{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKRAINEEU-27JAN01","ticker":"KXUKRAINEEU-27JAN01","slug":"KXUKRAINEEU-27JAN01","title":"Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1171.02,"volume_24hr":100.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.903145790100098,"normalized_volume":13.148239135742188,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1113.92,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.19,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:37:23.388544Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T20:37:23.388544Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukraineeu/will-ukraine-become-an-eu-associate-member-in-2026/kxukraineeu-27jan01","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUKRAINEEU-27JAN01","event_id":"KXUKRAINEEU-27JAN01","slug":"KXUKRAINEEU-27JAN01","question":"Will the European Union agree to or announce that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If the European Union agrees to or announces that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPre-Accession Institutional Participation Status means any formal EU-approved pre-accession status or arrangement, however described, that allows Ukraine to sit in, attend, observe, or be represented at meetings of EU ministers, EU leaders, or EU institutions without voting rights before Ukraine becomes a full EU Member State.\n\nCandidate-country status, accession negotiations, EU-law screening, funding access, or Ukraine’s existing EU Association Agreement shall not qualify unless Ukraine receives new non-voting participation or representation rights in EU ministerial, leaders’, or institutional meetings.\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents\nThink-tank recommendations\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions (unless specified)\nRetraction of previously announced commitments","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1171.02,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.39691162109375,"normalized_volume":15.305841445922852,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","European Union"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:39:28.782329Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T20:37:23.546992Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxukraineeu/will-ukraine-become-an-eu-associate-member-in-2026/kxukraineeu-27jan01","event_title":"Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUKRAINEEU-27JAN01","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:29:05.543895Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?\" — top market at 19% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}