{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29","ticker":"KXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29","slug":"KXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29","title":"Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-27T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":424.44,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.984888076782227,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":394.02,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 20, 2029","top_outcome_probability":0.54,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-31T16:48:17.768240Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T16:48:17.768240Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T00:06:30.561505Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusopenaianth/will-the-us-take-at-least-1-stakes-in-both-openai-and-anthropic/kxusopenaianth-29jan29","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29-29JAN20","event_id":"KXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29","slug":"KXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29-29JAN20","question":"Will the U.S. federal government take a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 20, 2029?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 20, 2029","description":"If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nTaking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.45999999999999996],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.08000000000000007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-27T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-20T14:59:00Z","volume":5.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.001257300376892,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T06:32:36.210477Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T06:32:36.210477Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T00:06:31.735039Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusopenaianth/will-the-us-take-at-least-1-stakes-in-both-openai-and-anthropic/kxusopenaianth-29jan29","event_title":"Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?","chart_24h":[0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29-28JAN01","event_id":"KXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29","slug":"KXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29-28JAN01","question":"Will the U.S. federal government take a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nTaking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.5900000000000001],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T14:59:00Z","volume":157.43,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.987151622772217,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T06:57:07.606347Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T06:57:07.606347Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T00:06:31.735039Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusopenaianth/will-the-us-take-at-least-1-stakes-in-both-openai-and-anthropic/kxusopenaianth-29jan29","event_title":"Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?","chart_24h":[0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29-27JAN01","event_id":"KXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29","slug":"KXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29-27JAN01","question":"Will the U.S. federal government take a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nTaking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T14:59:00Z","volume":262.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.665528297424316,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T06:57:07.606347Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T06:57:07.606347Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T00:06:31.735039Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusopenaianth/will-the-us-take-at-least-1-stakes-in-both-openai-and-anthropic/kxusopenaianth-29jan29","event_title":"Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.16]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29","as_of":"2026-09-01T10:44:45.390389Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?\" — top market at 54% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}