{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","ticker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":71075.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.774452209472656,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":32833.75,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Uganda","top_outcome_probability":0.4,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-10T14:38:24.989595Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T14:38:24.989595Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-VEN","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-VEN","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Venezuela?","group_item_title":"Venezuela","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Venezuela after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-19T23:19:45Z","volume":16249.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.366369247436523,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:42.173535Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:42.173535Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-UGA","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-UGA","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Uganda?","group_item_title":"Uganda","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Uganda after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T22:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":546.83,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.152746200561523,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Uganda"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T00:45:29.282063Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T00:45:29.282063Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T22:05:09.960518Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.4,0.4]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-DRC","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-DRC","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Democratic Republic of the Congo?","group_item_title":"Democratic Republic of the Congo","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Democratic Republic of the Congo after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T22:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":393.78,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.02393627166748,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Democratic Republic of the Congo","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T22:05:09.960518Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.35]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LEB","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LEB","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Lebanon?","group_item_title":"Lebanon","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Lebanon after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.09000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6713.31,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.77846908569336,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Lebanon","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T20:57:22.741496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:05:27.093120Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SSUD","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SSUD","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for South Sudan?","group_item_title":"South Sudan","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for South Sudan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.057999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":527.7,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.027375221252441,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["South Sudan"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T20:57:22.741496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:05:27.093120Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-RUS","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-RUS","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Russia?","group_item_title":"Russia","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Russia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":2729.65,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.558347702026367,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T10:26:17.620859Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T06:09:59.336096Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SYR","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SYR","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?","group_item_title":"Syria","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Syria after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.08399999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":7803.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.5282039642334,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Syria","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T12:03:48.808552Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T12:03:48.808552Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-UKR","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-UKR","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Ukraine?","group_item_title":"Ukraine","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Ukraine after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":5899.2,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.144258499145508,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T23:52:06.882137Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T16:57:25.452535Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-AFG","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-AFG","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Afghanistan?","group_item_title":"Afghanistan","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Afghanistan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.076,0.924],"probability":0.076,"spread":0.062,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1632.65,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.352338790893555,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Afghanistan","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T06:44:45.271153Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T06:06:24.532377Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.076,0.076]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-HAI","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-HAI","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Haiti?","group_item_title":"Haiti","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Haiti after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.066,0.9339999999999999],"probability":0.066,"spread":0.059,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1747.33,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.635189056396484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Haiti"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.066,0.066]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LIB","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LIB","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Libya?","group_item_title":"Libya","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Libya after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.051,0.949],"probability":0.051,"spread":0.052000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":274.8,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.857297897338867,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Libya","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T20:57:22.741496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:05:27.093120Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRA","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRA","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iran?","group_item_title":"Iran","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.03899999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":31934.94,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.168991088867188,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T08:35:15.821838Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T08:06:56.888475Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SUD","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SUD","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Sudan?","group_item_title":"Sudan","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Sudan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.039,0.961],"probability":0.039,"spread":0.032,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":145.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.965723514556885,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Sudan","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T06:06:24.532377Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T06:06:24.532377Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-NKOR","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-NKOR","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for North Korea?","group_item_title":"North Korea","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for North Korea after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.038,0.962],"probability":0.038,"spread":0.032,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":211.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.047388076782227,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["North Korea","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T06:06:24.532377Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T06:06:24.532377Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-MYA","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-MYA","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Burma (Myanmar)?","group_item_title":"Burma (Myanmar)","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Burma (Myanmar) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.022,0.978],"probability":0.022,"spread":0.043000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":173.2,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.468140602111816,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Myanmar"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T06:06:24.532377Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T06:06:24.532377Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-YEM","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-YEM","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Yemen?","group_item_title":"Yemen","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Yemen after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.08900000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":2451.52,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.08481216430664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Yemen","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T20:57:22.741496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:05:27.093120Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-GAZ","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-GAZ","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Gaza?","group_item_title":"Gaza","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Gaza after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.012,0.988],"probability":0.012,"spread":0.043,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":324.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.382293701171875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T06:44:45.271153Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T06:06:24.532377Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.012,0.012]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRQ","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRQ","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iraq?","group_item_title":"Iraq","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Iraq after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.012,0.988],"probability":0.012,"spread":0.023000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1931.09,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.05655860900879,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iraq","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.012,0.012,0.012]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SOM","event_id":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SOM","question":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Somalia?","group_item_title":"Somalia","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Somalia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.047,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":5636.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.922584533691406,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Somalia","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtraveldowngrade/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","as_of":"2026-07-12T21:01:46.656086Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 19 outcomes","source_url":null}}