{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","ticker":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","slug":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","title":"How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-11T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16578.39,"volume_24hr":1303.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.547443389892578,"normalized_volume":25.985881805419922,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":10382.960000000001,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"7","top_outcome_probability":0.24,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-10.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-12T06:07:04.905990Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T06:07:04.905990Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorseloss/how-many-trump-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxtrumpendorseloss-26sep16","chart_24h":[201.98,561.98,1012.98,1343.0,1303.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T6","event_id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","slug":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T6","question":"Will the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 be exactly 6 in primaries from Apr 10, 2026 to Sept 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"6","description":"If the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is exactly 6, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEndorsements are determined per the specifications of the ENDORSE contract. An endorsement must be made before the primary to count; if Trump endorses multiple candidates in the same race, that race is excluded. \"Primary\" includes runoffs and top-two/jungle primaries (e.g., California), and any election titled a primary. A candidate who withdraws before the primary is not counted as a loss; a candidate who advances past a top-two primary and then withdraws is counted as a loss. Only primaries held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 are included.\n\nClarification (06/29/26): To clarify, when a race goes to a runoff, the runoff is the operative contest, consistent with the rule that \"Primary\" includes runoffs. Both the South Carolina governor and Oklahoma 1st District races are excluded. In each, Trump endorsed two different candidates in the same race. In South Carolina he co-endorsed Evette and Wilson before the runoff. In Oklahoma, he endorsed Lahmeyer before the June primary and then endorsed Tedford before Tedford secured the nomination following Lahmeyer’s withdrawal. The exclusion rule applies whether the two endorsements are made together or in sequence, so both races are excluded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-05T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-16T13:59:00Z","volume":2839.23,"volume_24hr":1303.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.16999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":1117.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.889894485473633,"normalized_volume":19.683069229125977,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T06:09:35.641009Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T06:07:05.034020Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorseloss/how-many-trump-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxtrumpendorseloss-26sep16","event_title":"How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T7","event_id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","slug":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T7","question":"Will the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 be exactly 7 in primaries from Apr 10, 2026 to Sept 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"7","description":"If the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is exactly 7, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEndorsements are determined per the specifications of the ENDORSE contract. An endorsement must be made before the primary to count; if Trump endorses multiple candidates in the same race, that race is excluded. \"Primary\" includes runoffs and top-two/jungle primaries (e.g., California), and any election titled a primary. A candidate who withdraws before the primary is not counted as a loss; a candidate who advances past a top-two primary and then withdraws is counted as a loss. Only primaries held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 are included.\n\nClarification (06/29/26): To clarify, when a race goes to a runoff, the runoff is the operative contest, consistent with the rule that \"Primary\" includes runoffs. Both the South Carolina governor and Oklahoma 1st District races are excluded. In each, Trump endorsed two different candidates in the same race. In South Carolina he co-endorsed Evette and Wilson before the runoff. In Oklahoma, he endorsed Lahmeyer before the June primary and then endorsed Tedford before Tedford secured the nomination following Lahmeyer’s withdrawal. The exclusion rule applies whether the two endorsements are made together or in sequence, so both races are excluded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.05000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-05T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-16T13:59:00Z","volume":493.78,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.982261657714844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T06:59:49.200869Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T06:59:49.200869Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorseloss/how-many-trump-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxtrumpendorseloss-26sep16","event_title":"How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","chart_24h":[0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T8","event_id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","slug":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T8","question":"Will the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 be exactly 8 in primaries from Apr 10, 2026 to Sept 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"8","description":"If the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is exactly 8, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEndorsements are determined per the specifications of the ENDORSE contract. An endorsement must be made before the primary to count; if Trump endorses multiple candidates in the same race, that race is excluded. \"Primary\" includes runoffs and top-two/jungle primaries (e.g., California), and any election titled a primary. A candidate who withdraws before the primary is not counted as a loss; a candidate who advances past a top-two primary and then withdraws is counted as a loss. Only primaries held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 are included.