{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","ticker":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1413.72,"volume_24hr":1413.72,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.42044448852539,"normalized_volume":14.48796272277832,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1197.27,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.51% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-06T03:39:17.343346Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T03:39:17.343346Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.232730Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","chart_24h":[50.0,51.0,352.0,580.0,890.0,1047.63,1144.63,1386.08,1400.08,1409.18,1413.72],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.50","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.50","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.50% on Aug 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.51% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.50% on Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 6, 2026, or one week following Aug 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T19:30:00Z","volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.8794054985046387,"normalized_volume":3.304511547088623,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T04:07:23.446308Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T04:07:23.446308Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.368408Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.52","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.52","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.52% on Aug 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.53% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.52% on Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 6, 2026, or one week following Aug 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T19:30:00Z","volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.8794054985046387,"normalized_volume":3.304511547088623,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T01:21:33.799591Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T01:18:22.059010Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.368408Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.56","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.56","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.56% on Aug 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.57% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.56% on Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 6, 2026, or one week following Aug 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.93,0.06999999999999995],"probability":0.93,"spread":0.029999999999999916,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T19:30:00Z","volume":108.0,"volume_24hr":108.0,"prob_24h_change":0.93,"volume_24h_change":108.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.043268203735352,"normalized_volume":6.8513264656066895,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T04:07:23.446308Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T04:07:23.446308Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.368408Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.60","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.60","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Aug 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.61% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.60% on Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 6, 2026, or one week following Aug 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.039999999999999925,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T19:30:00Z","volume":241.45,"volume_24hr":241.45,"prob_24h_change":0.65,"volume_24h_change":241.45,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.018128395080566,"normalized_volume":9.385337829589844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T04:07:23.446308Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T04:07:23.446308Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.368408Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.62","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.62","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Aug 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.63% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.62% on Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 6, 2026, or one week following Aug 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.5700000000000001],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T19:30:00Z","volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.1732666492462158,"normalized_volume":0.9993987679481506,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T03:23:01.027733Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T03:23:01.027733Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.368408Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.64","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.64","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Aug 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.65% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 6, 2026, or one week following Aug 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.6799999999999999],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T19:30:00Z","volume":313.0,"volume_24hr":313.0,"prob_24h_change":0.32,"volume_24h_change":313.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.080398559570312,"normalized_volume":10.290189743041992,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T04:07:23.446308Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T04:07:23.446308Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.368408Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.66","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.66","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Aug 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.67% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.66% on Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 6, 2026, or one week following Aug 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.06000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T19:30:00Z","volume":257.63,"volume_24hr":257.63,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":257.63,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.278924942016602,"normalized_volume":9.607487678527832,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T04:07:23.446308Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T04:07:23.446308Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.368408Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.68","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.68","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Aug 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.69% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.68% on Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 6, 2026, or one week following Aug 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T19:30:00Z","volume":113.64,"volume_24hr":113.64,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":113.64,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.21718692779541,"normalized_volume":6.999471664428711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T04:07:23.446308Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T04:07:23.446308Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.368408Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.72","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.72","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Aug 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.73% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.72% on Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 6, 2026, or one week following Aug 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T19:30:00Z","volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.78400993347168,"normalized_volume":6.63048791885376,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T23:23:56.462232Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T23:21:58.805731Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.368408Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.70","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.70","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Aug 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.71% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.70% on Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 6, 2026, or one week following Aug 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T19:30:00Z","volume":225.0,"volume_24hr":225.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.01,"volume_24h_change":200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.737955093383789,"normalized_volume":9.146684646606445,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T01:21:33.799591Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T01:18:22.059010Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.368408Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.54","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Aug 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 6, 2026, or one week following Aug 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T01:18:22.059010Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T01:18:22.059010Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.368408Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.58","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.58","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.58% on Aug 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.59% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.58% on Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 6, 2026, or one week following Aug 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T03:23:01.027733Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T03:23:01.027733Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.368408Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.74","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.74","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Aug 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.75% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 6, 2026, or one week following Aug 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T03:39:17.559010Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T03:39:17.559010Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.368408Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.76","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.76","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Aug 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.77% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.76% on Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 6, 2026, or one week following Aug 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T01:36:23.829359Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T01:36:23.829359Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.368408Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.78","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06","slug":"KXUST10AD-26AUG06-T4.78","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Aug 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.79% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.78% on Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 6, 2026, or one week following Aug 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T20:18:44.864301Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T19:58:36.776171Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T19:42:00.368408Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-6-2026/kxust10ad-26aug06","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST10AD-26AUG06","as_of":"2026-08-06T04:17:13.418263Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?\" — top market at 32% probability across 15 outcomes","source_url":null}}