{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726","ticker":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726","title":"How long will Trump speak during his Speech to the Nation?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T16:04:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10999.53,"volume_24hr":10961.62,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.98383331298828,"normalized_volume":23.43488883972168,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":10121.5,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"10 or above","top_outcome_probability":0.87,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":149.18,"updated_at":"2026-07-16T00:55:59.942342Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:55:59.942342Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T16:07:44.085894Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul1726","chart_24h":[8.0,16.369999999999997,16.369999999999997,143.78,189.85,232.63,767.34,1179.74,2284.94,2948.21,6088.08,6758.2,10961.62],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-9","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-9","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"10 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 10 or above minutes at Speech to the Nation before Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.87,0.13],"probability":0.87,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T22:55:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-17T03:59:00Z","volume":161.0,"volume_24hr":161.0,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":149.18,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.762263298034668,"normalized_volume":7.259454727172852,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:58.974398Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:01.433568Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T23:02:31.133084Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul1726","event_title":"How long will Trump speak during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.85,0.85,0.87]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-14","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-14","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"15 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 15 or above minutes at Speech to the Nation before Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T22:55:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-17T03:59:00Z","volume":4.62,"volume_24hr":4.62,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.8937407732009888,"normalized_volume":0.835847795009613,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T00:42:23.439185Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:42:23.439185Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T23:02:31.133084Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul1726","event_title":"How long will Trump speak during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.75,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-19","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-19","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"20 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 20 or above minutes at Speech to the Nation before Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T16:04:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-17T03:59:00Z","volume":1460.16,"volume_24hr":1422.25,"prob_24h_change":-0.24,"volume_24h_change":1418.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.809562683105469,"normalized_volume":14.892739295959473,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:58.974398Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:01.433568Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T16:07:44.752542Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul1726","event_title":"How long will Trump speak during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.75,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.51]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-24","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-24","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"25 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 25 or above minutes at Speech to the Nation before Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.5800000000000001],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T16:04:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-17T03:59:00Z","volume":1780.92,"volume_24hr":1780.92,"prob_24h_change":-0.33,"volume_24h_change":1776.92,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.80345344543457,"normalized_volume":15.71499252319336,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:58.974398Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:01.433568Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T16:07:44.752542Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul1726","event_title":"How long will Trump speak during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.75,0.75,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-29","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-29","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"30 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 30 or above minutes at Speech to the Nation before Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.69],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T16:04:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-17T03:59:00Z","volume":2311.15,"volume_24hr":2311.15,"prob_24h_change":0.31,"volume_24h_change":2311.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.993289947509766,"normalized_volume":16.827754974365234,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:58.974398Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:01.433568Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T16:07:44.752542Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul1726","event_title":"How long will Trump speak during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-34","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-34","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"35 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 35 or above minutes at Speech to the Nation before Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T16:04:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-17T03:59:00Z","volume":2089.12,"volume_24hr":2089.12,"prob_24h_change":0.26,"volume_24h_change":2089.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.52731704711914,"normalized_volume":16.391965866088867,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:01.433568Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:01.433568Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T16:07:44.752542Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul1726","event_title":"How long will Trump speak during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.26]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-39","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-39","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"40 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 40 or above minutes at Speech to the Nation before Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T16:04:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-17T03:59:00Z","volume":1482.71,"volume_24hr":1482.71,"prob_24h_change":0.25,"volume_24h_change":1482.71,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.991254806518555,"normalized_volume":14.955405235290527,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:01.433568Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:01.433568Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T16:07:44.752542Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul1726","event_title":"How long will Trump speak during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-49","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-49","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"50 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 50 or above minutes at Speech to the Nation before Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T16:04:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-17T03:59:00Z","volume":1282.14,"volume_24hr":1282.14,"prob_24h_change":0.25,"volume_24h_change":1282.14,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.361480712890625,"normalized_volume":14.366424560546875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:58.974398Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:01.433568Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T16:07:44.752542Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul1726","event_title":"How long will Trump speak during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.1,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-44","event_id":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726","slug":"KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726-44","question":"How long will Donald Trump speak for at Speech to the Nation?","group_item_title":"45 or above","description":"If Donald Trump speaks for 45 or above minutes at Speech to the Nation before Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSpeaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T16:04:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-17T03:59:00Z","volume":427.71,"volume_24hr":427.71,"prob_24h_change":0.16,"volume_24h_change":427.71,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.01590633392334,"normalized_volume":10.302339553833008,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:01.433568Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:01.433568Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T16:07:44.752542Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpmentionduration/how-long-will-trump-speak-during-his-speech-to-the-nation/kxtrumpmentionduration-jul1726","event_title":"How long will Trump speak during his Speech to the Nation?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL1726","as_of":"2026-07-16T01:03:50.518886Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How long will Trump speak during his Speech to the Nation?\" — top market at 31% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}