\n\nClarification (06/29/26): To clarify, when a race goes to a runoff, the runoff is the operative contest, consistent with the rule that \"Primary\" includes runoffs. Both the South Carolina governor and Oklahoma 1st District races are excluded. In each, Trump endorsed two different candidates in the same race. In South Carolina he co-endorsed Evette and Wilson before the runoff. In Oklahoma, he endorsed Lahmeyer before the June primary and then endorsed Tedford before Tedford secured the nomination following Lahmeyer’s withdrawal. The exclusion rule applies whether the two endorsements are made together or in sequence, so both races are excluded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.05000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-05T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-16T13:59:00Z","volume":138.12,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.582509994506836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T06:59:49.200869Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T06:59:49.200869Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorseloss/how-many-trump-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxtrumpendorseloss-26sep16","event_title":"How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","chart_24h":[0.24,0.24,0.24]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T9","event_id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","slug":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T9","question":"Will the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 be exactly 9 in primaries from Apr 10, 2026 to Sept 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"9","description":"If the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is exactly 9, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEndorsements are determined per the specifications of the ENDORSE contract. An endorsement must be made before the primary to count; if Trump endorses multiple candidates in the same race, that race is excluded. \"Primary\" includes runoffs and top-two/jungle primaries (e.g., California), and any election titled a primary. A candidate who withdraws before the primary is not counted as a loss; a candidate who advances past a top-two primary and then withdraws is counted as a loss. Only primaries held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 are included.\n\nClarification (06/29/26): To clarify, when a race goes to a runoff, the runoff is the operative contest, consistent with the rule that \"Primary\" includes runoffs. Both the South Carolina governor and Oklahoma 1st District races are excluded. In each, Trump endorsed two different candidates in the same race. In South Carolina he co-endorsed Evette and Wilson before the runoff. In Oklahoma, he endorsed Lahmeyer before the June primary and then endorsed Tedford before Tedford secured the nomination following Lahmeyer’s withdrawal. The exclusion rule applies whether the two endorsements are made together or in sequence, so both races are excluded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-05T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-16T13:59:00Z","volume":28.5,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.5656626224517822,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T05:16:16.524333Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T05:16:16.524333Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorseloss/how-many-trump-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxtrumpendorseloss-26sep16","event_title":"How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T10","event_id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","slug":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T10","question":"Will the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 be exactly 10 in primaries from Apr 10, 2026 to Sept 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"10","description":"If the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is exactly 10, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEndorsements are determined per the specifications of the ENDORSE contract. An endorsement must be made before the primary to count; if Trump endorses multiple candidates in the same race, that race is excluded. \"Primary\" includes runoffs and top-two/jungle primaries (e.g., California), and any election titled a primary. A candidate who withdraws before the primary is not counted as a loss; a candidate who advances past a top-two primary and then withdraws is counted as a loss. Only primaries held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 are included.\n\nClarification (06/29/26): To clarify, when a race goes to a runoff, the runoff is the operative contest, consistent with the rule that \"Primary\" includes runoffs. Both the South Carolina governor and Oklahoma 1st District races are excluded. In each, Trump endorsed two different candidates in the same race. In South Carolina he co-endorsed Evette and Wilson before the runoff. In Oklahoma, he endorsed Lahmeyer before the June primary and then endorsed Tedford before Tedford secured the nomination following Lahmeyer’s withdrawal. The exclusion rule applies whether the two endorsements are made together or in sequence, so both races are excluded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-05T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-16T13:59:00Z","volume":516.54,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-17.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.156610488891602,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T06:09:35.641009Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T06:07:05.034020Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorseloss/how-many-trump-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxtrumpendorseloss-26sep16","event_title":"How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T5","event_id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","slug":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T5","question":"Will 5 Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries?","group_item_title":"5","description":"If the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEndorsements are determined per the specifications of the ENDORSE contract. An endorsement must be made before the primary to count; if Trump endorses multiple candidates in the same race, that race is excluded. \"Primary\" includes runoffs and top-two/jungle primaries (e.g., California), and any election titled a primary. A candidate who withdraws before the primary is not counted as a loss; a candidate who advances past a top-two primary and then withdraws is counted as a loss. Only primaries held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 are included.\n\nClarification (06/29/26): To clarify, when a race goes to a runoff, the runoff is the operative contest, consistent with the rule that \"Primary\" includes runoffs. Both the South Carolina governor and Oklahoma 1st District races are excluded. In each, Trump endorsed two different candidates in the same race. In South Carolina he co-endorsed Evette and Wilson before the runoff. In Oklahoma, he endorsed Lahmeyer before the June primary and then endorsed Tedford before Tedford secured the nomination following Lahmeyer’s withdrawal. The exclusion rule applies whether the two endorsements are made together or in sequence, so both races are excluded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-11T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-07T14:29:14Z","volume":1215.94,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.710748672485352,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T14:43:19.232438Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T02:19:08.306492Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorseloss/how-many-trump-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxtrumpendorseloss-26sep16","event_title":"How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T0","event_id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","slug":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T0","question":"Will 0 Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries?","group_item_title":"0","description":"If the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is exactly 0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEndorsements are determined per the specifications of the ENDORSE contract. An endorsement must be made before the primary to count; if Trump endorses multiple candidates in the same race, that race is excluded. \"Primary\" includes