{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20","as_of":"2026-11-06T21:03:12.703509Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How many Senate Republicans will vote to convict Trump?\" — 7 markets; highest \"At least 1\" at 56% as of 2026-11-06 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpgopconvict/how-many-senate-republicans-will-vote-to-convict-trump/kxtrumpgopconvict-29jan20"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20","ticker":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20","slug":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20","title":"How many Senate Republicans will vote to convict Trump?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-05T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-04-20T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5894.4,"volume_24hr":5893.4,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.068714141845703,"normalized_volume":19.943410873413086,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5517.57,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 1","top_outcome_probability":0.56,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.42999999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":969.98,"updated_at":"2026-11-06T20:52:51.335017Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T20:52:51.335017Z","added_at":"2026-11-05T03:03:41.677218Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpgopconvict/how-many-senate-republicans-will-vote-to-convict-trump/kxtrumpgopconvict-29jan20","chart_24h":[401.0,609.13,611.18,610.18,1610.18,1626.65,1802.65,1802.65,1885.0300000000002,4685.59,5085.59,5880.75],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":7,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20-AL1","event_id":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20","slug":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20-AL1","question":"Will the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment be at least 1 before Jan 20, 2029?","group_item_title":"At least 1","description":"If the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment is at least 1 before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe first Senate roll-call vote after Issuance on whether Donald Trump is guilty or not guilty on an article of impeachment counts, whichever article is voted on first, and only Republican Senators voting guilty on that vote count.\n\nIf no such vote occurs before Jan 20, 2029, the number is 0.\n\nA Senator is a Republican if the Senate lists them as a Republican on the day of the vote. Independent Senators do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans.\n\nThe following do NOT count:\nThe Senate votes of Feb 5, 2020 and Feb 13, 2021\nA vote on a motion to dismiss, a point of order, or any other procedural question\nA vote on any later article, or in any later impeachment trial of Donald Trump","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.039999999999999925,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-05T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-04-20T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-20T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":971.98,"volume_24hr":970.98,"prob_24h_change":-0.42999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":969.98,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.241924285888672,"normalized_volume":13.281570434570312,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-06T20:18:33.925268Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T20:18:33.925268Z","added_at":"2026-11-05T03:03:42.029940Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpgopconvict/how-many-senate-republicans-will-vote-to-convict-trump/kxtrumpgopconvict-29jan20","event_title":"How many Senate Republicans will vote to convict Trump?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.56]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20-AL2","event_id":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20","slug":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20-AL2","question":"Will the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment be at least 2 before Jan 20, 2029?","group_item_title":"At least 2","description":"If the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment is at least 2 before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe first Senate roll-call vote after Issuance on whether Donald Trump is guilty or not guilty on an article of impeachment counts, whichever article is voted on first, and only Republican Senators voting guilty on that vote count.\n\nIf no such vote occurs before Jan 20, 2029, the number is 0.\n\nA Senator is a Republican if the Senate lists them as a Republican on the day of the vote. Independent Senators do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans.\n\nThe following do NOT count:\nThe Senate votes of Feb 5, 2020 and Feb 13, 2021\nA vote on a motion to dismiss, a point of order, or any other procedural question\nA vote on any later article, or in any later impeachment trial of Donald Trump","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-05T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-04-20T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-20T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1297.14,"volume_24hr":1297.14,"prob_24h_change":0.38,"volume_24h_change":1297.14,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.722856521606445,"normalized_volume":14.4180326461792,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-06T20:52:51.443800Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T20:52:51.443800Z","added_at":"2026-11-05T03:03:42.029940Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpgopconvict/how-many-senate-republicans-will-vote-to-convict-trump/kxtrumpgopconvict-29jan20","event_title":"How many Senate Republicans will vote to convict Trump?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.95,0.95,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.36]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20-AL3","event_id":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20","slug":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20-AL3","question":"Will the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment be at least 3 before Jan 20, 2029?","group_item_title":"At least 3","description":"If the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment is at least 3 before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe first Senate roll-call vote after Issuance on whether Donald Trump is guilty or not guilty on an article of impeachment counts, whichever article is voted on first, and only Republican Senators voting guilty on that vote count.\n\nIf no such vote occurs before Jan 20, 2029, the number is 0.\n\nA Senator is a Republican if the Senate lists them as a Republican on the day of the vote. Independent Senators do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans.\n\nThe following do NOT count:\nThe Senate votes of Feb 5, 2020 and Feb 13, 2021\nA vote on a motion to dismiss, a point of order, or any other procedural question\nA vote on any later article, or in any later impeachment trial of Donald Trump","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.69],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.02999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-05T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-04-20T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-20T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":105.12,"volume_24hr":105.12,"prob_24h_change":0.31,"volume_24h_change":105.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.9271321296691895,"normalized_volume":6.104498386383057,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-06T20:35:42.105978Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T20:35:42.105978Z","added_at":"2026-11-05T03:03:42.029940Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpgopconvict/how-many-senate-republicans-will-vote-to-convict-trump/kxtrumpgopconvict-29jan20","event_title":"How many Senate Republicans will vote to convict Trump?