{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10","ticker":"KXUST10A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL10","title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.04,"volume_24hr":5.04,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.9327613711357117,"normalized_volume":0.9173495769500732,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5.04,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.35% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5.04,"updated_at":"2026-07-03T22:17:48.113620Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T22:17:48.113620Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.008867Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust10a-26jul10","chart_24h":[0.0,5.04],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.34","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":5.04,"volume_24hr":5.04,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":5.04,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.9733592867851257,"normalized_volume":0.9565504789352417,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T22:19:55.395390Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T22:17:48.300567Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust10a-26jul10","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.29","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust10a-26jul10","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.39","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust10a-26jul10","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.44","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust10a-26jul10","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.49","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust10a-26jul10","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.54","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust10a-26jul10","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.59","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.59","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.6% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust10a-26jul10","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.64","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.64","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.65% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust10a-26jul10","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.69","event_id":"KXUST10A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST10A-26JUL10-T4.69","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.7% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10a/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust10a-26jul10","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST10A-26JUL10","as_of":"2026-07-04T08:19:39.485530Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}