{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","as_of":"2026-10-24T10:27:18.479982Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?\" — 4 markets; highest \"Before Jan 1, 2028\" at 20% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","ticker":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","title":"Will Trump try to fire Kevin 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2028","top_outcome_probability":0.2,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T09:31:45.238159Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T09:31:45.238159Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:29:22.156983Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01","chart_24h":[10.0,15.0,10.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":4,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-28JAN01","event_id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-28JAN01","question":"Will the President try to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA \"try to fire\" includes any of the following:\n\nThe President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination;\nDirects any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person;\nPublicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person;\nThe White House officially announces termination;\nSends written communication to the person informing them of termination;\nInitiates formal legal proceedings for removal\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nStatements that the person \"should\" resign or be fired;\nExpressions of dissatisfaction;\nAsking or pressuring for voluntary resignation;\nStating the President is \"looking into\" whether he can fire the person;\nStatements by other officials unless directed by the President;\nUnsent letters ordering termination\n\nThis market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:26:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":9199.01,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.1509580612182617,"normalized_volume":25.931739807128906,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T09:31:45.341359Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T09:31:45.341359Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:29:22.372701Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01","event_title":"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-27JUL01","event_id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-27JUL01","question":"Will the President try to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jul 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2027","description":"If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA \"try to fire\" includes any of the following:\n\nThe President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination;\nDirects any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person;\nPublicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person;\nThe White House officially announces termination;\nSends written communication to the person informing them of termination;\nInitiates formal legal proceedings for removal\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nStatements that the person \"should\" resign or be fired;\nExpressions of dissatisfaction;\nAsking or pressuring for voluntary resignation;\nStating the President is \"looking into\" whether he can fire the person;\nStatements by other officials unless directed by the President;\nUnsent letters ordering termination\n\nThis market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.05000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:26:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":12039.63,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.483325958251953,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:21:28.662970Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:21:28.662970Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:29:22.372701Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01","event_title":"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-27JAN01","event_id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-27JAN01","question":"Will the President try to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA \"try to fire\" includes any of the following:\n\nThe President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination;\nDirects any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person;\nPublicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person;\nThe White House officially announces termination;\nSends written communication to the person informing them of termination;\nInitiates formal legal proceedings for removal\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nStatements that the person \"should\" resign or be fired;\nExpressions of dissatisfaction;\nAsking or pressuring for voluntary resignation;\nStating the President is \"looking into\" whether he can fire the person;\nStatements by other officials unless directed by the President;\nUnsent letters ordering termination\n\nThis market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.030000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:26:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":4785.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.351165771484375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T09:34:10.494612Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T09:34:10.494612Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:29:22.372701Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01","event_title":"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-26SEP01","event_id":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01","slug":"KXTRYFIREWARSH-27JAN01-26SEP01","question":"Will the President try to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 1, 2026","description":"If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA \"try to fire\" includes any of the following:\n\nThe President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination;\nDirects any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person;\nPublicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person;\nThe White House officially announces termination;\nSends written communication to the person informing them of termination;\nInitiates formal legal proceedings for removal\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nStatements that the person \"should\" resign or be fired;\nExpressions of dissatisfaction;\nAsking or pressuring for voluntary resignation;\nStating the President is \"looking into\" whether he can fire the person;\nStatements by other officials unless directed by the President;\nUnsent letters ordering termination\n\nThis market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:26:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T13:27:24Z","result":"no","volume":7301.53,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.63579559326172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T14:00:37.939940Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T14:00:37.939940Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:29:22.372701Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtryfirewarsh/will-trump-try-to-fire-kevin-warsh/kxtryfirewarsh-27jan01","event_title":"Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?","chart_24h":null}]}