{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01","ticker":"KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01","slug":"KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01","title":"Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2707.0,"volume_24hr":2707.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.901601791381836,"normalized_volume":16.88564109802246,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2707.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2028","top_outcome_probability":0.75,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.75,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":507.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-25T05:40:55.911888Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T05:40:55.911888Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T23:08:21.538490Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukchagos/will-the-uk-reverse-the-diego-garcia-sovereignty-transfer/kxukchagos-28jan01","chart_24h":[0.0,2707.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01-28JAN01","event_id":"KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01","slug":"KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01-28JAN01","question":"Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If the UK agrees to or announces a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA decision qualifies if the UK government announces that it will not transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius, including by abandoning the May 22, 2025 UK-Mauritius treaty or agreeing to a replacement arrangement under which the UK retains sovereignty over Diego Garcia. Abandoning, withdrawing from, or superseding that treaty qualifies only if the UK does not, at the same time, agree to, announce, or state its intention to pursue another arrangement under which Mauritius would become sovereign over Diego Garcia. Changes to payments, the duration or terms of the UK's use of Diego Garcia, security provisions, implementation dates, or other treaty provisions do not qualify if Mauritius would still become sovereign over Diego Garcia.\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents\nThink-tank recommendations\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions (unless specified)\nRetraction of previously announced commitments","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.48,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":507.0,"volume_24hr":507.0,"prob_24h_change":0.75,"volume_24h_change":507.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.382488250732422,"normalized_volume":12.084330558776855,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom","Mauritius"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T05:40:56.284232Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T05:40:56.284232Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T23:08:21.649957Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukchagos/will-the-uk-reverse-the-diego-garcia-sovereignty-transfer/kxukchagos-28jan01","event_title":"Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01-27AUG01","event_id":"KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01","slug":"KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01-27AUG01","question":"Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Aug 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Aug 1, 2027","description":"If the UK agrees to or announces a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Aug 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA decision qualifies if the UK government announces that it will not transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius, including by abandoning the May 22, 2025 UK-Mauritius treaty or agreeing to a replacement arrangement under which the UK retains sovereignty over Diego Garcia. Abandoning, withdrawing from, or superseding that treaty qualifies only if the UK does not, at the same time, agree to, announce, or state its intention to pursue another arrangement under which Mauritius would become sovereign over Diego Garcia. Changes to payments, the duration or terms of the UK's use of Diego Garcia, security provisions, implementation dates, or other treaty provisions do not qualify if Mauritius would still become sovereign over Diego Garcia.\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents\nThink-tank recommendations\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions (unless specified)\nRetraction of previously announced commitments","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.42000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","volume":470.0,"volume_24hr":470.0,"prob_24h_change":0.65,"volume_24h_change":470.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.059596061706543,"normalized_volume":11.792760848999023,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom","Mauritius"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T06:53:01.385043Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T06:53:01.385043Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T23:08:21.649957Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukchagos/will-the-uk-reverse-the-diego-garcia-sovereignty-transfer/kxukchagos-28jan01","event_title":"Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.65,0.65]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01-27APR01","event_id":"KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01","slug":"KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01-27APR01","question":"Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Apr 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Apr 1, 2027","description":"If the UK agrees to or announces a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA decision qualifies if the UK government announces that it will not transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius, including by abandoning the May 22, 2025 UK-Mauritius treaty or agreeing to a replacement arrangement under which the UK retains sovereignty over Diego Garcia. Abandoning, withdrawing from, or superseding that treaty qualifies only if the UK does not, at the same time, agree to, announce, or state its intention to pursue another arrangement under which Mauritius would become sovereign over Diego Garcia. Changes to payments, the duration or terms of the UK's use of Diego Garcia, security provisions, implementation dates, or other treaty provisions do not qualify if Mauritius would still become sovereign over Diego Garcia.\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents\nThink-tank recommendations\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions (unless specified)\nRetraction of previously announced commitments","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.44999999999999996],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.43000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","volume":636.0,"volume_24hr":636.0,"prob_24h_change":0.55,"volume_24h_change":636.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.372232437133789,"normalized_volume":12.978065490722656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom","Mauritius"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T05:40:56.284232Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T05:40:56.284232Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T23:08:21.649957Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukchagos/will-the-uk-reverse-the-diego-garcia-sovereignty-transfer/kxukchagos-28jan01","event_title":"Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.55]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01-26DEC01","event_id":"KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01","slug":"KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01-26DEC01","question":"Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Dec 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Dec 1, 2026","description":"If the UK agrees to or announces a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA decision qualifies if the UK government announces that it will not transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius, including by abandoning the May 22, 2025 UK-Mauritius treaty or agreeing to a replacement arrangement under which the UK retains sovereignty over Diego Garcia. Abandoning, withdrawing from, or superseding that treaty qualifies only if the UK does not, at the same time, agree to, announce, or state its intention to pursue another arrangement under which Mauritius would become sovereign over Diego Garcia. Changes to payments, the duration or terms of the UK's use of Diego Garcia, security provisions, implementation dates, or other treaty provisions do not qualify if Mauritius would still become sovereign over Diego Garcia.\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents\nThink-tank recommendations\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions (unless specified)\nRetraction of previously announced commitments","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.38999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1094.0,"volume_24hr":1094.0,"prob_24h_change":0.45,"volume_24h_change":1094.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.88514518737793,"normalized_volume":15.247214317321777,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T05:40:56.284232Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T05:40:56.284232Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T23:08:21.649957Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukchagos/will-the-uk-reverse-the-diego-garcia-sovereignty-transfer/kxukchagos-28jan01","event_title":"Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.45]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUKCHAGOS-28JAN01","as_of":"2026-09-25T08:34:29.961073Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?\" — top market at 45% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}