{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","ticker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12542.2,"volume_24hr":12540.77,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.9036922454834,"normalized_volume":24.100540161132812,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":10788.83,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Election","top_outcome_probability":0.95,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.19999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":836.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.075609Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.075609Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:37.778621Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","chart_24h":[765.0,4497.9800000000005,4986.78,5516.66,6003.4,6124.0199999999995,6531.27,8206.99,9022.63,11927.62,12252.82],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-ELEC","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-ELEC","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Election","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Election as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.95,0.050000000000000044],"probability":0.95,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":837.0,"volume_24hr":837.0,"prob_24h_change":0.19999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":836.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.231769561767578,"normalized_volume":12.706918716430664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:37:47.828850Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T03:37:47.828850Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.75,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-DEMO","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-DEMO","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Democrat","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Democrat as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.94,0.06000000000000005],"probability":0.94,"spread":0.08000000000000007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":349.41,"volume_24hr":349.41,"prob_24h_change":0.35,"volume_24h_change":135.41000000000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.056619644165039,"normalized_volume":9.628111839294434,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.59,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-BIDE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-BIDE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Biden","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Biden as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.09999999999999998],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.28,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":122.31,"volume_24hr":122.31,"prob_24h_change":0.9,"volume_24h_change":122.31,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.816720962524414,"normalized_volume":6.501558303833008,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.47,0.47,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.9,0.9]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-SAVE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-SAVE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Save America Act","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Save America Act as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.86,0.14],"probability":0.86,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":301.24,"volume_24hr":301.24,"prob_24h_change":0.36,"volume_24h_change":196.24,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.405844688415527,"normalized_volume":9.148221969604492,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-COMM","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-COMM","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Communist / Communism","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Communist / Communism as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":283.12,"volume_24hr":283.12,"prob_24h_change":0.75,"volume_24h_change":283.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.13870906829834,"normalized_volume":8.95123291015625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-HOTT","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-HOTT","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Hottest","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Hottest as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.15000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":9.0,"volume_24hr":9.0,"prob_24h_change":0.75,"volume_24h_change":9.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.0165069103240967,"normalized_volume":1.4869970083236694,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-MOU","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-MOU","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"MOU / Memorandum","description":"If \n Donald Trump says MOU / Memorandum as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.71,0.29000000000000004],"probability":0.71,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":0.69,"volume_24hr":0.69,"prob_24h_change":0.71,"volume_24h_change":0.69,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.10472194850444794,"normalized_volume":0.07722324877977371,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-DEAL","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-DEAL","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Deal / Settle","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Deal / Settle as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.68,0.31999999999999995],"probability":0.68,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":612.79,"volume_24hr":611.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":610.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.663030624389648,"normalized_volume":11.55850887298584,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:05:28.594485Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.81,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.67]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-CHIN","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-CHIN","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"China / Chinese","description":"If \n Donald Trump says China / Chinese as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.67,0.32999999999999996],"probability":0.67,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":155.6,"volume_24hr":155.6,"prob_24h_change":0.67,"volume_24h_change":155.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.713737487792969,"normalized_volume":7.163029670715332,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.73,0.73,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.67,0.67]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-OIL","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-OIL","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Oil","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Oil as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.07000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":93.57,"volume_24hr":93.57,"prob_24h_change":-0.08999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":92.57,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.871639728546143,"normalized_volume":5.804643630981445,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:25:14.444860Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T03:23:53.750839Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.74,0.74,0.55,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.65]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-NEGO","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-NEGO","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.63,0.37],"probability":0.63,"spread":0.24999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":28.62,"volume_24hr":28.62,"prob_24h_change":0.63,"volume_24h_change":28.62,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.366872310638428,"normalized_volume":3.2201850414276123,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-NUCL","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-NUCL","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Nuclear","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Nuclear as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.61,0.39],"probability":0.61,"spread":0.019999999999999907,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":1431.96,"volume_24hr":1431.96,"prob_24h_change":0.10999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":1426.96,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.08806610107422,"normalized_volume":14.813186645507812,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:51:19.826346Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T03:51:19.826346Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.61]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-RUSS","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-RUSS","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Russia / Russian","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Russia / Russian as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.61,0.39],"probability":0.61,"spread":0.21999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":26.42,"volume_24hr":26.42,"prob_24h_change":0.61,"volume_24h_change":26.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.170213222503662,"normalized_volume":3.0751662254333496,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.61]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-BIBI","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-BIBI","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Bibi / Netanyahu","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Bibi / Netanyahu as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":3.46,"volume_24hr":3.46,"prob_24h_change":0.56,"volume_24h_change":3.46,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.8502314686775208,"normalized_volume":0.6269711256027222,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-VENE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-VENE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Venezuela","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Venezuela as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.16000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":642.08,"volume_24hr":642.08,"prob_24h_change":-0.18999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":641.