runoffs and top-two/jungle primaries (e.g., California), and any election titled a primary. A candidate who withdraws before the primary is not counted as a loss; a candidate who advances past a top-two primary and then withdraws is counted as a loss. Only primaries held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 are included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-11T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-10T17:46:30Z","volume":21636.25,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.019119262695312,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-11T17:57:10.605213Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-11T17:05:06.005349Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorseloss/how-many-trump-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxtrumpendorseloss-26sep16","event_title":"How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T1","event_id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","slug":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T1","question":"Will 1 Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries?","group_item_title":"1","description":"If the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEndorsements are determined per the specifications of the ENDORSE contract. An endorsement must be made before the primary to count; if Trump endorses multiple candidates in the same race, that race is excluded. \"Primary\" includes runoffs and top-two/jungle primaries (e.g., California), and any election titled a primary. A candidate who withdraws before the primary is not counted as a loss; a candidate who advances past a top-two primary and then withdraws is counted as a loss. Only primaries held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 are included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.03,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-11T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-10T17:46:42Z","volume":2080.44,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.174345016479492,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-11T17:57:10.605213Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-11T17:05:06.005349Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorseloss/how-many-trump-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxtrumpendorseloss-26sep16","event_title":"How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T2","event_id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","slug":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T2","question":"Will 2 Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries?","group_item_title":"2","description":"If the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEndorsements are determined per the specifications of the ENDORSE contract. An endorsement must be made before the primary to count; if Trump endorses multiple candidates in the same race, that race is excluded. \"Primary\" includes runoffs and top-two/jungle primaries (e.g., California), and any election titled a primary. A candidate who withdraws before the primary is not counted as a loss; a candidate who advances past a top-two primary and then withdraws is counted as a loss. Only primaries held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 are included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-11T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-24T19:30:16Z","volume":3036.13,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.01630401611328,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T19:33:36.094521Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T20:08:27.460891Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorseloss/how-many-trump-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxtrumpendorseloss-26sep16","event_title":"How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T3","event_id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","slug":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T3","question":"Will 3 Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries?","group_item_title":"3","description":"If the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is exactly 3, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEndorsements are determined per the specifications of the ENDORSE contract. An endorsement must be made before the primary to count; if Trump endorses multiple candidates in the same race, that race is excluded. \"Primary\" includes runoffs and top-two/jungle primaries (e.g., California), and any election titled a primary. A candidate who withdraws before the primary is not counted as a loss; a candidate who advances past a top-two primary and then withdraws is counted as a loss. Only primaries held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 are included.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-11T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-24T19:30:24Z","volume":2844.82,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.692806243896484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T19:33:36.094521Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T20:08:27.460891Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorseloss/how-many-trump-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxtrumpendorseloss-26sep16","event_title":"How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T4","event_id":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","slug":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T4","question":"Will 4 Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries?","group_item_title":"4","description":"If the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is exactly 4, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEndorsements are determined per the specifications of the ENDORSE contract. An endorsement must be made before the primary to count; if Trump endorses multiple candidates in the same race, that race is excluded. \"Primary\" includes runoffs and top-two/jungle primaries (e.g., California), and any election titled a primary. A candidate who withdraws before the primary is not counted as a loss; a candidate who advances past a top-two primary and then withdraws is counted as a loss. Only primaries held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 are included.\n\nClarification (06/29/26): To clarify, when a race goes to a runoff, the runoff is the operative contest, consistent with the rule that \"Primary\" includes runoffs. Both the South Carolina governor and Oklahoma 1st District races are excluded. In each, Trump endorsed two different candidates in the same race. In South Carolina he co-endorsed Evette and Wilson before the runoff. In Oklahoma, he endorsed Lahmeyer before the June primary and then endorsed Tedford before Tedford secured the nomination following Lahmeyer’s withdrawal. The exclusion rule applies whether the two endorsements are made together or in sequence, so both races are excluded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-11T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-07T14:29:14Z","volume":5465.33,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.057842254638672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T14:43:19.232438Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T04:16:16.467862Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorseloss/how-many-trump-endorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxtrumpendorseloss-26sep16","event_title":"How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","as_of":"2026-08-12T07:09:51.608652Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?\" — top market at 1% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}