{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16","ticker":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16","title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2073.16,"volume_24hr":2073.16,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.85784912109375,"normalized_volume":15.785049438476562,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1945.28,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.4% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":175.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:51:44.781363Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T01:51:44.781363Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.573127Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust10ad-26jul16","chart_24h":[0.0,100.0,100.0,390.68,501.39,785.05,1216.05,1366.02,2065.43],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.39","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":175.0,"volume_24hr":175.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":175.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.026310920715332,"normalized_volume":7.497925281524658,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T23:58:17.548240Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T23:58:17.548240Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust10ad-26jul16","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.44","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":229.0,"volume_24hr":229.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":229.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.878602981567383,"normalized_volume":8.294110298156738,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:15.750272Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:15.750272Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust10ad-26jul16","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.54","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7,0.30000000000000004],"probability":0.7,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":285.95,"volume_24hr":285.95,"prob_24h_change":0.7,"volume_24h_change":285.95,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.61568546295166,"normalized_volume":8.98266887664795,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:52:45.553451Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T01:51:45.061583Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust10ad-26jul16","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.76]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.59","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.59","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.6% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":47.47,"volume_24hr":47.47,"prob_24h_change":0.24,"volume_24h_change":47.47,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.521979331970215,"normalized_volume":4.224289894104004,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:37:32.195599Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T01:37:32.195599Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust10ad-26jul16","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.64","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.64","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.65% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.09000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":878.74,"volume_24hr":878.74,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":878.74,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.799555778503418,"normalized_volume":12.891107559204102,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:10:44.210126Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T01:09:49.103503Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust10ad-26jul16","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.74","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.74","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.75% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":457.0,"volume_24hr":457.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":457.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.270177841186523,"normalized_volume":10.528244018554688,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:58.974398Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:56:15.750272Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust10ad-26jul16","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.49","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:51:45.061583Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T01:51:45.061583Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust10ad-26jul16","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.69","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.69","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.7% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T00:42:28.398324Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:42:28.398324Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust10ad-26jul16","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.79","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL16-T4.79","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.8% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T23:30:09.864027Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T23:30:09.864027Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust10ad-26jul16","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST10AD-26JUL16","as_of":"2026-07-16T02:13:17.857290Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?\" — top market at 10% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}