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.902884483337402,"normalized_volume":11.726982116699219,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.75,0.91,0.71,0.9,0.87,0.76,0.76,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-UKRA","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-UKRA","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Ukraine","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Ukraine as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.44999999999999996],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.12999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":60.37,"volume_24hr":60.37,"prob_24h_change":0.55,"volume_24h_change":60.37,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.446343421936035,"normalized_volume":4.753612995147705,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-HORM","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-HORM","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Hormuz","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Hormuz as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":2380.39,"volume_24hr":2380.39,"prob_24h_change":-0.05999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":2380.39,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.994197845458984,"normalized_volume":16.95620346069336,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.59,0.78,0.61,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.53]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-ISRA","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-ISRA","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Israel / Israeli","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Israel / Israeli as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.21999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":21.22,"volume_24hr":21.22,"prob_24h_change":0.5,"volume_24h_change":21.22,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.6573781967163086,"normalized_volume":2.696995496749878,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-BLOC","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-BLOC","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Blockade","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Blockade as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":1981.87,"volume_24hr":1981.87,"prob_24h_change":-0.10999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":1696.87,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.923765182495117,"normalized_volume":16.166852951049805,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.6,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-MAGA","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-MAGA","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"MAGA / Make America Great Again","description":"If \n Donald Trump says MAGA / Make America Great Again as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":202.13,"volume_24hr":202.13,"prob_24h_change":0.47,"volume_24h_change":202.13,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.739555358886719,"normalized_volume":7.919480323791504,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-FAKE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-FAKE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Fake News","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Fake News as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":33.45,"volume_24hr":33.45,"prob_24h_change":0.46,"volume_24h_change":33.45,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.764906883239746,"normalized_volume":3.5137007236480713,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.46]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-CEAS","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-CEAS","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Ceasefire","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Ceasefire as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.5700000000000001],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":86.1,"volume_24hr":86.1,"prob_24h_change":0.43,"volume_24h_change":86.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.589468002319336,"normalized_volume":5.596566677093506,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.5,0.74,0.74,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-AMER","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-AMER","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"America First","description":"If \n Donald Trump says America First as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":84.51,"volume_24hr":84.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":54.510000000000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.526994228363037,"normalized_volume":5.550498008728027,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.53,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-NATO","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-NATO","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"NATO","description":"If \n Donald Trump says NATO as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.24999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":35.52,"volume_24hr":35.52,"prob_24h_change":0.37,"volume_24h_change":35.52,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.923306941986084,"normalized_volume":3.630506753921509,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.18,0.18,0.37]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-DUMB","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-DUMB","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Dumbocrat / Dumacrat","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Dumbocrat / Dumacrat as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.11000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":37.37,"volume_24hr":37.37,"prob_24h_change":0.36,"volume_24h_change":37.37,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.059476852416992,"normalized_volume":3.7309200763702393,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.36,0.36]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-SOLE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-SOLE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Soleimani","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Soleimani as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":10.37,"volume_24hr":10.37,"prob_24h_change":0.27,"volume_24h_change":10.37,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.24765944480896,"normalized_volume":1.6574517488479614,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.27]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-BARA","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-BARA","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Barack Hussein Obama","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Barack Hussein Obama as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":208.91,"volume_24hr":208.91,"prob_24h_change":0.25,"volume_24h_change":208.91,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.872678756713867,"normalized_volume":8.017646789550781,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.25,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-STOC","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-STOC","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Stock Market","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Stock Market as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":5.79,"volume_24hr":5.79,"prob_24h_change":0.18,"volume_24h_change":5.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.3954375982284546,"normalized_volume":1.0290127992630005,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-TRAN","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-TRAN","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Transgender","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Transgender as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.13999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":85.52,"volume_24hr":85.52,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":85.52,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.566781997680664,"normalized_volume":5.579837799072266,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-AI","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-AI","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"AI / Artificial Intelligence","description":"If \n Donald Trump says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.27,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":119.53,"volume_24hr":119.53,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":119.53,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.733405113220215,"normalized_volume":6.440120220184326,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-NQE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-NQE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Event does not qualify","description":"If \na qualifying event does not occur\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":109.25,"volume_24hr":109.25,"prob_24h_change":-0.03,"volume_24h_change":19.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.411476135253906,"normalized_volume":6.202725887298584,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T02:16:40.559929Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T02:15:20.708246Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-CRYP","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-CRYP","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Crypto / Bitcoin","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Crypto / Bitcoin as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":2182.63,"volume_24hr":2182.63,"prob_24h_change":-0.09999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":2150.63,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.484289169311523,"normalized_volume":16.580190658569336,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:25:14.444860Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T03:23:53.750839Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-ALIE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-ALIE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Alien","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Alien as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:15:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-DRON","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-DRON","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Drone","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Drone as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.42,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-FENT","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-FENT","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Fentanyl","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Fentanyl as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.12000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-SUPR","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16-SUPR","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"Supreme Court","description":"If \n Donald Trump says Supreme Court as part of Speech to the Nation\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Speech to the Nation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Speech to the Nation will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.47000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T20:12:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T20:19:38.093187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmention-26jul16","event_title":"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUL16","as_of":"2026-07-14T04:16:42.518522Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"What will Trump say during his Speech to the Nation?\" — top market at 53% probability across 36 outcomes","source_url":null}}