{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31","as_of":"2026-11-04T07:11:11.799743Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will lead POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026?\" — \"Conservative Party\" leads at 0% across 6 outcomes as of 2026-11-02 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukpollfirst/who-will-lead-politicos-uk-poll-of-polls-on-dec-31-2026/kxukpollfirst-26dec31"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31","ticker":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31","slug":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31","title":"Who will lead POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Conservative Party","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-11-02T07:14:50.189168Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T07:14:50.189168Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T07:14:50.189168Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukpollfirst/who-will-lead-politicos-uk-poll-of-polls-on-dec-31-2026/kxukpollfirst-26dec31","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":6,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31-CON","event_id":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31","slug":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31-CON","question":"Will Conservative Party be first in POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?","group_item_title":"Conservative Party","description":"If Conservative Party is first in POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is first if it has the highest percentage shown for the most recent date in the default view of the Parliament voting intention chart on POLITICO’s Poll of Polls page for the United Kingdom, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, whether or not that date is Dec 31. Percentages are compared as displayed, in whole numbers, and every party shown on the chart is ranked.\n\nIf two or more parties are tied for the highest displayed percentage, each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, where N is the number of tied strikes.\n\nIndividual polls, seat projections, approval ratings and later revisions to the chart do NOT count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T17:51:24.545616Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T17:51:24.545616Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T07:14:50.284044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukpollfirst/who-will-lead-politicos-uk-poll-of-polls-on-dec-31-2026/kxukpollfirst-26dec31","event_title":"Who will lead POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31-GRN","event_id":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31","slug":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31-GRN","question":"Will Green Party be first in POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?","group_item_title":"Green Party","description":"If Green Party is first in POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is first if it has the highest percentage shown for the most recent date in the default view of the Parliament voting intention chart on POLITICO’s Poll of Polls page for the United Kingdom, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, whether or not that date is Dec 31. Percentages are compared as displayed, in whole numbers, and every party shown on the chart is ranked.\n\nIf two or more parties are tied for the highest displayed percentage, each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, where N is the number of tied strikes.\n\nIndividual polls, seat projections, approval ratings and later revisions to the chart do NOT count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T17:51:24.545616Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T17:51:24.545616Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T07:14:50.284044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukpollfirst/who-will-lead-politicos-uk-poll-of-polls-on-dec-31-2026/kxukpollfirst-26dec31","event_title":"Who will lead POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31-LAB","event_id":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31","slug":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31-LAB","question":"Will Labour Party be first in POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?","group_item_title":"Labour Party","description":"If Labour Party is first in POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is first if it has the highest percentage shown for the most recent date in the default view of the Parliament voting intention chart on POLITICO’s Poll of Polls page for the United Kingdom, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, whether or not that date is Dec 31. Percentages are compared as displayed, in whole numbers, and every party shown on the chart is ranked.\n\nIf two or more parties are tied for the highest displayed percentage, each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, where N is the number of tied strikes.\n\nIndividual polls, seat projections, approval ratings and later revisions to the chart do NOT count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T17:51:24.545616Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T17:51:24.545616Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T07:14:50.284044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukpollfirst/who-will-lead-politicos-uk-poll-of-polls-on-dec-31-2026/kxukpollfirst-26dec31","event_title":"Who will lead POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31-LD","event_id":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31","slug":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31-LD","question":"Will Liberal Democrats be first in POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?","group_item_title":"Liberal Democrats","description":"If Liberal Democrats is first in POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is first if it has the highest percentage shown for the most recent date in the default view of the Parliament voting intention chart on POLITICO’s Poll of Polls page for the United Kingdom, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, whether or not that date is Dec 31. Percentages are compared as displayed, in whole numbers, and every party shown on the chart is ranked.\n\nIf two or more parties are tied for the highest displayed percentage, each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, where N is the number of tied strikes.\n\nIndividual polls, seat projections, approval ratings and later revisions to the chart do NOT count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T17:51:24.545616Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T17:51:24.545616Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T07:14:50.284044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukpollfirst/who-will-lead-politicos-uk-poll-of-polls-on-dec-31-2026/kxukpollfirst-26dec31","event_title":"Who will lead POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31-RBRI","event_id":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31","slug":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31-RBRI","question":"Will Restore Britain be first in POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?","group_item_title":"Restore Britain","description":"If Restore Britain is first in POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is first if it has the highest percentage shown for the most recent date in the default view of the Parliament voting intention chart on POLITICO’s Poll of Polls page for the United Kingdom, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, whether or not that date is Dec 31. Percentages are compared as displayed, in whole numbers, and every party shown on the chart is ranked.\n\nIf two or more parties are tied for the highest displayed percentage, each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, where N is the number of tied strikes.\n\nIndividual polls, seat projections, approval ratings and later revisions to the chart do NOT count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T17:51:24.545616Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T17:51:24.545616Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T07:14:50.284044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukpollfirst/who-will-lead-politicos-uk-poll-of-polls-on-dec-31-2026/kxukpollfirst-26dec31","event_title":"Who will lead POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31-REF","event_id":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31","slug":"KXUKPOLLFIRST-26DEC31-REF","question":"Will Reform UK be first in POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?","group_item_title":"Reform UK","description":"If Reform UK is first in POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party is first if it has the highest percentage shown for the most recent date in the default view of the Parliament voting intention chart on POLITICO’s Poll of Polls page for the United Kingdom, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, whether or not that date is Dec 31. Percentages are compared as displayed, in whole numbers, and every party shown on the chart is ranked.\n\nIf two or more parties are tied for the highest displayed percentage, each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, where N is the number of tied strikes.\n\nIndividual polls, seat projections, approval ratings and later revisions to the chart do NOT count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T17:51:24.545616Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T17:51:24.545616Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T07:14:50.284044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukpollfirst/who-will-lead-politicos-uk-poll-of-polls-on-dec-31-2026/kxukpollfirst-26dec31","event_title":"Who will lead POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026?","chart_24h":null}]}