{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","ticker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12791.57,"volume_24hr":12042.86,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.092031478881836,"normalized_volume":25.375112533569336,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":11077.3,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Stock Market","top_outcome_probability":0.84,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.84,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":25.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:02.793672Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:02.793672Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.274593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","chart_24h":[0.0,1353.0,2078.37,2316.01,2826.23,2904.42,4767.0,11189.19],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-STOC","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-STOC","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Stock Market","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Stock Market as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16000000000000003],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.84,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.7485063076019287,"normalized_volume":3.139505624771118,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:36:13.805877Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:36:13.805877Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.84,0.84,0.84]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-TRIL","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-TRIL","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Trillion","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Trillion as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.81,0.18999999999999995],"probability":0.81,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":27.0,"volume_24hr":27.0,"prob_24h_change":0.81,"volume_24h_change":27.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.920971155166626,"normalized_volume":3.2839508056640625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.84,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.81]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-HOTT","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-HOTT","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Hottest","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Hottest as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.19999999999999996],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":360.5,"volume_24hr":355.71,"prob_24h_change":0.8,"volume_24h_change":355.71,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.19636344909668,"normalized_volume":10.26130485534668,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:44.981571Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.9,0.91,0.91]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-AMER","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-AMER","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"America First","description":"If \n Donald Trump says America First as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.21999999999999997],"probability":0.78,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":179.75,"volume_24hr":179.75,"prob_24h_change":0.78,"volume_24h_change":179.75,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.537948608398438,"normalized_volume":7.988366603851318,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:24:11.411519Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:22:59.617864Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.5,0.5,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.78]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-OIL","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-OIL","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Oil / Gas / Gasoline","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":252.18,"volume_24hr":252.18,"prob_24h_change":0.75,"volume_24h_change":252.18,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.814949035644531,"normalized_volume":9.05789852142334,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:24:11.411519Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:22:59.617864Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-FAKE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-FAKE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Fake News","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Fake News as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.71,0.29000000000000004],"probability":0.71,"spread":0.10000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":26.0,"volume_24hr":26.0,"prob_24h_change":0.71,"volume_24h_change":26.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.8358514308929443,"normalized_volume":3.212660074234009,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:49:16.856969Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:49:16.856969Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-SUPR","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-SUPR","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Supreme Court","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Supreme Court as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.69,0.31000000000000005],"probability":0.69,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":252.47,"volume_24hr":249.6,"prob_24h_change":0.69,"volume_24h_change":249.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.77495288848877,"normalized_volume":9.061646461486816,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:44.981571Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.63]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-MAGA","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-MAGA","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"MAGA / Make America Great Again","description":"If \n Donald Trump says MAGA / Make America Great Again as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.66,0.33999999999999997],"probability":0.66,"spread":0.17000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":429.26,"volume_24hr":426.19,"prob_24h_change":0.66,"volume_24h_change":426.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.956220626831055,"normalized_volume":10.876960754394531,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:44.981571Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.6,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.62]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-IRAN","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-IRAN","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Iran (3+ times)","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Iran (3+ times) as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":126.38,"volume_24hr":126.38,"prob_24h_change":0.65,"volume_24h_change":126.38,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.296744346618652,"normalized_volume":6.948814392089844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.65]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-COMM","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-COMM","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Communist / Communism","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Communist / Communism as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.18000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":107.0,"volume_24hr":107.0,"prob_24h_change":0.64,"volume_24h_change":107.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.741364479064941,"normalized_volume":6.483664512634277,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-DEMO","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-DEMO","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Democrat","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Democrat as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.63,0.37],"probability":0.63,"spread":0.1100000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":2546.72,"volume_24hr":2514.93,"prob_24h_change":0.63,"volume_24h_change":2514.93,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.65199851989746,"normalized_volume":18.192514419555664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:44.981571Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.63]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-VENE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-VENE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Venezuela","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Venezuela as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.63,0.37],"probability":0.63,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":2440.69,"volume_24hr":2140.69,"prob_24h_change":0.63,"volume_24h_change":2140.69,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.770526885986328,"normalized_volume":17.99584197998047,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:03:00.053102Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-AMERD","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-AMERD","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"American Dream","description":"If \n Donald Trump says American Dream as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.61,0.39],"probability":0.61,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":64.79,"volume_24hr":64.79,"prob_24h_change":0.61,"volume_24h_change":64.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.189076900482178,"normalized_volume":5.183568954467773,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:10:57.101123Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:09:59.456095Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-FIRS","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-FIRS","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"First Term","description":"If \n Donald Trump says First Term as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42000000000000004],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.09000000000000008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":95.0,"volume_24hr":95.0,"prob_24h_change":0.58,"volume_24h_change":95.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.356781959533691,"normalized_volume":6.161562919616699,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:24:11.411519Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:22:59.617864Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.55,0.55,0.58]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-WORL","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-WORL","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"World Cup","description":"If \n Donald Trump says World Cup as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":2307.07,"volume_24hr":2281.52,"prob_24h_change":0.56,"volume_24h_change":2281.52,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.11690902709961,"normalized_volume":17.737106323242188,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:44.981571Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.5]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-SLEE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-SLEE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Sleepy Joe","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Sleepy Joe as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.45999999999999996],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":355.69,"volume_24hr":353.69,"prob_24h_change":0.54,"volume_24h_change":353.69,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.17280387878418,"normalized_volume":10.21468734741211,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:44.981571Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.37,0.48]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-DUMB","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-DUMB","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Dumbocrat / Dumacrat","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Dumbocrat / Dumacrat as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":285.2,"volume_24hr":283.15,"prob_24h_change":0.53,"volume_24h_change":283.