{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526","ticker":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526","title":"How long will Trump speak for at his July 4th rally?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T18:19:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1865.44,"volume_24hr":1861.9199999999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.331647872924805,"normalized_volume":16.09627342224121,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1730.3999999999999,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"35 or above","top_outcome_probability":0.87,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.87,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":167.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.160511Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.160511Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:27:31.707811Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-for-at-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul0526","chart_24h":[0.0,600.0,888.95,929.95,989.5899999999999,1057.59,1060.59,1734.72,1737.24,1861.9199999999998],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-34","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-34","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"35 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 35 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.87,0.13],"probability":0.87,"spread":0.82,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T18:19:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T03:59:00Z","volume":167.0,"volume_24hr":167.0,"prob_24h_change":0.87,"volume_24h_change":167.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.138522148132324,"normalized_volume":7.765071868896484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:27:31.825231Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-for-at-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul0526","event_title":"How long will Trump speak for at his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-39","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-39","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"40 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 40 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.82,0.18000000000000005],"probability":0.82,"spread":0.58,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T18:19:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T03:59:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.82,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6804002523422241,"normalized_volume":1.4278489351272583,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:27:31.825231Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-for-at-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul0526","event_title":"How long will Trump speak for at his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-44","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-44","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"45 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 45 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.71,0.29000000000000004],"probability":0.71,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T18:19:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T03:59:00Z","volume":34.0,"volume_24hr":34.0,"prob_24h_change":0.71,"volume_24h_change":34.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.399750709533691,"normalized_volume":3.738501787185669,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:27:31.825231Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-for-at-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul0526","event_title":"How long will Trump speak for at his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.71]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-54","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-54","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"55 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 55 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42000000000000004],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.18,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T18:19:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T03:59:00Z","volume":82.91,"volume_24hr":82.91,"prob_24h_change":0.58,"volume_24h_change":82.91,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.830008506774902,"normalized_volume":5.803510665893555,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:27:31.825231Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-for-at-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul0526","event_title":"How long will Trump speak for at his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.58]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-29","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-29","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"30 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 30 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.2599999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T18:19:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T03:59:00Z","volume":376.02,"volume_24hr":376.02,"prob_24h_change":0.53,"volume_24h_change":376.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.249258041381836,"normalized_volume":10.40828800201416,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:27:31.825231Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-for-at-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul0526","event_title":"How long will Trump speak for at his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.53,0.53]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-49","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-49","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"50 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 50 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.33999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T18:19:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T03:59:00Z","volume":500.88,"volume_24hr":500.88,"prob_24h_change":0.38,"volume_24h_change":500.88,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.459090232849121,"normalized_volume":11.436291694641113,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:27:31.825231Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-for-at-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul0526","event_title":"How long will Trump speak for at his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.38]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-59","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-59","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"60 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 60 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.6599999999999999],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.61,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T18:19:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T03:59:00Z","volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":6.0,"prob_24h_change":0.34,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.3179817199707031,"normalized_volume":1.1198991537094116,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:27:31.825231Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-for-at-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul0526","event_title":"How long will Trump speak for at his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-64","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-64","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"65 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 65 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.44000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T18:19:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T03:59:00Z","volume":38.95,"volume_24hr":38.95,"prob_24h_change":0.29,"volume_24h_change":38.95,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.733236312866211,"normalized_volume":4.021867275238037,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:27:31.825231Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-for-at-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul0526","event_title":"How long will Trump speak for at his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-74","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-74","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"75 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 75 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T18:19:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T03:59:00Z","volume":570.58,"volume_24hr":567.06,"prob_24h_change":0.27,"volume_24h_change":567.06,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.000624656677246,"normalized_volume":11.919623374938965,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T00:48:29.142042Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:27:31.825231Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-for-at-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul0526","event_title":"How long will Trump speak for at his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.45,0.28,0.28]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-69","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-69","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?","group_item_title":"70 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 70 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.47,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T18:19:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T03:59:00Z","volume":81.1,"volume_24hr":81.1,"prob_24h_change":0.22,"volume_24h_change":81.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.762928485870361,"normalized_volume":5.746511936187744,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T00:47:51.230156Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T18:27:31.825231Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-for-at-his-july-4th-rally/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul0526","event_title":"How long will Trump speak for at his July 4th rally?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526","as_of":"2026-07-03T00:54:13.789941Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How long will Trump speak for at his July 4th rally?\" — top market at 27% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}