{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15","ticker":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15","title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3774.0,"volume_24hr":3774.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.10321044921875,"normalized_volume":18.357521057128906,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3774.0,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.4% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":75.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T22:54:01.430992Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T22:54:01.430992Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.238068Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust10ad-26jul15","chart_24h":[0.0,180.0,181.0,3733.26,3774.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.39","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":75.0,"volume_24hr":75.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":75.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.580582141876221,"normalized_volume":5.260191917419434,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T20:12:24.198981Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T20:11:20.375872Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust10ad-26jul15","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.54","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.95,0.050000000000000044],"probability":0.95,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.95,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.1429576873779297,"normalized_volume":0.13475026190280914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:49:02.542711Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:49:02.542711Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust10ad-26jul15","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.95]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.74","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.74","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.75% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":1169.38,"volume_24hr":1169.38,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":1169.38,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.852215766906738,"normalized_volume":13.999526977539062,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:21:24.056434Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:21:24.056434Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust10ad-26jul15","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.97,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.64","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.64","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.65% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.97,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":105.0,"volume_24hr":105.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":105.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.470967769622803,"normalized_volume":6.099459171295166,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:35:33.756402Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:35:33.756402Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust10ad-26jul15","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.79","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.79","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.8% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":2423.62,"volume_24hr":2423.62,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":2423.62,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.07231903076172,"normalized_volume":17.034759521484375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:21:24.056434Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:21:24.056434Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust10ad-26jul15","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.04,0.04,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.44","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.15000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:49:02.542711Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:49:02.542711Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust10ad-26jul15","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.49","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.15000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:49:02.542711Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:49:02.542711Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust10ad-26jul15","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.59","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.59","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.6% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.42000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:49:02.542711Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:49:02.542711Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust10ad-26jul15","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.69","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL15-T4.69","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.7% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T22:13:48.290931Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T22:13:48.290931Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust10ad-26jul15","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST10AD-26JUL15","as_of":"2026-07-15T00:07:21.767288Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?\" — top market at 5% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}