{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08","ticker":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08","title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2955.98,"volume_24hr":2955.98,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.731719970703125,"normalized_volume":14.769818305969238,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2933.98,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.3% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1053.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:28:33.470202Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:28:33.470202Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:01.903682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust10ad-26jul08","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,2176.0,2253.06,2852.06,2902.72,2954.98],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.29","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":1053.0,"volume_24hr":1053.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1053.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.243130683898926,"normalized_volume":13.587532043457031,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:58:41.728116Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:58:41.728116Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust10ad-26jul08","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.51,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.34","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":1053.0,"volume_24hr":1053.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1053.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.243130683898926,"normalized_volume":13.587532043457031,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:58:41.728116Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:58:41.728116Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust10ad-26jul08","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.39","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":86.0,"volume_24hr":86.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":86.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.275262355804443,"normalized_volume":5.593688488006592,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T22:39:40.685423Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T22:38:03.666513Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust10ad-26jul08","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.76,0.91,0.91,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.44","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":256.0,"volume_24hr":256.0,"prob_24h_change":0.92,"volume_24h_change":256.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.688435554504395,"normalized_volume":8.636148452758789,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T22:39:40.685423Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T22:38:03.666513Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust10ad-26jul08","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.86,0.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.49","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":279.0,"volume_24hr":279.0,"prob_24h_change":0.74,"volume_24h_change":279.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.99005126953125,"normalized_volume":8.905004501342773,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T22:39:40.685423Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T22:38:03.666513Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust10ad-26jul08","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.74]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.54","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":100.92,"volume_24hr":100.92,"prob_24h_change":0.48,"volume_24h_change":100.92,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.727958679199219,"normalized_volume":5.99721622467041,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:29:20.494313Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:28:33.700736Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust10ad-26jul08","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.59","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.59","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.6% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":11.0,"volume_24hr":11.0,"prob_24h_change":0.47,"volume_24h_change":11.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.942819595336914,"normalized_volume":1.7318044900894165,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:59:25.972980Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:58:41.728116Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust10ad-26jul08","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.33,0.33,0.47]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.64","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.64","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.65% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":88.06,"volume_24hr":88.06,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":88.06,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.341201305389404,"normalized_volume":5.652466297149658,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T22:39:40.685423Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T22:38:03.666513Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust10ad-26jul08","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.43,0.34,0.1,0.07,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.69","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL08-T4.69","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.7% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":29.0,"volume_24hr":29.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":29.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.639786958694458,"normalized_volume":3.244459867477417,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:32:07.655935Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:32:07.655935Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust10ad-26jul08","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.45,0.05,0.05]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST10AD-26JUL08","as_of":"2026-07-08T00:54:17.974086Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}