{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSMCA-26","ticker":"KXUSMCA-26","slug":"KXUSMCA-26","title":"Will Trump try to leave the USMCA?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8978.73,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.815975189208984,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2925.98,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.22,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-04T12:41:27.959298Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T12:41:27.959298Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusmca/will-trump-try-to-leave-the-usmca/kxusmca-26","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSMCA-26-27","event_id":"KXUSMCA-26","slug":"KXUSMCA-26-27","question":"Will Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2027?","group_item_title":"Before 2027","description":"If the United States submits a notice of withdrawal from the USMCA before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.06999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":8045.71,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.789138793945312,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Canada","Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:45:54.116740Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T13:45:54.116740Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusmca/will-trump-try-to-leave-the-usmca/kxusmca-26","event_title":"Will Trump try to leave the USMCA?","chart_24h":[0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSMCA-26-JUL","event_id":"KXUSMCA-26","slug":"KXUSMCA-26-JUL","question":"Will Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2026?","group_item_title":"Before July 2026","description":"If the United States submits a notice of withdrawal from the USMCA before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.074,0.926],"probability":0.074,"spread":0.064,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-12T01:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","volume":933.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.338340759277344,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Canada","Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:42:44.726795Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:04:21.831228Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusmca/will-trump-try-to-leave-the-usmca/kxusmca-26","event_title":"Will Trump try to leave the USMCA?","chart_24h":[0.074,0.074]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUSMCA-26","as_of":"2026-06-10T13:56:54.757157Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Trump try to leave the USMCA?\" — top market at 22% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}