{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06","ticker":"KXUST10A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL06","title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":751.3199999999999,"volume_24hr":751.3199999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.651313781738281,"normalized_volume":12.441805839538574,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":520.58,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.3% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":75.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-04T08:24:09.912163Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T08:24:09.912163Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.565579Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust10a-26jul06","chart_24h":[0.0,250.0,325.0,326.64,376.65,381.23,382.32,486.99,490.3,594.98,628.0799999999999,738.28,743.74,745.92],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.29","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":75.0,"volume_24hr":75.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":75.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.644573211669922,"normalized_volume":5.546975612640381,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T21:26:47.001895Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T21:25:04.221890Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust10a-26jul06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.44","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.39,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":172.15,"volume_24hr":172.15,"prob_24h_change":0.92,"volume_24h_change":172.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.995096683502197,"normalized_volume":7.8568572998046875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T08:25:10.901795Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T08:24:10.088079Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust10a-26jul06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.49","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.36000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":254.17,"volume_24hr":254.17,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":254.17,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.243369102478027,"normalized_volume":9.083545684814453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T08:24:10.088079Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T08:24:10.088079Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust10a-26jul06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.75,0.63,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.69","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.69","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.7% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":250.0,"volume_24hr":250.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":250.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.18848705291748,"normalized_volume":9.02961254119873,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T21:25:04.221890Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T21:25:04.221890Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust10a-26jul06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.34","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.31999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T06:14:57.455103Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T06:14:57.455103Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust10a-26jul06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.39","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.36,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T07:19:59.640956Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T07:19:59.640956Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust10a-26jul06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.54","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.4,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T06:28:39.461423Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T06:28:39.461423Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust10a-26jul06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.59","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.59","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.6% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.36,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T08:11:17.297746Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T08:11:17.297746Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust10a-26jul06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.64","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL06-T4.64","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.65% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.28,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T07:19:59.640956Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T07:19:59.640956Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust10a-26jul06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST10A-26JUL06","as_of":"2026-07-04T08:27:14.931359Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?\" — top market at 4% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}