{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13","ticker":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13","title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4066.12,"volume_24hr":4066.12,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.448511123657227,"normalized_volume":18.6912841796875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3621.73,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.35% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2309.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:33.022717Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:33.022717Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:48.913598Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust10ad-26jul13","chart_24h":[0.0,50.0,73.0,223.0,898.12,938.03,984.03,1004.03,1052.67,1080.67,1099.12],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.34","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":2309.0,"volume_24hr":2309.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":2309.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.00218391418457,"normalized_volume":16.823713302612305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:50:23.912315Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:33.190328Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust10ad-26jul13","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.54","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16000000000000003],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.019999999999999907,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":158.64,"volume_24hr":158.64,"prob_24h_change":0.84,"volume_24h_change":158.64,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.58124828338623,"normalized_volume":7.217635631561279,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:36:44.485547Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:36:44.485547Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust10ad-26jul13","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.58,0.81,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.84,0.84]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.59","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.59","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.6% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.5700000000000001],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":52.48,"volume_24hr":52.48,"prob_24h_change":0.43,"volume_24h_change":52.48,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.280187129974365,"normalized_volume":4.44113302230835,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:11:12.955032Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:11:12.955032Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust10ad-26jul13","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.46,0.46,0.23,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.43]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.64","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.64","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.65% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":19.0,"volume_24hr":19.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":19.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.992542028427124,"normalized_volume":2.5170087814331055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T01:19:07.017489Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T01:19:07.017489Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust10ad-26jul13","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.46,0.46,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.69","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.69","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.7% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":19.0,"volume_24hr":19.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":19.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.992542028427124,"normalized_volume":2.5170087814331055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T22:18:31.529870Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T22:17:37.034070Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust10ad-26jul13","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.17,0.17,0.01,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.74","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.74","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.75% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":1508.0,"volume_24hr":1508.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":1508.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.86330223083496,"normalized_volume":15.024714469909668,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:50:23.912315Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:33.190328Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust10ad-26jul13","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.39","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T22:04:36.782905Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T22:04:36.782905Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust10ad-26jul13","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.44","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T21:00:30.528192Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T21:00:30.528192Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust10ad-26jul13","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL13-T4.49","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T00:00:14.673196Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T00:00:14.673196Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust10ad-26jul13","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST10AD-26JUL13","as_of":"2026-07-11T02:56:00.529149Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}