{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","ticker":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","title":"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:26:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6020.0,"volume_24hr":6020.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.55666732788086,"normalized_volume":16.924854278564453,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4511.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2028","top_outcome_probability":0.08,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.08,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-23T00:13:15.193636Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T00:13:15.193636Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:29:22.156983Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01","chart_24h":[0.0,19.0,19.0,6020.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-28JAN01","event_id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-28JAN01","question":"Will the President try to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA \"try to fire\" includes any of the following:\n\nThe President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination;\nDirects any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person;\nPublicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person;\nThe White House officially announces termination;\nSends written communication to the person informing them of termination;\nInitiates formal legal proceedings for removal\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nStatements that the person \"should\" resign or be fired;\nExpressions of dissatisfaction;\nAsking or pressuring for voluntary resignation;\nStating the President is \"looking into\" whether he can fire the person;\nStatements by other officials unless directed by the President;\nUnsent letters ordering termination\n\nThis market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:26:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.20174646377563477,"normalized_volume":0.1250363439321518,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T17:04:02.118692Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T17:04:02.118692Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:29:22.372701Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01","event_title":"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-27JUL01","event_id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-27JUL01","question":"Will the President try to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jul 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2027","description":"If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA \"try to fire\" includes any of the following:\n\nThe President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination;\nDirects any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person;\nPublicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person;\nThe White House officially announces termination;\nSends written communication to the person informing them of termination;\nInitiates formal legal proceedings for removal\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nStatements that the person \"should\" resign or be fired;\nExpressions of dissatisfaction;\nAsking or pressuring for voluntary resignation;\nStating the President is \"looking into\" whether he can fire the person;\nStatements by other officials unless directed by the President;\nUnsent letters ordering termination\n\nThis market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:26:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","volume":731.0,"volume_24hr":731.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":731.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.26784896850586,"normalized_volume":11.321858406066895,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-23T00:16:40.468451Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T00:13:15.557144Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:29:22.372701Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01","event_title":"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-27JAN01","event_id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-27JAN01","question":"Will the President try to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA \"try to fire\" includes any of the following:\n\nThe President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination;\nDirects any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person;\nPublicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person;\nThe White House officially announces termination;\nSends written communication to the person informing them of termination;\nInitiates formal legal proceedings for removal\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nStatements that the person \"should\" resign or be fired;\nExpressions of dissatisfaction;\nAsking or pressuring for voluntary resignation;\nStating the President is \"looking into\" whether he can fire the person;\nStatements by other officials unless directed by the President;\nUnsent letters ordering termination\n\nThis market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:26:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1560.0,"volume_24hr":1560.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":1560.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.70355224609375,"normalized_volume":14.07097339630127,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-23T00:29:39.878054Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T00:29:39.878054Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:29:22.372701Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01","event_title":"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-26SEP01","event_id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-26SEP01","question":"Will the President try to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 1, 2026","description":"If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA \"try to fire\" includes any of the following:\n\nThe President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination;\nDirects any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person;\nPublicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person;\nThe White House officially announces termination;\nSends written communication to the person informing them of termination;\nInitiates formal legal proceedings for removal\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nStatements that the person \"should\" resign or be fired;\nExpressions of dissatisfaction;\nAsking or pressuring for voluntary resignation;\nStating the President is \"looking into\" whether he can fire the person;\nStatements by other officials unless directed by the President;\nUnsent letters ordering termination\n\nThis market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:26:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":3728.0,"volume_24hr":3728.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":3728.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.399465560913086,"normalized_volume":17.60112762451172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-23T00:16:40.468451Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T00:13:15.557144Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:29:22.372701Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01","event_title":"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","as_of":"2026-07-23T05:21:46.766307Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?\" — top market at 1% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}