{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14","ticker":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14","title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4669.69,"volume_24hr":4613.13,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.10284996032715,"normalized_volume":19.318880081176758,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3793.68,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.45% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1834.57,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:52.579123Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:52.579123Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:05.308356Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust10ad-26jul14","chart_24h":[0.0,55.09,294.09000000000003,692.8399999999999,1376.21,3015.7,3813.48,3855.1,4400.5599999999995,4428.23,4611.12],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.44","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":1834.57,"volume_24hr":1834.57,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":1834.57,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.48023796081543,"normalized_volume":15.839791297912598,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:11:30.265147Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T03:10:27.764877Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust10ad-26jul14","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.98,0.78,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.49","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":336.01,"volume_24hr":336.01,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":336.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.883419036865234,"normalized_volume":9.500391006469727,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T01:34:25.337637Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T01:32:40.663301Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust10ad-26jul14","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.54","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.81,0.18999999999999995],"probability":0.81,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":619.02,"volume_24hr":619.02,"prob_24h_change":0.81,"volume_24h_change":619.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.723773002624512,"normalized_volume":11.594902992248535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:52.734922Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust10ad-26jul14","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.8]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.59","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.59","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.6% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.76,0.24],"probability":0.76,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":367.56,"volume_24hr":311.0,"prob_24h_change":0.76,"volume_24h_change":311.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.54430103302002,"normalized_volume":9.794795989990234,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:05:28.594485Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:52.734922Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust10ad-26jul14","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.76,0.54,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.71]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.64","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.64","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.65% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":121.04,"volume_24hr":121.04,"prob_24h_change":0.22,"volume_24h_change":121.04,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.77884578704834,"normalized_volume":6.473628520965576,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T02:44:36.978947Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T02:43:47.103400Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust10ad-26jul14","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.49,0.47,0.22,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.69","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.69","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.7% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":597.47,"volume_24hr":597.47,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":597.47,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.551230430603027,"normalized_volume":11.467668533325195,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T02:44:36.978947Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T02:43:47.103400Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust10ad-26jul14","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.74","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.74","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.75% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":794.02,"volume_24hr":794.02,"prob_24h_change":-0.060000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":794.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.963245391845703,"normalized_volume":12.508905410766602,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:52.734922Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust10ad-26jul14","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.34","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T20:22:26.348072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust10ad-26jul14","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL14-T4.39","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T20:22:26.348072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust10ad-26jul14","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST10AD-26JUL14","as_of":"2026-07-14T04:16:36.185858Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}