{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPFLAVIO-26OCT26","ticker":"KXTRUMPFLAVIO-26OCT26","slug":"KXTRUMPFLAVIO-26OCT26","title":"Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T00:13:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1394.01,"volume_24hr":1394.01,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.445384979248047,"normalized_volume":14.468531608581543,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":996.01,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.86,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.86,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1394.01,"updated_at":"2026-08-18T19:38:18.384240Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T19:38:18.384240Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T00:29:23.372641Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpflavio/will-trump-endorse-flvio-bolsonaro/kxtrumpflavio-26oct26","chart_24h":[0.0,170.0,188.0,191.5,1014.01,1014.01,1394.01],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPFLAVIO-26OCT26","event_id":"KXTRUMPFLAVIO-26OCT26","slug":"KXTRUMPFLAVIO-26OCT26","question":"Will Donald Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election before Oct 26, 2026?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If Donald Trump publicly endorses Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election before Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"endorsement\" requires:\nA clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election\nThe statement must be public (not private communications)\nThe endorsement must specifically reference the 2026 Brazilian presidential election or be clearly in context of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election\nThe endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels\n\nThe following scenarios would resolve to YES:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse candidate for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support candidate\" with clear reference to the 2026 Brazilian presidential election\nDonald Trump states \"I'm voting for candidate\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"candidate has my full support\" for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election\nDonald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse\nDonald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization\nDonald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials\n\nStatements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion.\n\nThe Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race. If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves \"Yes\" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve \"No.\" If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves \"Yes\" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01. \n\nIf no endorsement occurs before expiration, the \"No one\" strike resolves \"Yes\" at $1.00 and all named-candidate strikes resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf a candidate withdraws from, suspends their campaign for, ceases to be a candidate in, or loses the primary or general election for the specified race before a qualifying endorsement is confirmed, their strike may resolve to No in the sole discretion of the Exchange.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.86,0.14],"probability":0.86,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T00:13:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-26T14:00:00Z","volume":1394.01,"volume_24hr":1394.01,"prob_24h_change":0.86,"volume_24h_change":1394.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.3300838470459,"normalized_volume":16.32056999206543,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States","Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T22:29:15.093899Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T22:29:15.093899Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T00:29:24.043436Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpflavio/will-trump-endorse-flvio-bolsonaro/kxtrumpflavio-26oct26","event_title":"Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPFLAVIO-26OCT26","as_of":"2026-08-18T23:28:30.023302Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?\" — top market at 86% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}