{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPSTRAIT-26SEP","ticker":"KXTRUMPSTRAIT-26SEP","slug":"KXTRUMPSTRAIT-26SEP","title":"Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T16:04:46Z","end_date":"2026-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1108.0,"volume_24hr":1108.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.748498916625977,"normalized_volume":13.390657424926758,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1107.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Sep 15, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.15,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.15,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":403.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-02T18:51:40.574816Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T18:51:40.574816Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T16:19:40.147012Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpstrait/will-trump-rename-the-strait-of-hormuz-after-himself/kxtrumpstrait-26sep","chart_24h":[0.0,1.0,405.0,1108.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPSTRAIT-26SEP-SEP15","event_id":"KXTRUMPSTRAIT-26SEP","slug":"KXTRUMPSTRAIT-26SEP-SEP15","question":"Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 15, 2026","description":"If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming the Strait of Hormuz after himself after Issuance and before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.\n\nThe action must adopt or direct adoption of a replacement for the preexisting name Strait of Hormuz for United States official use, with Trump as an integral element of the replacement name. Trump Strait and Strait of Trump qualify. A non-Trump replacement does not qualify. Merely using a Trump name as an alternate, honorary, or informal title does not qualify. A map, database, registry, contract, or other record change by an agency without the President's qualifying action does not qualify. An action covering only a portion of the waterway designated by the United States qualifies. Adoption by another country or an international body is not required.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T16:04:46Z","end_date":"2026-09-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-15T03:59:00Z","volume":403.0,"volume_24hr":403.0,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":403.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.235901832580566,"normalized_volume":11.212093353271484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T22:13:27.262530Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T22:13:27.262530Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T16:19:40.469225Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpstrait/will-trump-rename-the-strait-of-hormuz-after-himself/kxtrumpstrait-26sep","event_title":"Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPSTRAIT-26SEP-OCT01","event_id":"KXTRUMPSTRAIT-26SEP","slug":"KXTRUMPSTRAIT-26SEP-OCT01","question":"Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself?","group_item_title":"Before Oct 1, 2026","description":"If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming the Strait of Hormuz after himself after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.\n\nThe action must adopt or direct adoption of a replacement for the preexisting name Strait of Hormuz for United States official use, with Trump as an integral element of the replacement name. Trump Strait and Strait of Trump qualify. A non-Trump replacement does not qualify. Merely using a Trump name as an alternate, honorary, or informal title does not qualify. A map, database, registry, contract, or other record change by an agency without the President's qualifying action does not qualify. An action covering only a portion of the waterway designated by the United States qualifies. Adoption by another country or an international body is not required.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T16:04:46Z","end_date":"2026-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","volume":705.0,"volume_24hr":705.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.19999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":705.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.81258773803711,"normalized_volume":13.394796371459961,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T20:37:04.111164Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T20:37:04.111164Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T16:19:40.469225Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpstrait/will-trump-rename-the-strait-of-hormuz-after-himself/kxtrumpstrait-26sep","event_title":"Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself?","chart_24h":[0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.1,0.1,0.1]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPSTRAIT-26SEP","as_of":"2026-09-02T22:38:20.086101Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself?\" — top market at 10% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}