{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09","ticker":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09","title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6872.83,"volume_24hr":6872.83,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.2486515045166,"normalized_volume":18.025604248046875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5828.91,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.35% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1204.59,"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:01.899106Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:01.899106Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.556099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust10ad-26jul09","chart_24h":[0.0,1842.59,1844.59,1902.59,1944.59,5702.36,5702.61,6872.83],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.34","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":1204.59,"volume_24hr":1204.59,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1204.59,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.80695343017578,"normalized_volume":14.117238998413086,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T20:45:53.166322Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T20:45:12.327217Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust10ad-26jul09","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.39","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":1470.59,"volume_24hr":1470.59,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1470.59,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.992809295654297,"normalized_volume":14.921826362609863,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T23:12:48.837912Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T23:12:06.249865Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust10ad-26jul09","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.44","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":18.0,"volume_24hr":18.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":18.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.5837900638580322,"normalized_volume":2.431553602218628,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:46:00.821562Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:45:17.138860Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust10ad-26jul09","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.49","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":21.25,"volume_24hr":21.25,"prob_24h_change":0.92,"volume_24h_change":21.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9784762859344482,"normalized_volume":2.699342966079712,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T23:38:44.167461Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T23:38:06.291654Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust10ad-26jul09","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.96,0.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.54","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.61,0.39],"probability":0.61,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":87.7,"volume_24hr":87.7,"prob_24h_change":0.61,"volume_24h_change":87.7,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.315964698791504,"normalized_volume":5.642271041870117,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T23:38:06.291654Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T23:38:06.291654Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust10ad-26jul09","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.73,0.61,0.61]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.59","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.59","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.6% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":2273.7,"volume_24hr":2273.7,"prob_24h_change":0.4,"volume_24h_change":2273.7,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.69743537902832,"normalized_volume":16.756879806518555,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:40.007604Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:02.073474Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust10ad-26jul09","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.54,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.4]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.64","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.64","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.65% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":9.0,"volume_24hr":9.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":9.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.1916379928588867,"normalized_volume":1.4869970083236694,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:46:00.821562Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:45:17.138860Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust10ad-26jul09","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.58,0.58,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.69","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.69","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.7% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":59.0,"volume_24hr":59.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":59.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.929568767547607,"normalized_volume":4.701619625091553,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:31:55.554638Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:31:55.554638Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust10ad-26jul09","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.74","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL09-T4.74","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.75% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":1729.0,"volume_24hr":1729.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":1729.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.979198455810547,"normalized_volume":15.591078758239746,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T23:12:48.837912Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T23:12:06.249865Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust10ad-26jul09","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST10AD-26JUL09","as_of":"2026-07-09T00:53:08.212700Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?\" — top market at 40% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}