{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","ticker":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","title":"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:26:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31952.51,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.24468994140625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":19985.04,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2028","top_outcome_probability":0.1,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-06T23:42:28.509151Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T23:42:28.509151Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:29:22.156983Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-28JAN01","event_id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-28JAN01","question":"Will the President try to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA \"try to fire\" includes any of the following:\n\nThe President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination;\nDirects any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person;\nPublicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person;\nThe White House officially announces termination;\nSends written communication to the person informing them of termination;\nInitiates formal legal proceedings for removal\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nStatements that the person \"should\" resign or be fired;\nExpressions of dissatisfaction;\nAsking or pressuring for voluntary resignation;\nStating the President is \"looking into\" whether he can fire the person;\nStatements by other officials unless directed by the President;\nUnsent letters ordering termination\n\nThis market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:26:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":8786.44,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.67167854309082,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T09:00:47.261360Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T09:00:47.261360Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:29:22.372701Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01","event_title":"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-27JUL01","event_id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-27JUL01","question":"Will the President try to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jul 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2027","description":"If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA \"try to fire\" includes any of the following:\n\nThe President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination;\nDirects any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person;\nPublicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person;\nThe White House officially announces termination;\nSends written communication to the person informing them of termination;\nInitiates formal legal proceedings for removal\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nStatements that the person \"should\" resign or be fired;\nExpressions of dissatisfaction;\nAsking or pressuring for voluntary resignation;\nStating the President is \"looking into\" whether he can fire the person;\nStatements by other officials unless directed by the President;\nUnsent letters ordering termination\n\nThis market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:26:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","volume":11870.39,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.40057945251465,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T09:00:47.261360Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T09:00:47.261360Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:29:22.372701Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01","event_title":"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-27JAN01","event_id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-27JAN01","question":"Will the President try to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA \"try to fire\" includes any of the following:\n\nThe President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination;\nDirects any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person;\nPublicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person;\nThe White House officially announces termination;\nSends written communication to the person informing them of termination;\nInitiates formal legal proceedings for removal\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nStatements that the person \"should\" resign or be fired;\nExpressions of dissatisfaction;\nAsking or pressuring for voluntary resignation;\nStating the President is \"looking into\" whether he can fire the person;\nStatements by other officials unless directed by the President;\nUnsent letters ordering termination\n\nThis market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:26:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":3994.15,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.40846824645996,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T09:00:47.261360Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T09:00:47.261360Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:29:22.372701Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01","event_title":"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-26SEP01","event_id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-26SEP01","question":"Will the President try to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 1, 2026","description":"If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA \"try to fire\" includes any of the following:\n\nThe President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination;\nDirects any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person;\nPublicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person;\nThe White House officially announces termination;\nSends written communication to the person informing them of termination;\nInitiates formal legal proceedings for removal\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nStatements that the person \"should\" resign or be fired;\nExpressions of dissatisfaction;\nAsking or pressuring for voluntary resignation;\nStating the President is \"looking into\" whether he can fire the person;\nStatements by other officials unless directed by the President;\nUnsent letters ordering termination\n\nThis market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:26:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T13:27:24Z","volume":7301.53,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.63579559326172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T14:00:37.939940Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T14:00:37.939940Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:29:22.372701Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01","event_title":"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","as_of":"2026-09-09T07:34:30.284235Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?\" — top market at 10% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}