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20-AL5","event_id":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20","slug":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20-AL5","question":"Will the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment be at least 5 before Jan 20, 2029?","group_item_title":"At least 5","description":"If the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment is at least 5 before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe first Senate roll-call vote after Issuance on whether Donald Trump is guilty or not guilty on an article of impeachment counts, whichever article is voted on first, and only Republican Senators voting guilty on that vote count.\n\nIf no such vote occurs before Jan 20, 2029, the number is 0.\n\nA Senator is a Republican if the Senate lists them as a Republican on the day of the vote. Independent Senators do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans.\n\nThe following do NOT count:\nThe Senate votes of Feb 5, 2020 and Feb 13, 2021\nA vote on a motion to dismiss, a point of order, or any other procedural question\nA vote on any later article, or in any later impeachment trial of Donald Trump","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-05T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-04-20T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-20T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1222.0,"volume_24hr":1222.0,"prob_24h_change":0.23,"volume_24h_change":1222.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.412696838378906,"normalized_volume":14.17918586730957,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-06T20:52:51.443800Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T20:52:51.443800Z","added_at":"2026-11-05T03:03:42.029940Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpgopconvict/how-many-senate-republicans-will-vote-to-convict-trump/kxtrumpgopconvict-29jan20","event_title":"How many Senate Republicans will vote to convict Trump?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.12,0.21,0.23,0.23]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20-AL8","event_id":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20","slug":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20-AL8","question":"Will the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment be at least 8 before Jan 20, 2029?","group_item_title":"At least 8","description":"If the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment is at least 8 before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe first Senate roll-call vote after Issuance on whether Donald Trump is guilty or not guilty on an article of impeachment counts, whichever article is voted on first, and only Republican Senators voting guilty on that vote count.\n\nIf no such vote occurs before Jan 20, 2029, the number is 0.\n\nA Senator is a Republican if the Senate lists them as a Republican on the day of the vote. Independent Senators do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans.\n\nThe following do NOT count:\nThe Senate votes of Feb 5, 2020 and Feb 13, 2021\nA vote on a motion to dismiss, a point of order, or any other procedural question\nA vote on any later article, or in any later impeachment trial of Donald Trump","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.05000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-05T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-04-20T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-20T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1337.0,"volume_24hr":1337.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22,"volume_24h_change":1337.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.881166458129883,"normalized_volume":14.53994369506836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-06T20:35:42.105978Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T20:35:42.105978Z","added_at":"2026-11-05T03:03:42.029940Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpgopconvict/how-many-senate-republicans-will-vote-to-convict-trump/kxtrumpgopconvict-29jan20","event_title":"How many Senate Republicans will vote to convict Trump?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20-AL12","event_id":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20","slug":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20-AL12","question":"Will the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment be at least 12 before Jan 20, 2029?","group_item_title":"At least 12","description":"If the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment is at least 12 before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe first Senate roll-call vote after Issuance on whether Donald Trump is guilty or not guilty on an article of impeachment counts, whichever article is voted on first, and only Republican Senators voting guilty on that vote count.\n\nIf no such vote occurs before Jan 20, 2029, the number is 0.\n\nA Senator is a Republican if the Senate lists them as a Republican on the day of the vote. Independent Senators do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans.\n\nThe following do NOT count:\nThe Senate votes of Feb 5, 2020 and Feb 13, 2021\nA vote on a motion to dismiss, a point of order, or any other procedural question\nA vote on any later article, or in any later impeachment trial of Donald Trump","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-05T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-04-20T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-20T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":565.16,"volume_24hr":565.16,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":565.16,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.639201164245605,"normalized_volume":11.273305892944336,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-06T20:52:51.443800Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T20:52:51.443800Z","added_at":"2026-11-05T03:03:42.029940Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpgopconvict/how-many-senate-republicans-will-vote-to-convict-trump/kxtrumpgopconvict-29jan20","event_title":"How many Senate Republicans will vote to convict Trump?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20-AL15","event_id":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20","slug":"KXTRUMPGOPCONVICT-29JAN20-AL15","question":"Will the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment be at least 15 before Jan 20, 2029?","group_item_title":"At least 15","description":"If the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment is at least 15 before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe first Senate roll-call vote after Issuance on whether Donald Trump is guilty or not guilty on an article of impeachment counts, whichever article is voted on first, and only Republican Senators voting guilty on that vote count.\n\nIf no such vote occurs before Jan 20, 2029, the number is 0.\n\nA Senator is a Republican if the Senate lists them as a Republican on the day of the vote. Independent Senators do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans.\n\nThe following do NOT count:\nThe Senate votes of Feb 5, 2020 and Feb 13, 2021\nA vote on a motion to dismiss, a point of order, or any other procedural question\nA vote on any later article, or in any later impeachment trial of Donald Trump","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-05T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-04-20T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-20T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":396.0,"volume_24hr":396.0,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":396.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.045679092407227,"normalized_volume":10.046171188354492,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-06T20:35:42.105978Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T20:35:42.105978Z","added_at":"2026-11-05T03:03:42.029940Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpgopconvict/how-many-senate-republicans-will-vote-to-convict-trump/kxtrumpgopconvict-29jan20","event_title":"How many Senate Republicans will vote to convict Trump?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.08,0.1,0.1]}]}