{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26","ticker":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26","slug":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26","title":"TX-16 Republican nominee?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":22152.57,"volume_24hr":1274.49,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.59392547607422,"normalized_volume":25.75496482849121,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":12179.55,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Adam Bauman","top_outcome_probability":0.993,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.09099999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":434.1,"updated_at":"2026-05-27T02:52:23.185587Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T02:52:23.185587Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxprimary/tx-16-republican-nominee/kxtxprimary-16r26","chart_24h":[37.0,120.35,120.36,148.12,154.69,454.69,659.69,664.69,654.69,664.69,664.69,844.69,910.4300000000001,1008.4300000000001,1133.43,1201.43,1234.26,1274.49],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26-ABAU","event_id":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26","slug":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26-ABAU","question":"Will Adam Bauman be the Republican nominee for TX-16?","group_item_title":"Adam Bauman","description":"If Adam Bauman wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.993,0.007000000000000006],"probability":0.993,"spread":0.018000000000000016,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":5273.06,"volume_24hr":471.1,"prob_24h_change":0.09099999999999997,"volume_24h_change":434.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.94200611114502,"normalized_volume":23.83382225036621,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T01:34:04.017220Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T01:33:08.939266Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxprimary/tx-16-republican-nominee/kxtxprimary-16r26","event_title":"TX-16 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.902,0.902,0.902,0.902,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.89,0.919,0.941,0.941,0.87,0.993,0.993]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26-MBAR","event_id":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26","slug":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26-MBAR","question":"Will Manuel Barranza be the Republican nominee for TX-16?","group_item_title":"Manuel Barraza","description":"If Manuel Barraza wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":0.069,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":3119.51,"volume_24hr":803.39,"prob_24h_change":-0.16,"volume_24h_change":803.39,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.27916145324707,"normalized_volume":19.035600662231445,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T02:52:23.260003Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T02:52:23.260003Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxprimary/tx-16-republican-nominee/kxtxprimary-16r26","event_title":"TX-16 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.17,0.12,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.099,0.099,0.099,0.099,0.12,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26-ARIO","event_id":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26","slug":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26-ARIO","question":"Will Arturo Rios be the Republican nominee for TX-16?","group_item_title":"Arturo Rios","description":"If Arturo Rios wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":0.009,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-20T16:32:15Z","volume":1253.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.514041900634766,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:49.237972Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:49.237972Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxprimary/tx-16-republican-nominee/kxtxprimary-16r26","event_title":"TX-16 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26-DBER","event_id":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26","slug":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26-DBER","question":"Will Dliris Montanez Berrios be the Republican nominee for TX-16?","group_item_title":"Deliris Montañez Berrios","description":"If Deliris Montañez Berrios wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-20T16:32:02Z","volume":6948.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.392431259155273,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:49.237972Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:49.237972Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxprimary/tx-16-republican-nominee/kxtxprimary-16r26","event_title":"TX-16 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26-HCAB","event_id":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26","slug":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26-HCAB","question":"Will Hector Cabildo be the Republican nominee for TX-16?","group_item_title":"Hector Cabildo","description":"If Hector Cabildo wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":0.009,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-20T16:31:32Z","volume":3003.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.80613136291504,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:49.237972Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:49.237972Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxprimary/tx-16-republican-nominee/kxtxprimary-16r26","event_title":"TX-16 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26-MCHA","event_id":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26","slug":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26-MCHA","question":"Will Marisela Chavez be the Republican nominee for TX-16?","group_item_title":"Marisela Chavez","description":"If Marisela Chavez wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-20T16:31:53Z","volume":1253.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.514041900634766,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:49.237972Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:49.237972Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxprimary/tx-16-republican-nominee/kxtxprimary-16r26","event_title":"TX-16 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26-RCAS","event_id":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26","slug":"KXTXPRIMARY-16R26-RCAS","question":"Will Raul Castaneda be the Republican nominee for TX-16?","group_item_title":"Raul Castaneda","description":"If Raul Castaneda wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-20T16:31:43Z","volume":1303.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.695545196533203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:49.237972Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:49.237972Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxprimary/tx-16-republican-nominee/kxtxprimary-16r26","event_title":"TX-16 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXTXPRIMARY-16R26","as_of":"2026-05-27T02:52:50.559821Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"TX-16 Republican nominee?\" — top market at 0% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}