{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUPASSEMBLY-27MAY22","ticker":"KXUPASSEMBLY-27MAY22","slug":"KXUPASSEMBLY-27MAY22","title":"Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1803.4099999999999,"volume_24hr":1803.4099999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.23232078552246,"normalized_volume":15.320525169372559,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1748.41,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"BJP-led NDA","top_outcome_probability":0.81,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.81,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":528.41,"updated_at":"2026-09-01T16:33:35.946310Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T16:33:35.946310Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T02:04:13.514213Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxupassembly/who-will-win-the-2027-uttar-pradesh-assembly-election/kxupassembly-27may22","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,1803.4099999999999],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUPASSEMBLY-27MAY22-NDA","event_id":"KXUPASSEMBLY-27MAY22","slug":"KXUPASSEMBLY-27MAY22-NDA","question":"Will Bharatiya Janata Party-led NDA win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?","group_item_title":"BJP-led NDA","description":"If Bharatiya Janata Party-led NDA wins the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. If an unlisted party, coalition, or alliance wins the most seats, every named market resolves NO. Alliance labels are interpreted as publicly constituted at issuance.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.81,0.18999999999999995],"probability":0.81,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-21T14:00:00Z","volume":528.41,"volume_24hr":528.41,"prob_24h_change":0.81,"volume_24h_change":528.41,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.168530464172363,"normalized_volume":12.244997024536133,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["India"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T18:54:36.806576Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T18:54:36.806576Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T02:04:13.648240Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxupassembly/who-will-win-the-2027-uttar-pradesh-assembly-election/kxupassembly-27may22","event_title":"Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.81,0.81,0.81]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUPASSEMBLY-27MAY22-SPINC","event_id":"KXUPASSEMBLY-27MAY22","slug":"KXUPASSEMBLY-27MAY22-SPINC","question":"Will SP-Congress alliance win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?","group_item_title":"SP-Congress alliance","description":"If SP-Congress alliance wins the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. If an unlisted party, coalition, or alliance wins the most seats, every named market resolves NO. Alliance labels are interpreted as publicly constituted at issuance.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-21T14:00:00Z","volume":55.0,"volume_24hr":55.0,"prob_24h_change":0.18,"volume_24h_change":55.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.248444080352783,"normalized_volume":5.0441389083862305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["India"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T16:33:36.054236Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T16:33:36.054236Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T02:04:13.648240Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxupassembly/who-will-win-the-2027-uttar-pradesh-assembly-election/kxupassembly-27may22","event_title":"Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUPASSEMBLY-27MAY22-BSP","event_id":"KXUPASSEMBLY-27MAY22","slug":"KXUPASSEMBLY-27MAY22-BSP","question":"Will Bahujan Samaj Party win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?","group_item_title":"Bahujan Samaj Party","description":"If Bahujan Samaj Party wins the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. If an unlisted party, coalition, or alliance wins the most seats, every named market resolves NO. Alliance labels are interpreted as publicly constituted at issuance.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-21T14:00:00Z","volume":1220.0,"volume_24hr":1220.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":1220.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.479995727539062,"normalized_volume":15.725483894348145,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["India"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T16:33:36.054236Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T16:33:36.054236Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T02:04:13.648240Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxupassembly/who-will-win-the-2027-uttar-pradesh-assembly-election/kxupassembly-27may22","event_title":"Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUPASSEMBLY-27MAY22","as_of":"2026-09-01T20:02:06.646449Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?\" — top market at 3% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}