{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","ticker":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14971.34,"volume_24hr":14971.34,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.25922393798828,"normalized_volume":20.65336036682129,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":11546.24,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.41% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1000.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T13:21:24.698229Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T13:21:24.698229Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.828456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","chart_24h":[500.0,1860.84,2016.02,3132.11,3472.12,4189.01,8704.92,11217.01,12841.18,12846.18,12970.57,13087.71,13235.3,13237.3,13256.3,13884.08,13898.76,14041.31,14075.37,14075.38,14389.38,14522.38,14698.67,14702.29,14718.29,14738.66,14971.34],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.40","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.40","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.40% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.41% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.40% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":1100.0,"volume_24hr":1100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":1000.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.244787216186523,"normalized_volume":12.76657485961914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T20:27:21.193577Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T20:27:21.193577Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.42","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.42","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.42% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.43% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.42% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":2846.0,"volume_24hr":2846.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":2746.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.10944366455078,"normalized_volume":16.464889526367188,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T23:47:27.907034Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T23:46:37.530420Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.44","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":2712.0,"volume_24hr":2712.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":2612.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.793893814086914,"normalized_volume":16.265901565551758,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T01:53:49.216076Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T01:52:46.597536Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.46","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.46","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.46% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.47% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.46% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":334.0,"volume_24hr":334.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":134.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.950626373291016,"normalized_volume":8.79741096496582,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T22:54:35.061915Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T22:53:38.753734Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.48","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.48","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.48% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.49% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.48% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":1041.0,"volume_24hr":1041.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":1041.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.927642822265625,"normalized_volume":12.566580772399902,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T00:44:42.094693Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T00:43:22.829624Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.50","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.50","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.50% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.51% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.50% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":1174.0,"volume_24hr":1174.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":1174.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.62257957458496,"normalized_volume":13.004815101623535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T03:43:22.915262Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T03:42:17.860462Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.52","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.52","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.52% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.53% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.52% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":960.07,"volume_24hr":960.07,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":960.07,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.466625213623047,"normalized_volume":12.275858879089355,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T12:16:24.368610Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T12:15:31.654605Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.54","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":48.0,"volume_24hr":48.0,"prob_24h_change":0.92,"volume_24h_change":48.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.2507147789001465,"normalized_volume":3.9417665004730225,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T22:54:35.061915Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T22:53:38.753734Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.92,0.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.56","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.56","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.56% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.57% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.56% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":17.0,"volume_24hr":17.0,"prob_24h_change":0.89,"volume_24h_change":17.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.447716474533081,"normalized_volume":2.174166202545166,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T03:03:12.584161Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T03:02:24.565305Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.58","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.58","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.58% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.59% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.58% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":1157.3,"volume_24hr":1157.3,"prob_24h_change":0.75,"volume_24h_change":1157.3,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.539142608642578,"normalized_volume":12.95219898223877,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T11:23:18.416839Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T11:22:37.129536Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.65,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.60","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.60","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.61% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.60% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.5900000000000001],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":1150.59,"volume_24hr":1150.59,"prob_24h_change":0.41,"volume_24h_change":1150.59,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.505327224731445,"normalized_volume":12.930874824523926,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T13:22:44.090755Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T13:21:24.876645Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.41]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.62","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.62","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.63% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.62% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":1021.16,"volume_24hr":1021.16,"prob_24h_change":0.19,"volume_24h_change":1021.16,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.817535400390625,"normalized_volume":12.497146606445312,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T13:09:04.147378Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T13:08:26.761233Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.37,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.64","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.64","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.65% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":566.08,"volume_24hr":566.08,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":566.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.5909481048584,"normalized_volume":10.46242618560791,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T13:22:44.090755Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T13:21:24.876645Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.04,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.66","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.66","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.67% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.66% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":826.14,"volume_24hr":826.14,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":826.14,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.625192642211914,"normalized_volume":11.74524211883545,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T00:30:52.607141Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T00:29:45.307542Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.68","event_id":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST10AD-26JUL21-T4.68","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.69% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.68% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":18.0,"volume_24hr":18.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":18.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.577908754348755,"normalized_volume":2.2562668323516846,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T20:54:35.284977Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T20:53:49.205018Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10ad/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust10ad-26jul21","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.02,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST10AD-26JUL21","as_of":"2026-07-21T13:31:26.801341Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 15 outcomes","source_url":null}}