{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29","as_of":"2026-10-15T08:37:39.146059Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?\" — \"Abbott by 3-6\" leads at 33% across 7 outcomes as of 2026-10-15 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxabbottpaxton/texas-abbotts-margin-vs-paxtons-margin/kxtxabbottpaxton-27jan29"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29","ticker":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29","slug":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29","title":"Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-14T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3305.48,"volume_24hr":3305.48,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.824617385864258,"normalized_volume":17.6433048248291,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3243.7799999999997,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Abbott by 3-6","top_outcome_probability":0.33,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.33,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":908.48,"updated_at":"2026-10-15T05:19:49.065311Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T05:19:49.065311Z","added_at":"2026-10-14T16:39:36.936530Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxabbottpaxton/texas-abbotts-margin-vs-paxtons-margin/kxtxabbottpaxton-27jan29","chart_24h":[0.0,5.43,7.78,187.78,187.78,188.13,3305.48],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":7,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29-R3","event_id":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29","slug":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29-R3","question":"Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Abbott by 3-6","description":"If Greg Abbott's margin in the Texas governor election minus Ken Paxton's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.6699999999999999],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.43,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-14T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-29T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":908.48,"volume_24hr":908.48,"prob_24h_change":0.33,"volume_24h_change":908.48,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.555370330810547,"normalized_volume":14.44907283782959,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T08:15:44.754727Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T08:15:44.754727Z","added_at":"2026-10-14T16:39:37.103383Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxabbottpaxton/texas-abbotts-margin-vs-paxtons-margin/kxtxabbottpaxton-27jan29","event_title":"Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29-R6","event_id":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29","slug":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29-R6","question":"Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Abbott by 6-9","description":"If Greg Abbott's margin in the Texas governor election minus Ken Paxton's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-14T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-29T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":2217.0,"volume_24hr":2217.0,"prob_24h_change":0.26,"volume_24h_change":2217.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.171497344970703,"normalized_volume":18.477901458740234,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T07:59:53.667219Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T07:59:53.667219Z","added_at":"2026-10-14T16:39:37.103383Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxabbottpaxton/texas-abbotts-margin-vs-paxtons-margin/kxtxabbottpaxton-27jan29","event_title":"Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.26,0.26]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29-R-2.99","event_id":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29","slug":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29-R-2.99","question":"Will Ken Paxton's Senate margin minus Greg Abbott's governor margin be between 0.01 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Paxton by 0-3","description":"If Ken Paxton's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Greg Abbott's margin in the Texas governor election is between 0.01 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-14T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-29T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":65.0,"volume_24hr":65.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":65.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.260871410369873,"normalized_volume":5.4643168449401855,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T01:27:30.185039Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T01:27:30.185039Z","added_at":"2026-10-14T16:39:37.103383Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxabbottpaxton/texas-abbotts-margin-vs-paxtons-margin/kxtxabbottpaxton-27jan29","event_title":"Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29-R-200","event_id":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29","slug":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29-R-200","question":"Will Ken Paxton's Senate margin minus Greg Abbott's governor margin be at least 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Paxton by 3+","description":"If Ken Paxton's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Greg Abbott's margin in the Texas governor election is at least 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-14T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-29T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":115.0,"volume_24hr":115.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":115.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.059754371643066,"normalized_volume":7.034331798553467,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T01:27:30.185039Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T01:27:30.185039Z","added_at":"2026-10-14T16:39:37.103383Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxabbottpaxton/texas-abbotts-margin-vs-paxtons-margin/kxtxabbottpaxton-27jan29","event_title":"Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29-AL12","event_id":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29","slug":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29-AL12","question":"Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be at least 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Abbott by 12+","description":"If Greg Abbott's margin in the Texas governor election minus Ken Paxton's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is at least 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-14T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-29T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T02:15:22.207805Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T02:15:22.207805Z","added_at":"2026-10-14T16:39:37.103383Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxabbottpaxton/texas-abbotts-margin-vs-paxtons-margin/kxtxabbottpaxton-27jan29","event_title":"Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29-R0","event_id":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29","slug":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29-R0","question":"Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Abbott by 0-3","description":"If Greg Abbott's margin in the Texas governor election minus Ken Paxton's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-14T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-29T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T05:34:19.661302Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T05:34:19.661302Z","added_at":"2026-10-14T16:39:37.103383Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxabbottpaxton/texas-abbotts-margin-vs-paxtons-margin/kxtxabbottpaxton-27jan29","event_title":"Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29-R9","event_id":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29","slug":"KXTXABBOTTPAXTON-27JAN29-R9","question":"Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Abbott by 9-12","description":"If Greg Abbott's margin in the Texas governor election minus Ken Paxton's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-14T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-29T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T05:34:19.661302Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T05:34:19.661302Z","added_at":"2026-10-14T16:39:37.103383Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxabbottpaxton/texas-abbotts-margin-vs-paxtons-margin/kxtxabbottpaxton-27jan29","event_title":"Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}