{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","ticker":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1991.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.195943832397461,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":982.6899999999999,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Reform UK minority + Conservative support","top_outcome_probability":0.15,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-12.58,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:40:42.182114Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T23:40:42.182114Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:09.847613Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-REFC","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-REFC","question":"Will Reform UK minority + Conservative support form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Reform UK minority + Conservative support","description":"If Reform UK with the support of the Conservative Party exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.062,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":12.59,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-12.58,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.086939573287964,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:42:10.923327Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T23:40:42.361547Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-REFMAJ","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-REFMAJ","question":"Will Reform UK majority form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Reform UK majority","description":"If Reform UK, with Reform UK holding a majority of seats in the House of Commons exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.064,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":12.87,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.1196892261505127,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:51:51.025221Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T23:40:42.361547Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-REFMIN","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-REFMIN","question":"Will Reform UK minority form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Reform UK minority","description":"If Reform UK, with Reform UK not holding a majority of seats in the House of Commons and with no other party in a confidence and supply arrangement with the ruling government exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.064,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":17.12,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-17.11,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.572481870651245,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:42:10.923327Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T23:40:42.361547Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LABMAJ","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LABMAJ","question":"Will Labour majority form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Labour majority","description":"If the Labour Party, with the Labour Party holding a majority of seats in the House of Commons exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.055,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1010.03,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.67244815826416,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:54:55.193273Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T23:33:49.091120Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-REFDUP","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-REFDUP","question":"Will Reform UK minority + DUP support form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Reform UK minority + DUP support","description":"If Reform UK with the support of the Democratic Unionist Party exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":112.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.850550174713135,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:50.361347Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T23:40:42.361547Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.065,0.065]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-REFCONDUP","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-REFCONDUP","question":"Will Reform UK, Conservative, and DUP coalition form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Reform UK, Conservative, and DUP coalition","description":"If Reform UK, the Conservative Party, and the Democratic Unionist Party exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.056,0.944],"probability":0.056,"spread":0.043,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":61.35,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-33.33,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.235179901123047,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:42:10.923327Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T23:40:42.361547Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.056,0.056]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-REFCON","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-REFCON","question":"Will Reform UK and Conservative coalition form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Reform UK and Conservative coalition","description":"If Reform UK and the Conservative Party exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.054,0.946],"probability":0.054,"spread":0.020999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":48.58,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.670660495758057,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:51:51.025221Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T23:40:42.361547Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.054,0.054]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LLG","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LLG","question":"Will Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition","description":"If the Labour Party, the Liberal Democrats, and the Green Party exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.039,0.961],"probability":0.039,"spread":0.061000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":225.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.006352424621582,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:54:55.193273Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T23:33:49.091120Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.039,0.039]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-CMIN","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-CMIN","question":"Will Conservative minority form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Conservative minority","description":"If the Conservative Party, with the Conservative Party not holding a majority of seats in the House of Commons and with no other party in a confidence and supply arrangement with the ruling government exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.038,0.962],"probability":0.038,"spread":0.018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":234.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.13657283782959,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:37:53.866159Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:37:53.866159Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.038,0.038,0.038]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LABMIN","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LABMIN","question":"Will Labour minority form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Labour minority","description":"If the Labour Party, with the Labour Party not holding a majority of seats in the House of Commons and with no other party in a confidence and supply arrangement with the ruling government exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.036,0.964],"probability":0.036,"spread":0.056999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":74.24,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-61.22,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.722097873687744,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:37:53.866159Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:37:53.866159Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.036,0.036,0.036,0.036]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LABMINSNP","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LABMINSNP","question":"Will Labour minority + SNP support form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Labour minority + SNP support","description":"If the Labour Party with the support of the Scottish National Party exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.036,0.964],"probability":0.036,"spread":0.053000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":28.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.47688889503479,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:54:55.193273Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T23:33:49.091120Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.036,0.036]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-CONREF","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-CONREF","question":"Will Conservative minority + Reform UK support form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Conservative minority + Reform UK support","description":"If the Conservative Party with the support of Reform UK exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.026,0.974],"probability":0.026,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":9.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.6279280185699463,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:54:55.193273Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T23:33:49.091120Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.026,0.026]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-CMAJ","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-CMAJ","question":"Will Conservative majority form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Conservative majority","description":"If the Conservative Party, with the Conservative Party holding a majority of seats in the House of Commons exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.014,0.986],"probability":0.014,"spread":0.028999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":14.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.250044822692871,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:37:53.866159Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:37:53.866159Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LLIB","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LLIB","question":"Will Labour minority + Liberal Democrat support form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Labour minority + Liberal Democrat support","description":"If the Labour Party with the support of the Liberal Democrats exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.014,0.986],"probability":0.014,"spread":0.058,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":14.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.250044822692871,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:37:53.866159Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:37:53.866159Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LLL","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LLL","question":"Will Labour and Liberal Democrat coalition form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Labour and Liberal Democrat coalition","description":"If the Labour Party and the Liberal Democrats exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.014,0.986],"probability":0.014,"spread":0.048,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":14.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.250044822692871,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:37:53.866159Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:37:53.866159Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-RAINBOW","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-RAINBOW","question":"Will Labour minority + LD/Green/SNP/Plaid support form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Labour minority + LD/Green/SNP/Plaid support","description":"If the Labour Party with the support of the Liberal Democrats, the Green Party, the Scottish National Party, and Plaid Cymru exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.014,0.986],"probability":0.014,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":14.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.250044822692871,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:54:55.193273Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T23:33:49.091120Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.014,0.014]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-CONDUP","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-CONDUP","question":"Will Conservative minority + DUP support form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Conservative minority + DUP support","description":"If the Conservative Party with the support of the Democratic Unionist Party exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.012,0.988],"probability":0.012,"spread":0.039999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":30.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.615854263305664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:54:55.193273Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T23:33:49.091120Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.012,0.012]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-CONLD","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-CONLD","question":"Will Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition","description":"If the Conservative Party and the Liberal Democrats exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":30.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.615854263305664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:25:28.348405Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T04:37:43.151426Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LABMINGRE","event_id":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","slug":"KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LABMINGRE","question":"Will Labour minority + Green support form the next government in the United Kingdom?","group_item_title":"Labour minority + Green support","description":"If the Labour Party with the support of the Green Party exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.\n\nA sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.019000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":30.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.615854263305664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:25:28.348405Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T04:37:43.151426Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T14:09:10.628757Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukcoalition/next-government-of-the-united-kingdom/kxukcoalition-30jan01","event_title":"Next government of the United Kingdom?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:48:08.794428Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Next government of the United Kingdom?\" — top market at 15% probability across 19 outcomes","source_url":null}}