{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02","ticker":"KXUST10A-26JUL02","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL02","title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 2, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-01T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T03:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-02T18:00:00Z","volume":4039.49,"volume_24hr":3939.46,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.052974700927734,"normalized_volume":19.567407608032227,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3761.6,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.25% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":25.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.410345Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.410345Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T19:32:24.877746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-2-2026/kxust10a-26jul02","chart_24h":[50.0,58.0,59.0,877.12,898.23,925.53,1028.82,1034.15,1037.01,2699.14,2794.77,2795.85,3282.03,3295.26,3315.95,3368.41,3371.11,3548.11,3563.26,3568.88,3591.87,3775.3900000000003,3936.46,3939.46],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.24","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 2, 2026, or one week following Jul 2, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-01T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T03:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-02T18:00:00Z","volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.4994850158691406,"normalized_volume":3.139505624771118,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T19:32:25.080686Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-2-2026/kxust10a-26jul02","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.34","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 2, 2026, or one week following Jul 2, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-01T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T03:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-02T18:00:00Z","volume":1474.22,"volume_24hr":1474.22,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1474.22,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.551443099975586,"normalized_volume":15.745989799499512,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T19:32:25.080686Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-2-2026/kxust10a-26jul02","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.44","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 2, 2026, or one week following Jul 2, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-01T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T03:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-02T18:00:00Z","volume":945.87,"volume_24hr":945.87,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":945.87,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.483110427856445,"normalized_volume":13.89041805267334,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T19:32:25.080686Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-2-2026/kxust10a-26jul02","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.29","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 2, 2026, or one week following Jul 2, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.96,0.040000000000000036],"probability":0.96,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-01T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T03:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-02T18:00:00Z","volume":851.12,"volume_24hr":851.12,"prob_24h_change":0.96,"volume_24h_change":851.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.010366439819336,"normalized_volume":13.466303825378418,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T19:32:25.080686Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-2-2026/kxust10a-26jul02","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.49","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 2, 2026, or one week following Jul 2, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-01T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T03:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-02T18:00:00Z","volume":738.28,"volume_24hr":643.25,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":643.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.792020797729492,"normalized_volume":12.905296325683594,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T18:02:15.018151Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T19:32:25.080686Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-2-2026/kxust10a-26jul02","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.62,0.61,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.39","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 2, 2026, or one week following Jul 2, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-01T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T03:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-02T18:00:00Z","volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.9494951963424683,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T18:02:15.018151Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T19:32:25.080686Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-2-2026/kxust10a-26jul02","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.54","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 2, 2026, or one week following Jul 2, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-01T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T03:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-02T18:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T19:32:25.080686Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-2-2026/kxust10a-26jul02","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.59","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.59","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.6% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Jul 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 2, 2026, or one week following Jul 2, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-01T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T03:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-02T18:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T19:32:25.080686Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-2-2026/kxust10a-26jul02","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.64","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL02","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL02-T4.64","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Jul 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.65% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Jul 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 2, 2026, or one week following Jul 2, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-01T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T03:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-02T18:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T18:01:57.416246Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T19:32:25.080686Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-2-2026/kxust10a-26jul02","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST10A-26JUL02","as_of":"2026-07-02T20:18:44.028833Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 2, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}