{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","ticker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9473.82,"volume_24hr":9473.82,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.983966827392578,"normalized_volume":21.99538230895996,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":9242.82,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hottest","top_outcome_probability":0.91,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.91,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":879.17,"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.114673Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.114673Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.555006Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","chart_24h":[194.64,219.64,271.64,281.64,282.81,283.98,443.96,1190.06,8478.57,9462.82],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-HOTT","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-HOTT","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"Hottest","description":"If Donald Trump says Hottest as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.91,0.08999999999999997],"probability":0.91,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":879.17,"volume_24hr":879.17,"prob_24h_change":0.91,"volume_24h_change":879.17,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.426717758178711,"normalized_volume":13.385053634643555,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.84,0.84,0.7,0.75,0.91,0.91,0.91]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-INVE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-INVE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"Invest / Invested / Investment","description":"If Donald Trump says Invest / Invested / Investment as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.91,0.08999999999999997],"probability":0.91,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":724.0,"volume_24hr":724.0,"prob_24h_change":0.91,"volume_24h_change":724.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.669568061828613,"normalized_volume":12.630253791809082,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:24:11.655964Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-STOC","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-STOC","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"Stock Market","description":"If Donald Trump says Stock Market as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15000000000000002],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":720.17,"volume_24hr":720.17,"prob_24h_change":0.85,"volume_24h_change":720.17,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.649198532104492,"normalized_volume":12.609947204589844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:24:11.655964Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.73,0.78,0.78]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-FAKE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-FAKE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"Fake News","description":"If Donald Trump says Fake News as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.83,0.17000000000000004],"probability":0.83,"spread":0.019999999999999907,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":268.47,"volume_24hr":268.47,"prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000007,"volume_24h_change":197.00000000000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.147913932800293,"normalized_volume":9.119527816772461,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:24:11.655964Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.79]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-OIL","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-OIL","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"Oil / Gas / Gasoline","description":"If Donald Trump says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.77,0.22999999999999998],"probability":0.77,"spread":0.21999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":775.61,"volume_24hr":775.61,"prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":774.61,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.935517311096191,"normalized_volume":12.895377159118652,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.57,0.77,0.77]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-AI","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-AI","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"AI / Artificial Intelligence","description":"If Donald Trump says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":997.0,"volume_24hr":997.0,"prob_24h_change":0.75,"volume_24h_change":997.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.928933143615723,"normalized_volume":13.885710716247559,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:24:11.655964Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.72,0.66]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-AMER","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-AMER","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"America First","description":"If Donald Trump says America First as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1004421710968018,"normalized_volume":3.0908212661743164,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T05:17:41.975999Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T05:17:41.975999Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-DUMB","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-DUMB","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"Dumbocrat / Dumacrat","description":"If Donald Trump says Dumbocrat / Dumacrat as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.41,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":811.17,"volume_24hr":811.17,"prob_24h_change":-0.16000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":701.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.110151290893555,"normalized_volume":13.069469451904297,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-WORL","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-WORL","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"World Cup","description":"If Donald Trump says World Cup as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":146.69,"volume_24hr":146.69,"prob_24h_change":-0.10999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":136.69,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.287638187408447,"normalized_volume":7.265024185180664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-TRIL","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-TRIL","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"Trillion","description":"If Donald Trump says Trillion as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.19000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":852.0,"volume_24hr":852.0,"prob_24h_change":0.73,"volume_24h_change":852.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.302817344665527,"normalized_volume":13.2615385055542,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.72,0.73,0.73]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-BARA","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-BARA","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"Barack Hussein Obama","description":"If Donald Trump says Barack Hussein Obama as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.71,0.29000000000000004],"probability":0.71,"spread":0.42000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":704.0,"volume_24hr":704.0,"prob_24h_change":0.71,"volume_24h_change":704.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.562171936035156,"normalized_volume":12.523191452026367,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.72,0.71,0.71]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-FRAU","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-FRAU","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"Fraud","description":"If Donald Trump says Fraud as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7,0.30000000000000004],"probability":0.7,"spread":0.42,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":672.0,"volume_24hr":672.0,"prob_24h_change":0.7,"volume_24h_change":672.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.384843826293945,"normalized_volume":12.346413612365723,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.76,0.7,0.7]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-OLYM","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-OLYM","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"Olympic / Olympics","description":"If Donald Trump says Olympic / Olympics as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.66,0.33999999999999997],"probability":0.66,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":256.0,"volume_24hr":256.0,"prob_24h_change":0.66,"volume_24h_change":256.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.993673324584961,"normalized_volume":8.965764999389648,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:24:11.655964Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.68,0.68]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-BALL","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-BALL","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"Ballroom","description":"If Donald Trump says Ballroom as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.039999999999999925,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":281.54,"volume_24hr":281.54,"prob_24h_change":0.56,"volume_24h_change":281.54,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.303407669067383,"normalized_volume":9.27453899383545,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.56]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-TRAN","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-TRAN","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"Transgender","description":"If Donald Trump says Transgender as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.17999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":667.0,"volume_24hr":667.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2899999999999999,"volume_24h_change":666.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.356493949890137,"normalized_volume":12.318151473999023,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.56]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-GULF","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-GULF","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"Gulf of America","description":"If Donald Trump says Gulf of America as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.30999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":666.0,"volume_24hr":666.0,"prob_24h_change":0.51,"volume_24h_change":666.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.35080337524414,"normalized_volume":12.312478065490723,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.51,0.51]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-CRYP","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-CRYP","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"Crypto / Bitcoin","description":"If Donald Trump says Crypto / Bitcoin as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":6.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.39,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.1059647798538208,"normalized_volume":1.1025328636169434,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-NQE","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-NQE","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"Event does not qualify","description":"If a qualifying event does not occur, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.039999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":22.0,"volume_24hr":22.0,"prob_24h_change":0.11,"volume_24h_change":22.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.871492862701416,"normalized_volume":2.8625824451446533,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T07:09:41.177384Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T07:09:41.177384Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-FIRS","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-FIRS","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"First Term","description":"If Donald Trump says First Term as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04999999999999993,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T07:46:23.762143Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T07:46:23.762143Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-MAGA","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24-MAGA","question":"What will Donald Trump say during Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally?","group_item_title":"MAGA / Make America Great Again","description":"If Donald Trump says MAGA / Make America Great Again as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.039999999999999925,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T09:23:29.203717Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:11:56.666555Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmention/what-will-trump-say-during-his-america-is-back-rally/kxtrumpmention-26jun24","event_title":"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN24","as_of":"2026-06-11T09:28:36.636723Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?\" — top market at 75% probability across 20 outcomes","source_url":null}}