615722656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iraq","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T05:52:13.005356Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T05:52:13.005356Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRA","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRA","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iran?","group_item_title":"Iran","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.011,0.989],"probability":0.011,"spread":0.005999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":32478.19,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.59486770629883,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T20:06:00.867382Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-28T20:06:00.867382Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-AFG","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-AFG","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Afghanistan?","group_item_title":"Afghanistan","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Afghanistan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.041999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1749.37,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.359588623046875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Afghanistan","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T04:24:42.276143Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T04:24:42.276143Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-GAZ","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-GAZ","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Gaza?","group_item_title":"Gaza","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Gaza after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.039,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":418.9,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.356791496276855,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T04:10:20.067661Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T00:19:11.722470Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-MYA","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-MYA","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Burma (Myanmar)?","group_item_title":"Burma (Myanmar)","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Burma (Myanmar) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.039,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":194.34,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.661273956298828,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Myanmar"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T11:43:46.303795Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T00:19:11.722470Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-NKOR","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-NKOR","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for North Korea?","group_item_title":"North Korea","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for North Korea after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":323.87,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.412370681762695,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["North Korea","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T12:33:15.717159Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T05:47:33.494205Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SUD","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SUD","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Sudan?","group_item_title":"Sudan","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Sudan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":264.93,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.704002380371094,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Sudan","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T14:02:58.101571Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T05:47:33.494205Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SOM","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SOM","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Somalia?","group_item_title":"Somalia","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Somalia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.006,0.994],"probability":0.006,"spread":0.028,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":7773.36,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.98379135131836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Somalia","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T00:16:21.574526Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T00:16:21.574526Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","as_of":"2026-08-29T05:54:43.661126Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?\" — top market at 3% probability across 19 outcomes","source_url":null}}