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.270695686340332,"normalized_volume":9.463641166687012,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:44.981571Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.46,0.54]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-TRAN","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-TRAN","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Transgender","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Transgender as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.48],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":175.15,"volume_24hr":100.15,"prob_24h_change":0.52,"volume_24h_change":100.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.5261993408203125,"normalized_volume":7.9093146324157715,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:44.981571Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.35,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.55]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-ROCK","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-ROCK","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Rock","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Rock as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":7.0,"volume_24hr":7.0,"prob_24h_change":0.5,"volume_24h_change":7.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.5269464254379272,"normalized_volume":1.2788711786270142,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-GULF","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-GULF","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Gulf of America","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Gulf of America as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":85.18,"volume_24hr":85.18,"prob_24h_change":0.45,"volume_24h_change":85.18,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.013036727905273,"normalized_volume":5.873664379119873,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:03:00.053102Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.57]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-SAVE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-SAVE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Save Act / Save America Act","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Save Act / Save America Act as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.09000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":125.06,"volume_24hr":125.06,"prob_24h_change":0.45,"volume_24h_change":125.06,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.261122703552246,"normalized_volume":6.918980121612549,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:37:15.864361Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:36:13.805877Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.45]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-MAHA","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-MAHA","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"MAHA / Make America Healthy Again","description":"If \n Donald Trump says MAHA / Make America Healthy Again as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.5700000000000001],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":1109.7,"volume_24hr":1108.0,"prob_24h_change":0.43,"volume_24h_change":1108.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.358684539794922,"normalized_volume":14.544859886169434,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:44.981571Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.49]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-AI","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-AI","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"AI / Artificial Intelligence","description":"If \n Donald Trump says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.5800000000000001],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":116.0,"volume_24hr":116.0,"prob_24h_change":0.42,"volume_24h_change":116.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.008309364318848,"normalized_volume":6.707240104675293,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:09:59.456095Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:09:59.456095Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.42,0.42,0.42]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-BALL","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-BALL","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Ballroom","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Ballroom as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.09000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":15.62,"volume_24hr":15.62,"prob_24h_change":0.4,"volume_24h_change":15.62,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.7895267009735107,"normalized_volume":2.3363265991210938,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:24:11.411519Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:22:59.617864Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.4]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-BARA","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-BARA","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Barack Hussein Obama","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Barack Hussein Obama as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":654.56,"volume_24hr":368.12,"prob_24h_change":0.4,"volume_24h_change":368.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.33872127532959,"normalized_volume":12.439958572387695,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:44.981571Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.51]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-FRAU","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-FRAU","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Fraud","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Fraud as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.09000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":74.68,"volume_24hr":74.68,"prob_24h_change":0.4,"volume_24h_change":74.68,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.610077857971191,"normalized_volume":5.536171913146973,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-RADI","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-RADI","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Radical Left","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Radical Left as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.09000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":136.5,"volume_24hr":136.5,"prob_24h_change":0.4,"volume_24h_change":136.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.560519218444824,"normalized_volume":7.169734954833984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.4]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-CHEA","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-CHEA","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Cheat / Cheater / Cheating","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Cheat / Cheater / Cheating as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":38.17,"volume_24hr":38.17,"prob_24h_change":0.38,"volume_24h_change":38.17,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.7508134841918945,"normalized_volume":3.978972911834717,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.37,0.38]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-HOAX","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-HOAX","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Hoax","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Hoax as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.6599999999999999],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":72.59,"volume_24hr":72.59,"prob_24h_change":0.34,"volume_24h_change":72.59,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.524782657623291,"normalized_volume":5.4647345542907715,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.34]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-HEAL","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-HEAL","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Healthcare","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Healthcare as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":0.27,"volume_24hr":0.27,"prob_24h_change":0.28,"volume_24h_change":0.27,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.02017379365861416,"normalized_volume":0.016896259039640427,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:49:16.856969Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:49:16.856969Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.28,0.28,0.28]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-NQE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-NQE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Event does not qualify","description":"If \na qualifying event does not occur\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.10999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":64.68,"volume_24hr":59.07,"prob_24h_change":0.17,"volume_24h_change":59.07,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.923064231872559,"normalized_volume":5.1794257164001465,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:44.981571Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.15,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-KAMA","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-KAMA","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Kamala","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Kamala as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":140.31,"volume_24hr":140.31,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":140.31,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.6558256149292,"normalized_volume":7.2495574951171875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:36:13.805877Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:36:13.805877Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-CRYP","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-CRYP","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Crypto / Bitcoin","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Crypto / Bitcoin as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":95.4,"volume_24hr":87.56,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":87.56,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.0990400314331055,"normalized_volume":6.172794342041016,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.13,0.13,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-DRIL","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-DRIL","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Drill Baby Drill","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Drill Baby Drill as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T23:02:03.139414Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-INVE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-INVE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Invest / Invested / Investment","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Invest / Invested / Investment as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.039999999999999925,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:49:16.856969Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:49:16.856969Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-OLYM","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04-OLYM","question":"What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"Olympic / Olympics","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Olympic / Olympics as part of July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:56:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-19T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:49:16.856969Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:49:16.856969Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:26.431937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jul04","event_title":"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL04","as_of":"2026-07-02T23:06:43.845183Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?\" — top market at 63% probability across 36 outcomes","source_url":null}}