{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSMCA-26","ticker":"KXUSMCA-26","slug":"KXUSMCA-26","title":"Will Trump try to leave the USMCA?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13212.5,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.119932174682617,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4440.71,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.13,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-24T18:56:14.945919Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T18:56:14.945919Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusmca/will-trump-try-to-leave-the-usmca/kxusmca-26","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSMCA-26-27","event_id":"KXUSMCA-26","slug":"KXUSMCA-26-27","question":"Will Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2027?","group_item_title":"Before 2027","description":"If the United States submits a notice of withdrawal from the USMCA before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.05900000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":11520.89,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.76117706298828,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Canada","Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T17:04:49.104165Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T20:09:13.531491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusmca/will-trump-try-to-leave-the-usmca/kxusmca-26","event_title":"Will Trump try to leave the USMCA?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSMCA-26-JUL","event_id":"KXUSMCA-26","slug":"KXUSMCA-26-JUL","question":"Will Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2026?","group_item_title":"Before July 2026","description":"If the United States submits a notice of withdrawal from the USMCA before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.046,0.954],"probability":0.046,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-12T01:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","volume":1691.61,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.382473945617676,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Canada","Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T14:08:51.578128Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T07:09:16.491020Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusmca/will-trump-try-to-leave-the-usmca/kxusmca-26","event_title":"Will Trump try to leave the USMCA?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUSMCA-26","as_of":"2026-07-25T22:58:56.699600Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Trump try to leave the USMCA?\" — top market at 13% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}